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Not even sure what a blog is but....

One for the road

13 Sep 11 13:21
This final bet of the day has probably come about because i've been over thinking and spent too long look for some that isnt there. But going to have a small bet (5pts place 2pts win) on Sleep Dance in the 3.50 Folkestone. Could also play it each way with the books at 14/1 and therefore getting nearly 3/1 a place but just dont want a great deal on win and then I also run the risk of another non runner coming out. From an ideal draw in stall 8 i do think she can serve it up to the boys who dont look the most convincing bunch. The bare form of Sleep Dance's 3rd isnt very good it has to be said but she didnt enjoy the cleanest of breaks and was definitely doing her best work late on so the step up to 7f will most likely help.

Got to take a real leap of faith to back Hannon's thing that hasnt run any sort of race since April and Cumani's isnt the most convincing either and has a bad draw to boot.

The fav should take the race and whilst i have basically ruled out backing anything under 5/2 if he was to get out towards the 6/4 mark i would have to consider breaking my new golden rule. If he was drawn on the rail i would probably play at the price altho im not convinced about coming back to 7f. 2nd in a newmarket maiden would normally make you odds on to win a folkestone maiden but it wasnt the strongest of contests and he never looked like winning it.

around 20/1 on the fair and 9/4ish to make the frame isnt a bad price for a small investment.

oh and i have my first follower, the blog is really starting to cause a bit of stir.



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