Looking at todays cards it’s taken until the 20.10 at Windsor tonight to find a suitable bet/trade and it comes in the shape of the highly unexposed Godolphin runner, Ustura. The 4 year old gelding has had just 3 racecourse starts and after winning a maiden he finished 2nd in a very similar race to today’s contest at Haydock last September.
The real clincher is the horse he finished 2nd to at Haydock, Brockwell, has come out since and been placed twice in some valuable handicaps a grade higher than today’s race. So with some space form we are getting a picture that Ustura could be much better than those he competes against today. Whilst he is making his reappearance the form of the Saeed Bin Suroor stable has taken off in the last few days with 4 winners from his last 10 runners. These Bin Suroor horses clearly are ready to go & do not need the run!
The main danger in the field for me is Icebuster who I think could just improve for the step up in distance. Rather than back that unknown I’d rather stick with the emerging form line through Ustura and whilst I expect a bold showing from both I think the Ustura is more likely to trade shorter in the run.
Ustura can be backed now for 2 points at 5.0 at the books (paddy). If you want 30% profit then lay off 2.6 points at 3.7, or if you want 50% profit then lay off 3.05 points at 3.2 to give you a 1 point profit in all outcomes.
Best of luck
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