stoozbet

The 16.30 at Lingfield is a competitive little handicap which often makes for great trading I I think I've found a good proposition in the form of the the David Simcock trained Hierarch.

This gelding is bang in form and has finished 2nd in his last 2 races, each time he's just looked to have bumped into one both times. He's traveled very strongly through those races going much shorter than his start price in running, the fact he's been touched off both times may mean that he could need a step back in trip from the 1m he's been running over. The last time Hierarch ran over 7f he won & there is no reason to think that he won't do again today.

Siobhan Miller gave him a good ride last time out & she retains the ride today including her useful 7lb claim. Hierarch's last run at Kempton was actually a step up on my ratings from the previous time he finished 2nd. A repeat of that performance will be enough to take this contest however all we need is for Hierarch to be traveling well & in touch around the 1f pole & his price should shorten up to give us a trade.

Hierarch can be backed now for 2 points at 5.5 at the books (Bet365) and at 5.8 on Betfair. If you want 30% profit then lay off 2.6 points at 4.0, or if you want 50% profit then lay off 3.05 points at 3.5 to give you a 1 point profit in every outcome.

Best of luck.

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