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Sifon's Selections (w/Screenshots)

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By:
mangorio
When: 12 Nov 10 20:03
dont get me wrong; laying the top players pays but only when the opposition is really ready to take the match; Melzer has not been in Top seed crushing form this week (watched the match against Giraldo) that's why I was surprised by the 3 bets, while Fed's form for the last 2 weeks has been quite good.
By:
Sifon
When: 13 Nov 10 02:32
I thought Melzer had the form and game to take a set. He was close. But yeah, turns into a big loss.
By:
Sifon
When: 13 Nov 10 02:38
Results
Selections 12th November
Paris Masters 2010

WON +59.02 Roddick v Soderling (Backing Robin Soderling, $50 @ 2.24)
LOST -50 Federer v Melzer (Laying Roger Federer, $357.14 @ 1.14)
LOST -50 Federer v Melzer (Backing Jurgen Melzer +5.5 Games, $50 @ 1.60)
LOST -50 Federer v Melzer (Laying Roger Federer 2-0, $121.96 @ 1.41)
LOST -50 Roddick v Soderling (Backing Over 23.5 Games, $50 @ 1.73)
WON +61.88 Davydenko v Llodra (Backing Michael Llodra, $50 @ 2.30)
LOST -50 A Murray v Monfils (Backing A Murray, $50 @ 1.45)

P&L 12th November 2010 = -129.10
P&L Current Week = -176.93
P&L Total = +762.34

Percentage - Winners: 12th November 2010 = 28.57% (2 out of 7)
Percentage - Winners: Current Week = 52% (13 out of 25)
Percentage - Winners: Total = 65.53% (154 out of 235)
Total ROI% - +762.34(P&L)/9710(invested) x 100 = +7.85%
By:
Sifon
When: 13 Nov 10 11:24
Selections 13th November
Paris Masters 2010


Federer v Monfils (Backing Roger Federer, $50 @ 1.19)
Federer v Monfils (Backing Under 21.5 Games*, $50 @ 1.97)
Soderling v Llodra (Backing Michael Llodra, $50 @ 2.60)
Soderling v Llodra (Laying Robin Soderling, $32.47 @ 2.54)

*Partially unmatched
http://i52.tinypic.com/34q1gtu.png
By:
Sifon
When: 13 Nov 10 14:30
Sorry that should read Laying Robin Soderling 2-0
By:
Levethian
When: 13 Nov 10 17:40
Seems your nose sniffs out upsets a day in advance, Sifon.
By:
Sifon
When: 13 Nov 10 23:30
Yeah lol

All those MPs Fed and Llodra Cry sometimes you need a bit of luck
By:
Sifon
When: 14 Nov 10 02:50
Results
Selections 13th November
Paris Masters 2010

LOST -50Federer v Monfils (Backing Roger Federer, $50 @ 1.19)
LOST -50Federer v Monfils (Backing Under 21.5 Games*, $50 @ 1.97)
WON +30.91 Soderling v Llodra (Backing Michael Llodra, $50 @ 2.60)
LOST -50Soderling v Llodra (Laying Robin Soderling 2-0, $32.47 @ 2.54)

P&L 13th November 2010 = -119.09
P&L Current Week = -296.02
P&L Total = +643.25

Percentage - Winners: 13th November 2010 = 25% (1 out of 4)
Percentage - Winners: Current Week = 48.27% (14 out of 29)
Percentage - Winners: Total = 64.85% (155 out of 239)
Total ROI% - +643.25(P&L)/9910(invested) x 100 = +6.49%



Federer had 5 MPs, Llodra had 3 MPs. Llodra missed an fairly easy forehand down the line on his 3rd MP.Sad
Turning in to a nasty week.
By:
Sifon
When: 14 Nov 10 02:53
won 30.91 should be next to Laying Robin Soderling 2-0.
losing my mindLaugh
By:
Levethian
When: 14 Nov 10 04:10
Still well in the black. A long break is coming up anyway :)
By:
bib
When: 14 Nov 10 08:31
Federer had 5 MPs, Llodra had 3 MPs..Sad

Don't lie to yourself, backing Federer @1.19 and backing under 21 games were never value bets.
By:
Sifon
When: 14 Nov 10 11:00
I don't base my picks on value. Federer was a deserved 1.19 shot.
By:
Sifon
When: 14 Nov 10 12:12
Selections 14th November
Paris Masters 2010


Monfils v Soderling (Backing Robin Soderling -2.5 Games, $50 @ 2.34)
Monfils v Soderling (Backing Robin Soderling, $50 @ 1.78)



http://i51.tinypic.com/2lth8b9.png
By:
bib
When: 14 Nov 10 14:06
I don't base my picks on value. Federer was a deserved 1.19 shot.

