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Stoozbet's Trading Blog

Trading To Attention

18 Jun 13 01:14
The 17.00 at Ascot is a typle wide open big meeting handicap and one think I think we can be sure of, that over the marathon flat distance of 2m4f you are going to need to stay seriously well to win this. Within this field the one I want to side with is one of the many with a national hunt pedigree and that is the Nicky Henderson runner Lieutenant Miller. This gelding nearly gained a victory in a 3m hurdle race in heavy ground over the winter so his staying abilities aren't in question at all. He also has a smooth traveling style which has meant he's been available to trade on in 13 of his last 14 races.

Today he steps up in grade however after going quite close on a few occasions prior to landing a victory at Doncaster last time out I'm left with the impression that he may be well handicapped and a faster pace that he's likely to get in a handicap at the Royal Meeting could be just what is required to see him to best effect. Ex NH jockey Graham Lee is in the saddle & he is a great judge of pace over these longer distances so if he lets them all get on with it up front through the 1st half of the race we should see the partnership make up ground through the 2nd half & I'm expecting them to trade shorter in running at the very least.

Lieutenant Miller can be backed for 2 points at 13.0 at the books (hills, paddy, boyles). If you want 30% profit then lay off 2.6 points at 9.4, or if you want 50% profit then lay off 3.05 points at 8.2 to give you a 1 point profit in all outcomes.

Best of luck.

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