Thanks to all who’ve got in touch. I’ll post additional rated horses on twitter until I can find somewhere on the web to put them up as this trading blog has a niche with a following who I think appreciate the simplicity of the strategy & the way the profits are honestly recorded. I wouldn’t want to confuse things by sticking a bunch of punting selections up here.
Today in the 14.20 at Wolverhampton we’ve got a motley bunch of low grade handicappers with lots of form through all of them to analyse. The biggest piece of form is when Liberty Ship, M J Woodward, Wreningham & Ryedale Dancer all met over course & distance on 2nd January this year.
That day they finished 2nd, 3rd, 4th & 5th with of them separated by ½ a length. Since then Liberty Ship has come out & won so he’s up in the weights, that day Ryedale Dancer had a useful 5lb claimer on board which she doesn’t have today, I think she’s better over 6f too. M J Woodward is the same at the weights & Wreningham is slightly lower.
Now in spite of being the best treated at the weights of those that raced that day Wreningham is also one of the larger prices, currently available at 8.0.
Looking at the shape of the race the majority of those at the head of the market are all hold up horses who like to come late & fast. Wreningham loves to grab the lead & today I don’t see too much contesting him for it especially as he has a great draw in stall 2. The last day he was involved in a pace dual with the eventual winner which meant he used up too much energy & finished in the pack with the others. Today it’s possible to see him getting his own way out in front & the market should react accordingly to shorten his price up to give us a trade. Wreningham has also been available to trade at the prices we require in 10 of his last 11 starts.
Wreningham can be backed now for 2 points at 9.5 at the books (victor). If you want 30% profit then lay off 2.6 points at 7.0 or if you want 50% profit then lay off 3.05 points at 6.0 to give you a 1 point all green screen.
The price of Wreningham has been on the drift all morning so ensure that you use a best odds guaranteed bookmaker to protect against any drift.
Best of luck.
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