I can understand if value is too abstract a concept but can't agree with Federer having been a deserved 1.19 favorite.Even if he won 6-3 in the third.
By:
stringerbell
When: 14 Nov 10 15:11
exactly bib, farcical statement, of course he wasnt a deserved 1.19 shot....monfils had a shot and it was an enormous risk to back him at such a short price with such little upside. value SHOULD be all important...
By:
bib
When: 14 Nov 10 16:07
Just giving my two cents, I'll stop anyway because I don't him to feel like I'm trolling his thread. Though it would be interesting to know what he's basing his picks on, if not on value.
By:
Sifon
When: 14 Nov 10 16:19
On form, on the matchup & players etc. I do not look at the odds :)
By:
wockey jilson
When: 14 Nov 10 17:03
Well done today and you are still showing a profit but your stubborness is interesting

You are showing heavy losses on the supposed 'sure things' at short odds, losses that probably cannot be recovere unless you land about the next 30

Cut that out, or at least be more selective (as of course you can short price value bets), and you would be well above that 10% ROI marker
By:
Sifon
When: 15 Nov 10 00:37
Thanks wockey jilson and everyone.

I will evaluate my short price selections and consider more valued options. :)
By:
Sifon
When: 15 Nov 10 04:44
Results
Selections 14th November
Paris Masters 2010

WON +63.78 Monfils v Soderling (Backing Robin Soderling -2.5 Games, $50 @ 2.34)
WON +37.13 Monfils v Soderling (Backing Robin Soderling, $50 @ 1.78)

P&L 14th November 2010 = +100.91
P&L Current Week = -195.11
P&L Total = +744.16

Percentage - Winners: 14th November 2010 = 100% (2 out of 2)
Percentage - Winners: Current Week = 51.61% (16 out of 31)
Percentage - Winners: Total = 65.14% (157 out of 241)
Total ROI% - +744.16(P&L)/10010(invested) x 100 = +7.43%
By:
gaekwon
When: 15 Nov 10 05:56
well done, sifon
By:
Sifon
When: 15 Nov 10 06:09
Thanks. A good end to a poor tournament. Bad percentage. 90% is too unrealistic, now aiming for 75%

a few bad beats
By:
gaekwon
When: 15 Nov 10 06:24
looking forward to reading your picks next week and next year
By:
Sifon
When: 21 Nov 10 07:52
Selections 21st November 2010
ATP World Tour Finals 2010


Murray v Soderling (Backing Robin Soderling, $50 @ 2.40)
Federer v Ferrer (Backing Roger Federer, $50 @ 1.14)

http://i56.tinypic.com/2lsbcdg.png
By:
Sifon
When: 22 Nov 10 07:51
Regret my Soderling bet, poor bet in hindsight.

Results
Selections 21st November 2010
ATP World Tour Finals 2010


LOST -50Murray v Soderling (Backing Robin Soderling, $50 @ 2.40)
WON +6.66 Federer v Ferrer (Backing Roger Federer, $50 @ 1.14)

P&L 21st November 2010 = -43.34
P&L Current Week = -43.34
P&L Total = +700.82

Percentage - Winners: 21st November 2010 = 50% (1 out of 2)
Percentage - Winners: Current Week = 50% (1 out of 2)
Percentage - Winners: Total = 65.02% (158 out of 243)
Total ROI% - +700.82(P&L)/10110(invested) x 100 = +6.93%
By:
Sifon
When: 22 Nov 10 07:57
Selections 22nd November 2010
ATP World Tour Finals 2010


Djokovic v Berdych (Backing Novak Djokovic, $50 @ 1.30)
Djokovic v Berdych (Backing Novak Djokovic 2-0, $50 @ 1.83)
Nadal v Roddick (Backing Rafael Nadal, $50 @ 1.38)
Nadal v Roddick (Backing Rafael Nadal 2-0, $50 @ 2.08)

http://i53.tinypic.com/nqepud.png
By:
Mose
When: 22 Nov 10 11:25
Good Thread Sifon.

About time someone did a truthful diplay of their bets.
Plus you are also well in profit.

