Tennis
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12 Feb 13
22:20
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Date Joined:
28 Aug 06
Above all women matches...Dubois, Min, Belluccimug!yesterday tsonga made me lose 1400 $
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Replies: 18
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mug bets
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mug players imho
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You're not supposed to just predict one or two winners to make money.
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yeah but you can predict trades
what is really unpredictable is NBA it's either totally fixed or these mugs experiencing some strange group lack of form from time to time |
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tennis is great for trading but predicting winner is suicidal here
it's better to just flip a coin and pick the winner |
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just take the right moment to bet and trade out!
easy job after several years following tennis and seen 1000 matches  |
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BEARS **** IN THE WOODS
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you was able to take tsonga @3 in the second set and then green out @1.3 for equal green everywhere
it's a huge value |
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Nice to know after the event. If he'd lost that break point you'd have lost your stake.
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yeah but he didn't
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and if you know that he often come backs from *15-40 against mugs then it's not so risky bet
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FWIW I agree that backing players - or certainly certain ones - on break point will almost certainly make money from trading in the long run, but it's pointless picking out just one or two examples because it's not always going to happen.
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just example not rule for every player
and also it worked 'coz sijsling is a very big choker and one more example: bellucci was @1.1ish in the 2nd set but clearly something was wrong with him and now he gonna lose the match even bigger value but you need to know players, their psychology, their behaviour and some past common situations with these players |
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picking winner is good in some stages of tournament with certain players, but its all about the odds and the weight of tournament matchups surfaces form etc, so its easier to predict that at some point of the match player can reach certain value, if you know the players well and market movements, but what is suicidal is not trading where the lay is quite cheap and match still in progress and odds reaching some extrema. sitting on winning bets and hoping is not valuable, take what you got and be happy
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just lay a player when you think they're looking like they will win. Sounds silly but that'll bring you long-term profit.
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I don't just mean in any match. Mostly when players are fairly closely matched.
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lol you make sound all so easy
everyone wins on betfair |
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it is easy. Just done it with Baghdatis.
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