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djoker
30 May 13 10:04
Joined:
Date Joined: 29 Jul 08
| Topic/replies: 235 | Blogger: djoker's blog
Hi guys. Just a little challenge for fun. It will be mainly all in and no trading (at least at the start).

1st bet:

Li v Mattek Sands
Na LiMatch Odds    1.28 €100.00 €28.00
Ref: 27430215551M Matched: 11:00 30-May-13

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Replies: 36
By:
NicolNicol
When: 30 May 13 15:35
I was seriously with you on this bet, considering their h2h record and Li's ranking and recent history. I thought you'd found at least 10c value in here. The way Li is playing, it she is looking more like a $2.25 short outsider. This just goes to show how little I know about WTA. And I didn't follow your bet precisely because I'm terrible at WTA.

Hopefully she pulls the break back and you get through!
By:
;[p
When: 30 May 13 15:37
or two break back
By:
NicolNicol
When: 30 May 13 15:38
Does Li lose against odds often?
By:
djoker
When: 30 May 13 15:47
Unlucky. I will try one more time.
By:
NicolNicol
When: 30 May 13 15:56
Probably much better to try a Kelly-style system. Going all in on every bet is not good because there is always going to be one bomb in there.
By:
djoker
When: 30 May 13 16:03
Hopefully I can avoid bombs this time:

Back (Bet For)    Odds    Stake    Profit
Benoit Paire
1.22    €100.00    €22.00
By:
;[p
When: 30 May 13 16:08
dodgy match. but i say nothing
By:
Love the green
When: 30 May 13 16:11
stay away from wta is my advice
By:
djoker
When: 30 May 13 16:12
For sure, I will stick to atp.
By:
djoker
When: 31 May 13 12:47
Paire won. New balance 121.03.

I decided to go for Errani.

2nd bet

Lisicki v Errani
Sara ErraniMatch Odds    1.46 €121.03 €55.67
Ref: 27448715397M Matched: 13:44 31-May-13
By:
djoker
When: 31 May 13 15:27
Lay at 1.02
Lay (Bet Against) Backer's odds Backer's stake Your liability
Lisicki v Errani
Sara Errani    1.02 €121.03EW   €2.42
By:
djoker
When: 31 May 13 15:30
Bet 3

Back (Bet For) Odds Stake Profit
Simon v Querrey
Gilles Simon    1.46 €121.03EW   €55.67
By:
djoker
When: 31 May 13 18:31
Simon won. New bank 225.16
By:
NicolNicol
When: 31 May 13 18:33
Nice! That was a sweat, but you're almost half way there!
By:
djoker
When: 31 May 13 18:44
That was a tough one for sure. Early bet at 1.29 on Gasquet

Richard Gasquet
Match Odds    1.29    €225.16    €65.30
Ref: 27456978914M Matched: 19:43 31-May-13
By:
djoker
When: 04 Jun 13 20:42
After a few days off. I'm back to try to reach the target. Bank reads 287.59. Bet 5

Back (Bet For)    Odds    Stake    Profit
Poland
1.29    €287.59    €83.40
By:
djoker
When: 04 Jun 13 20:43
The game is Poland-Liechtenstein.
By:
djoker
When: 04 Jun 13 22:01
Poland won 2-0, New bank 367.32
By:
djoker
When: 04 Jun 13 22:04
Bet 6, KH leading 2-0 at ht.

Back (Bet For)    Odds    Stake    Profit
KH Hlidarendi
1.08    €367.32    €29.39
By:
smb360
When: 04 Jun 13 22:06
Did you green out on Gasquet then?
By:
djoker
When: 04 Jun 13 22:06
No that was Gasquet-Davydenko. See date.
By:
smb360
When: 04 Jun 13 22:09
Ah, sorry. Of course, Gasquet wasn't 1.29 against Wawa Crazy
By:
3setpoints
When: 05 Jun 13 00:37
good luck. first bet was nailed on Li to beat Mattek-Sands. that your only loss so far?
By:
djoker
When: 05 Jun 13 23:59
Hi, yes I lost this one so I restarted the challenge. Current bank stands at 395.42 after 6 bets. I had no time for betting today, hope I can reach the target tomorrow.
By:
djoker
When: 07 Jun 13 21:13
Bet 7

Austria
Match Odds    1.07    €395.42    €27.68
Ref: 27582243130M Matched: 22:13 7-Jun-13
By:
djoker
When: 07 Jun 13 21:40
New bank 421.88
By:
djoker
When: 07 Jun 13 21:42
Bet 8 to terminate the challenge

Portugal v Russia (In-Play)
Under 3.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals    1.2    €421.88    €84.38
Ref: 27582823605M Matched: 22:41 7-Jun-13
By:
jin_kazz
When: 07 Jun 13 22:01
you began to back shorter odds after your bank have grown up. why?
By:
gawdalmighty
When: 07 Jun 13 22:02
Good luck djoker, hope it comes in for you. Watching the match here, looks lively enough but Portugal can be unreliable (sometimes all bark no bite) and Russia v good in defense so fingers crossed for under 3.5. Wink
By:
djoker
When: 07 Jun 13 22:09

Jun 7, 2013 -- 10:01PM, jin_kazz wrote:


you began to back shorter odds after your bank have grown up. why?


I guess it's kind of psychological, the more you bet, the safer you want to be (in terms of probability that things go against you.)

By:
djoker
When: 07 Jun 13 22:13

Jun 7, 2013 -- 10:02PM, gawdalmighty wrote:


Good luck djoker, hope it comes in for you. Watching the match here, looks lively enough but Portugal can be unreliable (sometimes all bark no bite) and Russia v good in defense so fingers crossed for under 3.5.


Thanks, let's cross fingers.

By:
jin_kazz
When: 07 Jun 13 22:17
yeah, fookin human nature. it's hard to be higher than that..
By:
djoker
When: 07 Jun 13 22:42
Bank 502.55. Challenge completed. I will withdraw 402.55 and start a new challenge tomorrow on a new thread.
By:
jin_kazz
When: 07 Jun 13 22:46
good luck!
By:
gawdalmighty
When: 07 Jun 13 23:01
Well done! And good luck with next challenge Wink
By:
smb360
When: 08 Jun 13 13:56
Awesome, well done Happy
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