stoozbet

Bath is a track where hold up horses are favored with the up hill finish however the 16.50 today is a race with only one runner who you could say with confidence is likely to make the running. That runner is the 5 year old gelding Annelko who ran last week in the same grade over 1m5f and he had the field all off the bridle 3 furlongs from home, he was swallowed up in the final furlong but showed enough to suggest that he may not be far off a winning mark.

Last weeks race was in soft ground but there has been no rain at Bath all week so it’s now officially firm. Annelko’s best form has been on firm or good to firm ground, no doubt due to his front running style.

In a race where there is likely to be no pace on it may be possible for Martin Lane to control things from the front and get away from the field turning for home. He knows that his horse more than gets the distance which today is 1m3f so if Annelko is at the front & still on the bridle 3f from home then we can expect the price to drop accordingly. He may get home or he may not but we’re hoping that the shape of this race can give us a profit regardless of the outcome.

Annelko can be backed now for 2 points at 5.0* with the books & on here. If you’re looking for 30% profit then lay off 2.6 points at 3.7 or if you want 50% profit then lay off 3.05 points at 3.2 to give you a 1 point all round profit.

Best of luck

*If I had to guess a fair SP for Annelko I'd say around 5.5 so do try & get the best price possible & revise your lay off prices upwards to make the trade easier for yourself.

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