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Simon - Bracciali
12 Feb 13 22:20
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Date Joined: 28 Aug 06
| Topic/replies: 1,487 | Blogger: Simon - Bracciali's blog
Above all women matches...Dubois, Min, Belluccimug!yesterday tsonga made me lose 1400 $
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Report booyakasha February 12, 2013 10:20 PM GMT
mug bets
Report Simon - Bracciali February 12, 2013 10:22 PM GMT
mug players imho
Report Darlo Bantam February 12, 2013 10:25 PM GMT
You're not supposed to just predict one or two winners to make money.
Report jin_kazz February 12, 2013 10:55 PM GMT
yeah but you can predict trades

what is really unpredictable is NBA

it's either totally fixed or these mugs experiencing some strange group lack of form from time to time
Report jin_kazz February 12, 2013 10:56 PM GMT
tennis is great for trading but predicting winner is suicidal here

it's better to just flip a coin and pick the winner
Report wasu February 12, 2013 10:58 PM GMT
just take the right moment to bet and trade out!

easy job after several years following tennis and seen 1000 matches Wink
Report smb360 February 12, 2013 11:01 PM GMT
BEARS **** IN THE WOODS
Report jin_kazz February 12, 2013 11:02 PM GMT
you was able to take tsonga @3 in the second set and then green out @1.3 for equal green everywhere

it's a huge value
Report Darlo Bantam February 12, 2013 11:04 PM GMT
Nice to know after the event. If he'd lost that break point you'd have lost your stake.
Report jin_kazz February 12, 2013 11:08 PM GMT
yeah but he didn't
Report jin_kazz February 12, 2013 11:09 PM GMT
and if you know that he often come backs from *15-40 against mugs then it's not so risky bet
Report Darlo Bantam February 12, 2013 11:10 PM GMT
FWIW I agree that backing players - or certainly certain ones - on break point will almost certainly make money from trading in the long run, but it's pointless picking out just one or two examples because it's not always going to happen.
Report jin_kazz February 12, 2013 11:25 PM GMT
just example not rule for every player

and also it worked 'coz sijsling is a very big choker

and one more example: bellucci was @1.1ish in the 2nd set but clearly something was wrong with him and now he gonna lose the match

even bigger value

but you need to know players, their psychology, their behaviour and some past common situations with these players
Report ;[p February 12, 2013 11:35 PM GMT
picking winner is good in some stages of tournament with certain players, but its all about the odds and the weight of tournament matchups surfaces form etc, so its easier to predict that at some point of the match player can reach certain value, if you know the players well and market movements, but what is suicidal is not trading where the lay is quite cheap and match still in progress and odds reaching some extrema. sitting on winning bets and hoping is not valuable, take what you got and be happy
Report Maestro_71 February 13, 2013 6:02 AM GMT
just lay a player when you think they're looking like they will win. Sounds silly but that'll bring you long-term profit.
Report Maestro_71 February 13, 2013 6:04 AM GMT
I don't just mean in any match. Mostly when players are fairly closely matched.
Report SIR_Bond February 13, 2013 10:40 AM GMT
lol you make sound all so easy

everyone wins on betfair
Report Maestro_71 February 13, 2013 2:41 PM GMT
it is easy. Just done it with Baghdatis.
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