stoozbet

In the 14.30 at Chester tomorrow our friend from earlier in the week, Ascription, is turned out again and given the ease of his victory I can see how many people will be tempted to back him today. The issue for Ascription is that the reasons for backing him at Goodwood are wrong for him today. The selection at Goodwood was based on the draw and from a low number he was able to sit right on the speed & run the rail all the way to the finish line. Today Ascription is drawn in the car park at Chester, widest of all in stall 13. To have any chance he is going to have to show blistering early speed to cross the field & get a position towards the rail.

In contrast there is a natural front runner drawn in stall 1 at a very generous price of 14/1! This is the 7 year old gelding One Scoop Or Two. He has very good early speed and last time out at Chester he was able to cross in front of the whole field & grab that nearside rail, he traded as short as 1.1 in running but was just touched off in a photo finish. Today he won't have to use that early speed to gain an early position because he has been granted it by the draw. When he goes off & gets around the bend he may just be very hard to peg back.

Hopefully I'm not wrong but at the current price this looks to be one of the best bets I've seen in a long time.

One Scoop Or Two can be backed now at 15.0 at the books (boyles, victor). If you want 30% profit then lay off 2.6 points at 11.0, or if you want 50% profit then lay off 3.05 points at 9.4 to give you a 1 point profit in all outcomes.

Best of luck.

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