In the 16.45 at Brighton Decent Fella is going to be a popular selection after hosing up by 5 lengths last time out however the winning margin doesn’t tell the whole story as through the early part of the race he was being pushed along and actually traded at 60% above his BSP in running. He did get on top towards the end but he shoulders a 6lb penalty which should go some way to reducing his advantage.
The one I want to be on for trading purposes is a gelding who I’ve put up many times over the last couple of years, this is the Conor Dore trained gelding Exceedexpectations. He’s been available to trade on in 12 of his last 13 outings because he likes to be either on the speed or to sit on the heels of the leaders. Last time out he faded in the final furlong however he was stepping up in grade that day & today he’s back in the grade he belongs & where he’s proven time & again he’s capable of going very close.
Hayley turner was the last winning jockey aboard this horse & with her in the saddle again today I’m hoping she can control things from the front meaning that at the very least he will trade much shorter in running & may just last home for all the money.
Exceedexpectations can be backed now for 2 points at 8.5 at the books (victor). If you want 30% profit then lay off 2.6 points at 6.2, or if you want 50% profit then lay off 3.05 points at 5.4 to give you a 1 point profit in all outcomes.
Best of luck.
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