stoozbet

Folkestone is a track with a pace bias towards front runners & draw bias towards the high numbers. In the 15.50 we have both of these combined in the Mark Johnston runner Centrifugal. The 3 year old has been available to trade in each of his last 5 starts including 2 class 4 handicaps. He was dropped to maiden races for his last 2 starts finishing a close 2nd & winning comfortably on his latest start. I think we're seeing some progression now from him & back in a class 4 handicap we can see him go well from the front in a small field.

His action looks like his loves to hit the ground hard so the good to firm conditions today should be ideal. I also think that 7 furlongs is his optimum trip which he ran over (and won) for the 1st time last time out. Today I think that all the stars are aligned for Centrifugal to run a big race which should be enough to give us our trade.

Now here comes the warning! As any regular readers will be familiar with I bang on about taking the best back price possible. The mood in the markets looks clearly to me like the layers want to take Centrifugal on, he's currently been matched at 5.0 on betfair & the bookies are a best price 4/1 too. I will not be jumping in myself yet as a drift closer to the off is expected. I will be trying to get on at 6.0 or above. Below are the lay off prices if you can get backed at 6.0 but obviously adjust your own lay off prices to reflect the back price you achieve.

If you back Centrifugal for 2 points at 6.0 on betfair, if you're looking for 30% profit then lay off 2.6 points at 4.5 or if you're looking for 50% profit then lay off 3.05 points at 3.9.

Best of luck