The 1st race at Southwell (13.30) is a low grade handicap and most of these runners are in this grade because they struggle to put in a good performance consistently. That makes the mount of Luke Morris, Auto Mac, stand out as the 4 year old gelding has put together a string of decent performances in this grade.
Lately the tactics have been to send him to the front, which usually stretches the field out causing his rivals to be rousted along to get on terms with him. Last time out in a similar race the market sent him off at a BSP of 4.8 and he traded down to 2.56 in the run and finished 3rd of 14. Going again today off the same mark from a good draw to get out & grab the lead the 11.0 at the books now looks too big.
We can expect Auto Mac to be sent to the front again & if he’s still there around 2 furlongs from home his price should shorten up enough to give us a trade.
Auto Mac can be backed now for 2 points at 11.0 at the books (coral, etc) and 13.0 on Betfair. If you want 30% profit then lay off 2.6 points at 8.2, or if you want 50% profit then lay off 3.05 points at 7.0 to give you a 1 point profit in every outcome.
Best of luck.
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