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dont get me wrong; laying the top players pays but only when the opposition is really ready to take the match; Melzer has not been in Top seed crushing form this week (watched the match against Giraldo) that's why I was surprised by the 3 bets, while Fed's form for the last 2 weeks has been quite good.
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I thought Melzer had the form and game to take a set. He was close. But yeah, turns into a big loss.
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Results
Selections 12th November Paris Masters 2010 WON +59.02 Roddick v Soderling (Backing Robin Soderling, $50 @ 2.24) LOST -50 Federer v Melzer (Laying Roger Federer, $357.14 @ 1.14) LOST -50 Federer v Melzer (Backing Jurgen Melzer +5.5 Games, $50 @ 1.60) LOST -50 Federer v Melzer (Laying Roger Federer 2-0, $121.96 @ 1.41) LOST -50 Roddick v Soderling (Backing Over 23.5 Games, $50 @ 1.73) WON +61.88 Davydenko v Llodra (Backing Michael Llodra, $50 @ 2.30) LOST -50 A Murray v Monfils (Backing A Murray, $50 @ 1.45) P&L 12th November 2010 = -129.10 P&L Current Week = -176.93 P&L Total = +762.34 Percentage - Winners: 12th November 2010 = 28.57% (2 out of 7) Percentage - Winners: Current Week = 52% (13 out of 25) Percentage - Winners: Total = 65.53% (154 out of 235) Total ROI% - +762.34(P&L)/9710(invested) x 100 = +7.85% |
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Selections 13th November
Paris Masters 2010 Federer v Monfils (Backing Roger Federer, $50 @ 1.19) Federer v Monfils (Backing Under 21.5 Games*, $50 @ 1.97) Soderling v Llodra (Backing Michael Llodra, $50 @ 2.60) Soderling v Llodra (Laying Robin Soderling, $32.47 @ 2.54) *Partially unmatched http://i52.tinypic.com/34q1gtu.png |
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Sorry that should read Laying Robin Soderling 2-0
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Seems your nose sniffs out upsets a day in advance, Sifon.
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Yeah lol
All those MPs Fed and Llodra sometimes you need a bit of luck |
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Results
Selections 13th November Paris Masters 2010 LOST -50Federer v Monfils (Backing Roger Federer, $50 @ 1.19) LOST -50Federer v Monfils (Backing Under 21.5 Games*, $50 @ 1.97) WON +30.91 Soderling v Llodra (Backing Michael Llodra, $50 @ 2.60) LOST -50Soderling v Llodra (Laying Robin Soderling 2-0, $32.47 @ 2.54) P&L 13th November 2010 = -119.09 P&L Current Week = -296.02 P&L Total = +643.25 Percentage - Winners: 13th November 2010 = 25% (1 out of 4) Percentage - Winners: Current Week = 48.27% (14 out of 29) Percentage - Winners: Total = 64.85% (155 out of 239) Total ROI% - +643.25(P&L)/9910(invested) x 100 = +6.49% Federer had 5 MPs, Llodra had 3 MPs. Llodra missed an fairly easy forehand down the line on his 3rd MP. ![]() Turning in to a nasty week. |
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won 30.91 should be next to Laying Robin Soderling 2-0.
losing my mind ![]() |
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Still well in the black. A long break is coming up anyway :)
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Federer had 5 MPs, Llodra had 3 MPs..Sad
Don't lie to yourself, backing Federer @1.19 and backing under 21 games were never value bets. |
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I don't base my picks on value. Federer was a deserved 1.19 shot.
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Selections 14th November
Paris Masters 2010 Monfils v Soderling (Backing Robin Soderling -2.5 Games, $50 @ 2.34) Monfils v Soderling (Backing Robin Soderling, $50 @ 1.78) http://i51.tinypic.com/2lth8b9.png |
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I don't base my picks on value. Federer was a deserved 1.19 shot.
I can understand if value is too abstract a concept but can't agree with Federer having been a deserved 1.19 favorite.Even if he won 6-3 in the third. |
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exactly bib, farcical statement, of course he wasnt a deserved 1.19 shot....monfils had a shot and it was an enormous risk to back him at such a short price with such little upside. value SHOULD be all important...
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Just giving my two cents, I'll stop anyway because I don't him to feel like I'm trolling his thread. Though it would be interesting to know what he's basing his picks on, if not on value.
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On form, on the matchup & players etc. I do not look at the odds :)
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Well done today and you are still showing a profit but your stubborness is interesting
You are showing heavy losses on the supposed 'sure things' at short odds, losses that probably cannot be recovere unless you land about the next 30 Cut that out, or at least be more selective (as of course you can short price value bets), and you would be well above that 10% ROI marker |
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Thanks wockey jilson and everyone.
I will evaluate my short price selections and consider more valued options. :) |
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Results
Selections 14th November Paris Masters 2010 WON +63.78 Monfils v Soderling (Backing Robin Soderling -2.5 Games, $50 @ 2.34) WON +37.13 Monfils v Soderling (Backing Robin Soderling, $50 @ 1.78) P&L 14th November 2010 = +100.91 P&L Current Week = -195.11 P&L Total = +744.16 Percentage - Winners: 14th November 2010 = 100% (2 out of 2) Percentage - Winners: Current Week = 51.61% (16 out of 31) Percentage - Winners: Total = 65.14% (157 out of 241) Total ROI% - +744.16(P&L)/10010(invested) x 100 = +7.43% |
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well done, sifon
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Thanks. A good end to a poor tournament. Bad percentage. 90% is too unrealistic, now aiming for 75%
a few bad beats |
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looking forward to reading your picks next week and next year
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Selections 21st November 2010
ATP World Tour Finals 2010 Murray v Soderling (Backing Robin Soderling, $50 @ 2.40) Federer v Ferrer (Backing Roger Federer, $50 @ 1.14) http://i56.tinypic.com/2lsbcdg.png |
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Regret my Soderling bet, poor bet in hindsight.
