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Stoozbet's Trading Blog

A Trespassing Trade

08 Jun 13 10:39
Everyone knows just how much Dr Marwan Koukash loves to have a winner at Chester and in the 15.20 he has a pretty good chance with the ultra consistent Area Fifty One. This horse has put in 3 solid efforts so far this season with a victory & a 2nd place at Epsom & a really good run over course & distance here at Chester where he was up against it with his draw. The last day at Chester he traded from a BSP of 10.0 down to 4.0 from a terrible berth in stall 8.

Today he is much better drawn in stall 4 meaning he can sit closer to the inside rail, he's a hold up type so we can expect him to make up ground in the final 1/4 of the race, he should be right in the mix come the finish line & I'm expecting him to improve for the firmer ground. At the very least he should shorten up in running to give the traders an easier profit but he also has a great chance of getting home 1st to scoop the pot.

Area Fifty One can be backed now for 2 points at 7.0 at the books (fred). If you want 30% profit then lay off 2.6 points at 5.1, or if you want 50% profit then lay off 3.05 points at 4.4 to give you a 1 point profit in all outcomes.

Best of luck.

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