Look forward to seeing how you get on bud.
By:
Sifon
When: 22 Nov 10 12:48
Thanks Mose

That's what we need around here. Less talk and more screenshots :)
By:
Fantismo
When: 22 Nov 10 18:46
Sifon, I saw Nadal here last year and he was terrible (by his amazing standards). Okay he was off form and bereaved but I find 1.38 impossible to back until I have seen him play. Would imagine he will trade higher in this match. All amateur guess work on my part of course. Am more tempted to back roddick and trade, but the wife won't let me on the computer. Maybe she will save me some dosh.
By:
Sifon
When: 23 Nov 10 03:08
Looks like you were pretty accurate with your assessment Fantismo. Wife cost you money :)

Results
Selections 22nd November 2010
ATP World Tour Finals 2010

WON +14.26 Djokovic v Berdych (Backing Novak Djokovic, $50 @ 1.30)
WON +39.47 Djokovic v Berdych (Backing Novak Djokovic 2-0, $50 @ 1.83)
WON +18.07 Nadal v Roddick (Backing Rafael Nadal, $50 @ 1.38)
LOST -50 Nadal v Roddick (Backing Rafael Nadal 2-0, $50 @ 2.08)

P&L 22nd November 2010 = +21.80
P&L Current Week = -21.54
P&L Total = +722.62

Percentage - Winners: 22nd November 2010 = 75% (3 out of 4)
Percentage - Winners: Current Week = 66.67% (4 out of 6)
Percentage - Winners: Total = 65.18% (161 out of 247)
Total ROI% - +722.62(P&L)/10310(invested) x 100 = +7.00%
By:
Sifon
When: 23 Nov 10 14:17
Selections 23rd November 2010
ATP World Tour Finals


Federer v Murray (Backing Andy Murray, $50 @ 2.12)
Soderling v Ferrer (Backing Robin Soderling, $50 @ 1.53)

http://i56.tinypic.com/2ex4pz8.png
By:
Veridis Quo
When: 23 Nov 10 18:43
Screenshots; green for wins and red for losses; important figures in bold; neat documentation... what's not to love about this thread? Thanks Sifon, and I hope this is a long-term success. Happy
By:
Sifon
When: 24 Nov 10 06:18
Thanks Veridis Quo. I like good presentation.
By:
Sifon
When: 24 Nov 10 06:25
Selections 23rd November 2010
ATP World Tour Finals

LOST -50 Federer v Murray (Backing Andy Murray, $50 @ 2.12)
WON +25.68 Soderling v Ferrer (Backing Robin Soderling, $50 @ 1.53)

P&L 23rd November 2010 = -24.32
P&L Current Week = -45.86
P&L Total = +698.30

Percentage - Winners: 23rd November 2010 = 50% (1 out of 2)
Percentage - Winners: Current Week = 62.5% (5 out of 8)
Percentage - Winners: Total = 65.06% (162 out of 249)
Total ROI% - +698.30(P&L)/10410(invested) x 100 = +6.70%
By:
Sifon
When: 24 Nov 10 06:37
Selections 24th November 2010
ATP World Tour Finals


Roddick v Berdych (Backing Andy Roddick, $50 @ 1.35)
Nadal v Djokovic (Backing Novak Djokovic, $50 @ 1.94)

http://i56.tinypic.com/156qudy.png
By:
delpotty1
When: 24 Nov 10 22:50
oh dear taking short prices again.

What do u think of my blog:

http://jaystennistrades.blogspot.com
By:
chavdara
When: 24 Nov 10 23:05
Check out my bet :

http://i53.tinypic.com/2wq4vsz.jpg


http://i53.tinypic.com/2wq4vsz.jpg
By:
chavdara
When: 24 Nov 10 23:05
I did research and i put my first bet in the world of betting market
and now my hero is nadal
By:
Sifon
When: 24 Nov 10 23:38
Nice one chavdara, like your screenshots

delpotty1 agree doubles are traders dream usually, but very few matches with liquidity
By:
Sifon
When: 25 Nov 10 08:11
Results
Selections 24th November 2010
ATP World Tour Finals

LOST -50 Roddick v Berdych (Backing Andy Roddick, $50 @ 1.35)
LOST -50 Nadal v Djokovic (Backing Novak Djokovic, $50 @ 1.94)

P&L 24th November 2010 = -124.32
P&L Current Week = -145.86
P&L Total = +598.30

Percentage - Winners: 24th November 2010 = 0% (0 out of 2)
Percentage - Winners: Current Week = 50% (5 out of 10)
Percentage - Winners: Total = 64.54% (162 out of 251)
Total ROI% - +598.30(P&L)/10510(invested) x 100 = +5.69%
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