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These 24879 comments are related to the topic:
Aussie Aussie Aussie, Doi Doi Doi - megafred for Australian swing

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By:
n88uk
When: 29 Jan 16 12:15
Angie has a small chance. It depends on Serena finally getting tested and crumbling under the pressure imo. She hasn't really been tested all tournament. We've seen the Serena look dominant then crumble story many times, but she was never really under huge pressure all tournament.

It's probably more likely Serena just front runs against Angie though, Angie's serve too weak probably.
By:
n88uk
When: 29 Jan 16 12:16
It's coming a point you basically can't win anything without removing Djokovic anyway mafeking.

Djokovic has made the final of every event he's entered for over a year now. So he's the gatekeeper to everything.
By:
edy
When: 29 Jan 16 12:17
Sad
By:
Platini
When: 29 Jan 16 12:17
1/4 is the best price with the books (2/9 and 1/7 at vermins)

but you're right, could get a bit better backing them individually on here.

1.17 looks pretty huge to me. It's not Azarenka she's playing.
By:
n88uk
When: 29 Jan 16 12:18
2/9 x 1/7 is not 1/4. 2/9 is virtually 1/4 itself.
By:
n88uk
When: 29 Jan 16 12:19
1.17 is hardly a big price though. She was bigger vs Sharapova and Radwanska who had less chance.
By:
Platini
When: 29 Jan 16 12:20
Ahh, the 1.30 v Shara   happy days Cool
By:
n88uk
When: 29 Jan 16 12:21
Angie isn't as much damaged goods as those two are, and has more game to actually hurt Serena than Radwanska does. She can be incredibly annoying to Serena if she gets everything back and redirects everything.

The downside and fear is that like Radwanska her serve will just be demolished.
By:
mafeking
When: 29 Jan 16 12:24
yep djokovic is the immoveable object but he's probably gonna end up winning more GS matches in the open era than anyone but federer, nadal, djokovic, connors, sampras, agassi and lendl all absolute legends of the sport but very few slams

you'd have to think playing at any other time he'd have won at least 6
By:
n88uk
When: 29 Jan 16 12:26
I never know the final factor in pricing these things up anyway. Serena had been 1.0x vs Radwanska in the past. Market here went 1.2, and I don't know why. There was no signs Serena was ever in major trouble in this match up, Radwanska's "form" on paper looks good, but looked pretty questionable coming into this in reality.

But most importantly of all, it's just a horrendous, horrendous match up for Radwanska. If there is 1 way you don't want to play against Serena, it's to have no real offensive weapons, and hit a lot of puffy shots, and have a weak serve. It is just about if you were going to design the worst top player imaginable to take on Serena how you would design it.
By:
YOMOMMA
When: 29 Jan 16 12:29
i haven't watched hardly any of the aus open as it's on in the middle of the night. thought i'd try my luck on murray raonic match and messed up badly.
By:
n88uk
When: 29 Jan 16 12:30
The Serena vs Radwanska H2H is so 1 sided. Radwanska has won 1 set in 19 now. A lot of heavy beatdowns in there. The 1 set was Serena choking from like 6-1, 5-2 or 5-3 up when she hadn't won a grand slam for ages, after being out for a year.

Probably a match that sits vividly with me though is when they played in Canada in 2013. Serena was so bad in this match, and she still won in straight sets.
By:
n88uk
When: 29 Jan 16 12:30
And I probably don't need to go into Serena vs Sharapova in too much detail to wonder why the market always sits around 1.25 without fail.
By:
jin_kazz
When: 29 Jan 16 12:59
steffi mugging
By:
Platini
When: 29 Jan 16 13:22
btw, 2/9 doubled with 1/7 is definitely 1/4

only a smidgen better than 2/9 but it all adds up.

Not that I'll be doing it, tho. I'm happy enough with my Joker bet and will top up if he goes behind in the 1st set.
By:
n88uk
When: 29 Jan 16 13:26
It most definitely isn't. It's 1.39 which is more like 2/5.
By:
Platini
When: 29 Jan 16 13:37
Oops, you're spot on. I didn't add the 1 back on (after diving 2 by 9) before dividing by 7


maths mug Tongue Out Laugh
By:
jin_kazz
When: 29 Jan 16 13:53
this an-sophie mestach is an awful mugger
By:
jin_kazz
When: 29 Jan 16 14:11
truly shocking ffs
By:
jin_kazz
When: 29 Jan 16 14:13
kuwait beasts
By:
jin_kazz
When: 29 Jan 16 14:22
this french coont just can't stop faking injury there
By:
wisewords
When: 29 Jan 16 14:57
i'm back
By:
wisewords
When: 29 Jan 16 14:57
and sooooooooooooooooooo tired. can I stay awake until 8pm ffs?
By:
jin_kazz
When: 29 Jan 16 15:07
yeah, you just need some adderall
By:
wisewords
When: 29 Jan 16 15:08
Scared
By:
jin_kazz
When: 29 Jan 16 15:10
why 8pm? it's only 4 hours from here
By:
wisewords
When: 29 Jan 16 15:11
because then I can sleep for a long time, and wake up for the tennis tomorrow. I only slept 2 1/2 hours last night to reset from Aus time
By:
YOMOMMA
When: 29 Jan 16 15:11
wisewords have cup of coffee then u will b awake like Excited
By:
jin_kazz
When: 29 Jan 16 15:13
dodine is brainless but smitkova is completely insane

what a match it will be
By:
jin_kazz
When: 29 Jan 16 15:15
this price on silliams is a fookin' joke
By:
YOMOMMA
When: 29 Jan 16 15:16
lol
By:
wisewords
When: 29 Jan 16 15:18
she's so silly
By:
jin_kazz
When: 29 Jan 16 15:19
kuwait was funky today.

of course betfair immediately banned 2 next matches after that. thieves
By:
wisewords
When: 29 Jan 16 15:22
aus footy was very funky indeed
By:
jin_kazz
When: 29 Jan 16 15:23
yeah ozzies returned to their criminal fixxing activities while everybody was busy with OZ open
By:
YOMOMMA
When: 29 Jan 16 15:24
i fecking hate gambling. its such a waste of time.
By:
wisewords
When: 29 Jan 16 15:24
it is?
By:
YOMOMMA
When: 29 Jan 16 15:25
i wasted my whole morning on muuray ronic and made small loss.
By:
wisewords
When: 29 Jan 16 15:26
well that was silly
By:
jin_kazz
When: 29 Jan 16 15:46
we'll have a chance to watch raveena kingsley today

Round of 16        Def. (8)Miyu Kato(#184) (JPN) 6-0 6-2                    @2.298
Round of 32        Def. Julia Boserup(#198) (USA) 6-2 6-0                   @4.119
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