100 to 500 Challenge

I was seriously with you on this bet, considering their h2h record and Li's ranking and recent history. I thought you'd found at least 10c value in here. The way Li is playing, it she is looking more like a $2.25 short outsider. This just goes to show how little I know about WTA. And I didn't follow your bet precisely because I'm terrible at WTA.

Hopefully she pulls the break back and you get through!

or two break back

Does Li lose against odds often?

Unlucky. I will try one more time.

Probably much better to try a Kelly-style system. Going all in on every bet is not good because there is always going to be one bomb in there.

Hopefully I can avoid bombs this time:

Back (Bet For)    Odds    Stake    Profit
Benoit Paire
1.22    €100.00    €22.00

dodgy match. but i say nothing

stay away from wta is my advice

For sure, I will stick to atp.

Paire won. New balance 121.03.

I decided to go for Errani.

2nd bet

Lisicki v Errani
Sara ErraniMatch Odds    1.46 €121.03 €55.67
Ref: 27448715397M Matched: 13:44 31-May-13

Lay at 1.02
Lay (Bet Against) Backer's odds Backer's stake Your liability
Lisicki v Errani
Sara Errani    1.02 €121.03EW   €2.42

Bet 3

Back (Bet For) Odds Stake Profit
Simon v Querrey
Gilles Simon    1.46 €121.03EW   €55.67

Simon won. New bank 225.16

Nice! That was a sweat, but you're almost half way there!

That was a tough one for sure. Early bet at 1.29 on Gasquet

Richard Gasquet
Match Odds    1.29    €225.16    €65.30
Ref: 27456978914M Matched: 19:43 31-May-13

After a few days off. I'm back to try to reach the target. Bank reads 287.59. Bet 5

Back (Bet For)    Odds    Stake    Profit
Poland
1.29    €287.59    €83.40

The game is Poland-Liechtenstein.

Poland won 2-0, New bank 367.32

Bet 6, KH leading 2-0 at ht.

Back (Bet For)    Odds    Stake    Profit
KH Hlidarendi
1.08    €367.32    €29.39

Did you green out on Gasquet then?

No that was Gasquet-Davydenko. See date.

Ah, sorry. Of course, Gasquet wasn't 1.29 against Wawa

good luck. first bet was nailed on Li to beat Mattek-Sands. that your only loss so far?

Hi, yes I lost this one so I restarted the challenge. Current bank stands at 395.42 after 6 bets. I had no time for betting today, hope I can reach the target tomorrow.

Bet 7

Austria
Match Odds    1.07    €395.42    €27.68
Ref: 27582243130M Matched: 22:13 7-Jun-13

New bank 421.88

Bet 8 to terminate the challenge

Portugal v Russia (In-Play)
Under 3.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals    1.2    €421.88    €84.38
Ref: 27582823605M Matched: 22:41 7-Jun-13

you began to back shorter odds after your bank have grown up. why?

Good luck djoker, hope it comes in for you. Watching the match here, looks lively enough but Portugal can be unreliable (sometimes all bark no bite) and Russia v good in defense so fingers crossed for under 3.5.

Jun 7, 2013 -- 10:01PM, jin_kazz wrote:

you began to back shorter odds after your bank have grown up. why?

I guess it's kind of psychological, the more you bet, the safer you want to be (in terms of probability that things go against you.)

Jun 7, 2013 -- 10:02PM, gawdalmighty wrote:

Good luck djoker, hope it comes in for you. Watching the match here, looks lively enough but Portugal can be unreliable (sometimes all bark no bite) and Russia v good in defense so fingers crossed for under 3.5.

Thanks, let's cross fingers.

yeah, fookin human nature. it's hard to be higher than that..

Bank 502.55. Challenge completed. I will withdraw 402.55 and start a new challenge tomorrow on a new thread.

good luck!

Well done! And good luck with next challenge

Awesome, well done