Busy day tomorrow so posting the night before.
In the 19.00 at Thirsk the David Barron trained Jofranka is going to be pushing to get to the front early on as she makes use of her blistering early speed. She is able to maintain a high cruising speed on the bridle for quite a while meaning she's been available to trade on in 9 of her last 10 races. Further than that, in all of her last 6 races she's traded heavily odds on at 1.64 or below. That's quite some trading record.
Jofranka has been running to this consistent level both within this grade & from his current mark so today I'm expecting another big run which should at the very least get us a trade. She has a very healthy strike rate with 4 victories from 13 races, with some further progression & her consistency of performances I wouldn't want to be betting against her lasting home for all money.
Jofranka can be backed now for 2 points at 5.5 at the books (bet365, boyles). If you want 30% profit then lay off 2.6 points at 4.0, or if you want 50% profit then lay off 3.05 points at 3.5 to give you a 1 point profit in all outcomes.
Best of luck.
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