Much has been made of the Mark Johnston yard being in outstanding form however it has to be noted that William Haggas's horses are also absolutely flying right now with 7 winners from his last 20 runners. Even M Johnston can't boast that sort of strike rate!
In the 16.05 at Pontefract Haggas's entry is Arsaadi and this filly has been transformed by the fitting of blinkers in her last two outings. She ran in the Royal Hunt Cup at Royal Ascot & was given no chance by the market sent off at a BSP of 89.0, she defied this to finish 3rd behind Belgian Bill. She followed this up last time out with a good 2nd to Galician at Newbury. Galician has firmly franked this form yesterday by winning a handicap worth £100,000.
She likes to go from the front & with the blinkers applied again she has every chance of upholding her form to run a big race. At the very least I'm expecting her to trade much shorter in running.
Of the others the main danger for me is Gabrial, however he's a horse with some serious quirks & I'd be wanting a double figure price before getting involved.
Arsadi can be backed now for 2 points at 7.0 at the books (stan james). If you want 30% profit then lay off 2.6 points at 5.1, or if you want 50% profit then lay off 3.05 points at 4.5 to give you a 1 point profit in all outcomes.
Best of luck.
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