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Eurovision 2026

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By:

Escapee When: 28 Apr 26 00:42

The market move for denmark is probably based on this poll
https://eurovisionworld.com/esc/eurovision-2026-poll

which has seen Denmark surge into 2nd place with 10.6k votes behind Finland's 19.6k

France 3rd (5.6k)
Greece 4th (5.4k)
Sweden 5th (5.4k)

Obviously I'm losing some confidence in my pick of France, but hey ho.

G'Luck.

P.S. Denmark is such an obvious continuation of the last 2 years, I'll be kicking myself for not backing "same old, same old" if it wins

By:

Henry VIII When: 28 Apr 26 06:49

They're still 8.2 so you don't have to kick yourself.

By:

Henry VIII When: 28 Apr 26 06:54

Finland, Denmark likely winners atm but we have likely seen their staging. Most of them we haven't seen.

By:

five leaves left When: 28 Apr 26 10:47

The market move for Denmark is down to it topping the EuroJury vote atm, escapee

By:

Escapee When: 28 Apr 26 14:09

Thanks fll

Initially I thought you were referring to the BF market, after a bit of googling I found this site:

https://eurovoix.com/category/eurovision/eurovision-2026/
..

Here's the BF jury vote market

Eurovision 2026 -- Jury Vote Winner

35 Runners £31,862 Matched

			107.6%	94%
Australia	2.7	2.74	2.76	2.78	2.8	2.98	£11,674
	£16	£6	£42	£47	£137	£434
France	4	4.1	4.2	4.4	4.5	4.8	£8,281
	£40	£8	£2	£8	£33	£12
Finland	6.8	7.4	7.6	8.4	8.6	8.8	£4,668
	£50	£24	£3	£6	£12	£57
Denmark	7	7.2	7.4	8	8.2	8.4	£3,728
	£37	£9	£2	£47	£17	£27
Czechia	6	13	16	28	29	70	£1,098
	£36	£9	£7	£4	£16	£4
Sweden	40	44	46	48	65	100	£550
	£8	£9	£6	£13	£2	£3
Romania	1.01	2	65	110	130	140	£167
	£1,000	£5	£14	£12	£6	£4
Ukraine	80	90	95	120	200	-	£254
	£1	£2	£3	£4	£2
Greece	40	42	44	100	480	500	£232
	£64	£2	£2	£17	£4	£2
Malta	55	85	95	790	-	-	£380
	£3	£2	£6	£2
Croatia	80	85	100	150	200	280	£102
	£2	£3	£1	£8	£5	£4
plus 24 more runners not listed above, at odds of over 100

By:

Lifter When: 28 Apr 26 14:56

Australia's (and also France's) jury odds seem quite low. It's a toss-up for me, and the two favs at 7s are better value IMO. That said, doubt I'll get involved in any of these markets during these late stages. The early days are where we capture the competition value, and that's been done

By:

five leaves left When: 28 Apr 26 19:26

I think you'll like this H. Monroe covering Tatoo. . Whatever you think of the song she's such a good live performer

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LQZC8jupq0U&t=166s

By:

Henry VIII When: 28 Apr 26 19:43

Yes magical but the Eurojuries prefer Denmark. Here's the europarty which I saw from a distant lens and thought wtf is this. Close up, as in broadcast shots, makes all the difference.
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/mlb8mOA4kyw
Her charisma has the potential for a major public hook.

By:

Henry VIII When: 28 Apr 26 19:48

Actually I prefer Denmark now betting wise lol. Personally I'm not a fan of Denmark and like France, Czechia, Switz, Is****.

By:

Escapee When: 30 Apr 26 22:26

put your kebab down and have a look at Greece... in from 11 last week to 5.6 over the last couple of days !?

I've tried and tried, listened to the song again... then again... I can't see how it could win as a song, I just can't. It's so so repetitive, it's got almost zero cadences. The best compliment I could come up with is it's blokey bedroom balderdash.

One day, a fairly meritless song is going to win the whole competition purely because of the social media foot print the artist has.

Will it be 2026?

