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Stoozbet's Trading Blog
In the Duke Of Cambridge Stakes 15.05 at Ascot is a race with some strong form lines through some of the runners with Chigun, Dank, Ladys First and Thistle Bird all having met on the track already this season. The most consistent of these (although perhaps not necessarily the best) is Thistle Bird. The Roger Charlton trained mare has been available to trade on in 5 of her last 6 races and has progressed nicely from being a listed winner to winning a group 3 race last time out at Epsom. Today is another step up in grade however she's proven her self capable of mixing it with many of these runners trading as low as 1.27 when getting beat by Dank & Chigun at Newmarket.

She appears to have responded well to more positive tactics and James Doyle will likely have her positioned towards the front of things, when the pressure comes on she won't cave in either and will keep trying all the way to the line. The aforementioned race at Newmarket was over 1m1f and whilst looking the likely winner about 1f from home, hence trading to 1.27, she didn't quite stay on well enough for her efforts & faded into 3rd. Today's step back to 1m should be just what is required and I'm expecting another bold showing which should at the very least get us a trade & if she's in the mix up come the finish line anything can happen.

Paddy Power will be going 8/1 about Thistle Bird at 9am in the morning so this is the time to step in & secure a Best Odds Guaranteed price.

Thistle Bird can be backed for 2 points at 9.0 at the books (paddy power at 9am). If you want 30% profit then lay off 2.6 points at 6.6, or if you want 50% profit then lay off 3.05 points at 5.7 to give you a 1 point profit in all outcomes.

Best of luck.

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