In today's paper Tom Segal has made some good points about backing front runners at Goodwood because they can get on with things while the large fields trip over each other in behind around the bend. In the 1st race (13.55) one who I think is sure to push very hard early on to gain a prominent position is the Robert Eddery, Vasily. This horse appears to have just one way of going & that is from the front. This style has meant he's been available to trade on in 8 of his last 10 races including all of his last 5. He's been performing well within this grade all season & at a very big price I'm expecting another solid run.
The draw isn't perfect in stall 12 but I still think he has the early speed to get the position he craves. This should be enough to bring the trade. If he's able to slip the field on the home straight then he could just be very difficult to peg back.
Vasily can be backed now for 2 points at 21.0 at the books (various refunds available if 2nd). If you want 30% profit then lay off 2.6 points at 50.0, or if you want 50% profit then lay off 3.05 points at 13.0 to give you a 1 point profit in all outcomes.
Best of luck.
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