Results Selections 21st November 2010 ATP World Tour Finals 2010 LOST -50Murray v Soderling (Backing Robin Soderling, $50 @ 2.40) WON +6.66 Federer v Ferrer (Backing Roger Federer, $50 @ 1.14) P&L 21st November 2010 = -43.34 P&L Current Week = -43.34 P&L Total = +700.82 Percentage - Winners: 21st November 2010 = 50% (1 out of 2) Percentage - Winners: Current Week = 50% (1 out of 2) Percentage - Winners: Total = 65.02% (158 out of 243) Total ROI% - +700.82(P&L)/10110(invested) x 100 = +6.93% |
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Selections 22nd November 2010
ATP World Tour Finals 2010 Djokovic v Berdych (Backing Novak Djokovic, $50 @ 1.30) Djokovic v Berdych (Backing Novak Djokovic 2-0, $50 @ 1.83) Nadal v Roddick (Backing Rafael Nadal, $50 @ 1.38) Nadal v Roddick (Backing Rafael Nadal 2-0, $50 @ 2.08) http://i53.tinypic.com/nqepud.png |
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Good Thread Sifon.
About time someone did a truthful diplay of their bets. Plus you are also well in profit. Look forward to seeing how you get on bud. |
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Thanks Mose
That's what we need around here. Less talk and more screenshots :) |
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Sifon, I saw Nadal here last year and he was terrible (by his amazing standards). Okay he was off form and bereaved but I find 1.38 impossible to back until I have seen him play. Would imagine he will trade higher in this match. All amateur guess work on my part of course. Am more tempted to back roddick and trade, but the wife won't let me on the computer. Maybe she will save me some dosh.
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Looks like you were pretty accurate with your assessment Fantismo. Wife cost you money :)
Results Selections 22nd November 2010 ATP World Tour Finals 2010 WON +14.26 Djokovic v Berdych (Backing Novak Djokovic, $50 @ 1.30) WON +39.47 Djokovic v Berdych (Backing Novak Djokovic 2-0, $50 @ 1.83) WON +18.07 Nadal v Roddick (Backing Rafael Nadal, $50 @ 1.38) LOST -50 Nadal v Roddick (Backing Rafael Nadal 2-0, $50 @ 2.08) P&L 22nd November 2010 = +21.80 P&L Current Week = -21.54 P&L Total = +722.62 Percentage - Winners: 22nd November 2010 = 75% (3 out of 4) Percentage - Winners: Current Week = 66.67% (4 out of 6) Percentage - Winners: Total = 65.18% (161 out of 247) Total ROI% - +722.62(P&L)/10310(invested) x 100 = +7.00% |
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Selections 23rd November 2010
ATP World Tour Finals Federer v Murray (Backing Andy Murray, $50 @ 2.12) Soderling v Ferrer (Backing Robin Soderling, $50 @ 1.53) http://i56.tinypic.com/2ex4pz8.png |
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Screenshots; green for wins and red for losses; important figures in bold; neat documentation... what's not to love about this thread? Thanks Sifon, and I hope this is a long-term success.
![]() |
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Thanks Veridis Quo. I like good presentation.
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Selections 23rd November 2010
ATP World Tour Finals LOST -50 Federer v Murray (Backing Andy Murray, $50 @ 2.12) WON +25.68 Soderling v Ferrer (Backing Robin Soderling, $50 @ 1.53) P&L 23rd November 2010 = -24.32 P&L Current Week = -45.86 P&L Total = +698.30 Percentage - Winners: 23rd November 2010 = 50% (1 out of 2) Percentage - Winners: Current Week = 62.5% (5 out of 8) Percentage - Winners: Total = 65.06% (162 out of 249) Total ROI% - +698.30(P&L)/10410(invested) x 100 = +6.70% |
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Selections 24th November 2010
ATP World Tour Finals Roddick v Berdych (Backing Andy Roddick, $50 @ 1.35) Nadal v Djokovic (Backing Novak Djokovic, $50 @ 1.94) http://i56.tinypic.com/156qudy.png |
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oh dear taking short prices again.
What do u think of my blog: http://jaystennistrades.blogspot.com |
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Check out my bet :
http://i53.tinypic.com/2wq4vsz.jpg http://i53.tinypic.com/2wq4vsz.jpg |
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I did research and i put my first bet in the world of betting market
and now my hero is nadal |
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Nice one chavdara, like your screenshots
delpotty1 agree doubles are traders dream usually, but very few matches with liquidity |
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Results
Selections 24th November 2010 ATP World Tour Finals LOST -50 Roddick v Berdych (Backing Andy Roddick, $50 @ 1.35) LOST -50 Nadal v Djokovic (Backing Novak Djokovic, $50 @ 1.94) P&L 24th November 2010 = -124.32 P&L Current Week = -145.86 P&L Total = +598.30 Percentage - Winners: 24th November 2010 = 0% (0 out of 2) Percentage - Winners: Current Week = 50% (5 out of 10) Percentage - Winners: Total = 64.54% (162 out of 251) Total ROI% - +598.30(P&L)/10510(invested) x 100 = +5.69% |