stoozbet

Trying to maintain the 100% success rate for this month we're turning again to the all weather at Kempton where in the 1st race the 18.20 we have a handicapper who has been slipping in the weights all year from a high of 96 last August down to an official rating today of 77. The gelding in question is the David Nicholls trained Snow Bay who consistently runs from the front to pull the field along. He hasn't been getting home in his races meaning that he's slipped in the weights & grade but he's been available to trade in each of his last 6 races in spite of a weak finish. This has been because of his ease of getting to the lead & maintaining it with a smooth traveling style, unfortunately he doesn't usually find much for pressure.

However he managed a good staying on 3rd in a similar race on turf last time out hinting that the elusive win may not be far away, when horses like this reach low weights they can be dangerous to give a lead to.

Snow Bay can be backed at the books at 9.0 and at 9.8 on here. A drift in price before the off would really not surprise me given his weak finishes so think twice before diving in straight away. Perhaps use a best odds guaranteed bookmaker to partially protect against this.

If you back for 2 points at 9.0, if you want 30% profit then lay off 2.6 points at 6.2 or if you're shooting for 50% profit then lay off 3.05 points at 5.7. Note the lay off prices are for the lower back prices at the books so that everyone can follow if they wish, do try to get a better price though & revise your lay off prices upwards.

Best of luck