The 19.50 at Kempton is a nursery handicap and contains an interesting runner, the Mark Johnston trained Wellingrove. He's justifiably at the head of the market on his 2 previous performances where he traded to 1.1 & 1.32 in running, I think he's the one in this race with the most tallent and should be competing in handicaps at a grade or 2 above this in time. He has run a little green which is why he didn't get his head in front before but I think that he's got all the ability & should improve for each run he has.
A useful claimer gets the ride today in Raul Da Silva and he's well drawn in stall 2 to get a good passage around the inside rail to either deliver a challenge turning for home or to take it up from the front.
He's on the short side for a trade but we can still invest 2 points at 4.3 (stan james) or on here, if you're looking for 30% profit then lay off 2.6 points at 3.2 or if you want 50% profit then lay off 3.05 points at 2.78.
Best of luck.
I'm aware that the prices don't last long on some trades so if you want an alert when the Betfair Blogs get published you can follow on twitter @stoozbet
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