The 15.05 at Lingfield is a race where there doesn't appear to be many who would definitely like to make the running. There's a fair few hold up types who would like a strong pace to aim at but without that pace guaranteed it's interesting to think what will happen once the stalls open.
The most likely scenario is that from stall 2 the well drawn Arachnophobia will do as he did last time & go out ahead & attempt to make all. He was just foiled in her attempt last time by just one other horse in a very similar race over course & distance. With a lack of a contested lead we could just see him try to slip the field and get the others working hard to close the gap to him at the front.
If he does get that uncontested lead and is able to get the others off the bridle trying to catch him between the 2f & 1f poles then his price should shorten up accordingly to give us a trade.
Arachnophobia can be backed now for 2 points at 7.0 at the books (stan james) and on Betfair. If you want 30% profit then lay off 2.6 points at 5.1, or if you want 50% profit then lay off 3.05 points at 4.5 to give you a 1 point profit in all outcomes.
Best of luck.
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