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In the 19.10 at Windsor the favourite Hanseatic has only had one visit to a racecourse last November where he won his maiden. He is a Galileo colt and is being very much priced up on reputation. He may well be too classy for this bunch of handicappers but given his lack of experience I definitely won’t be backing around 5/4 & even if he does get home it may not be totally straight forward.

The one I am interested in for a trade is the Clive Cox trained Greylami. This stable is in fantastic form currently with 50% of his last 20 runners being placed or better. Greylami has been running in better races on the All Weather than the one he competes in today and has performed with credit just going down by a short head in Janurary at Kempton. His all weather mark is much higher than his turf mark so having run off 88, 85 & 86 over the winter, today he runs off 76.

With his fitness assured and the stable in rude health I’m expecting a big run today. He’s likely to sit in mid field through the main part of the race before producing his challenge around 2f from home. He is a strong traveling sort & if he’s still going well when making up ground around 2-3f out then his price should shorten up for a trade.

Greylami can be backed now for 2 points at 9.0 at the books (bet365, hills). If you want 30% profit then lay off 2.6 points at 6.6, or if you want 50% profit then lay off 3.05 points at 5.7 to give you a 1 point profit in all outcomes.

Best of luck.

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