Eurovision 2026 -- Winner

40 Runners £1,066,431 Matched

			105.7%	99.1%
Finland	2.94	2.96	2.98	3	3.05	3.1	£392,281
	£32	£90	£29	£17	£179	£106
Greece	5	5.2	5.5	5.6	5.9	6	£85,803
	£296	£347	£277	£118	£4	£7
Denmark	7.8	8	8.2	8.6	8.8	9	£113,463
	£30	£157	£63	£75	£84	£45
France	10	10.5	11	11.5	12	12.5	£104,067
	£132	£90	£7	£62	£58	£21
Australia	10.5	11	11.5	13.5	14	14.5	£81,773
	£200	£13	£54	£21	£197	£32
Israel	19.5	20	21	22	24	25	£58,369
	£67	£22	£6	£51	£113	£13
Romania	32	34	36	38	40	42	£22,325
	£8	£3	£21	£2	£56	£64
Sweden	38	40	42	44	46	50	£47,094
	£29	£20	£3	£23	£2	£9
Malta	38	40	42	55	60	65	£22,765
	£5	£13	£10	£31	£22	£9
Italy	40	42	44	46	48	50	£20,396
	£41	£51	£5	£4	£23	£14
Ukraine	55	60	65	70	75	80	£22,775
	£3	£5	£3	£11	£8	£2
plus 29 more runners not listed above, at odds of over 100

By:

Henry VIII When: 01 May 26 06:47

I don't think it's much to do with his social media footprint. It's just that people like it. I don't but whatever.

By:

Lifter When: 01 May 26 08:07

It's because of the Eurojury results. Greece are near the top, which wasn't expected

By:

Henry VIII When: 01 May 26 09:55

May 1, 2026 -- 8:07AM, Lifter wrote:

It's because of the Eurojury results. Greece are near the top, which wasn't expected

Yes of course, I was replying to your social media comment.

By:

Lifter When: 01 May 26 13:28

That was Escapee, not me. I'm replying to them, too

By:

Bobsyauncle When: 01 May 26 18:54

I think we get a Finland Greece flip flop before the final

By:

Henry VIII When: 04 May 26 09:12

No flip flop yet. Do we try to make things interesting by trying to topple the obvious winner Finland? Especially if, like Finland, it's not very innovative? Especially if we don't like it? And yet it continues to stare us in the face as the obvious winner.

By:

Henry VIII When: 04 May 26 10:29

Greece has momentum, maybe for 2nd, a ceiling imo, but possibly a fair bit lower. Does momentum in the bubble mean anything to the public?

By:

Bobsyauncle When: 04 May 26 13:11

Australia by far my biggest green. Think Delta will perform way better with the televote than expected. Provided she isn't shafted by the running order in the final.

By:

Henry VIII When: 04 May 26 15:45

How much has the RO lost meaning with voting from the beginning?

By:

lapsy pa When: 09 May 26 19:52

@ Escapee 30th April, maybe social media but the most important thing isn't that but the fact you can vote 10 times for the same country. A heavy campaign for that and by who? Step forward Israel with mediocre personified but most certainly using their 10 phonecalls. At 20/1 4 places have tempted,they will get next to nothing for the song except from a handful of countries, they will win the phone side i would think,would it be enough?
No bet however, i would be sullied.

By:

lapsy pa When: 09 May 26 19:54

Apologies if that above has already been addressed but didn't read through thread.

By:

Henry VIII When: 10 May 26 10:16

Likely winning tele means Israel unknown threat. However poor Eurojury score suggests jury Israel sentinment will still be like last year. 3 or 4 countries likely to score high jury points and that's not dissipated enough for Israel to come through because most of those countries will also get high tele points.
Their song isn't mediocre though, one of the best imo.

By:

lapsy pa When: 10 May 26 13:03

^ Fair enough and i may be a bit harsh on the song itself, it is sung mostly in French which may have continental appeal.I haven't heard other songs so can't rate it with them.
I was surprised that people can vote 10 times which is why i posted and i think a campaign to abuse that will almost definitely happen with them.
No bet but if was anyone else i would have,gl with your picks.

By:

Henry VIII When: 10 May 26 16:44

Last year you could vote 20 times so going in the right direction at least.

By:

Cider When: 10 May 26 17:16

Israel could be Waterloo mark II and lapsy would still be b1tching about it. He isn't alone, of course.

By:

lapsy pa When: 10 May 26 18:45

You can google 'Kan given warning over Israel Eurovision votes' I said it in good faith on a dedicated thread and simply making people aware.

By:

Cider When: 10 May 26 19:15

Step forward Israel with mediocre personified

sure

By:

lapsy pa When: 10 May 26 19:27

And? I didn't think too much of the song,that marries in with the context of the rest of the post.

You have no comment on their state TV encouraging block voting though on that link which is pertinent to betting on this.

By:

Cider When: 10 May 26 19:55

I have no idea if it's a good song or not, I don't ever recall you passing judgement on past eurovision songs. It's no surprise that when you do, it's probably a Jewish act representing Israel.

As for multi-voting, it was ever thus. Am I surprised if Israel are pushing their vote as you claim, absolutely not. They know they won't get a fair crack from the juries.

By:

Bobsyauncle When: 11 May 26 18:05

Here comes the Greece plunge :)

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 11 May 26 19:56

A New York Times investigation found Israel ran a coordinated, multi-year campaign to influence Eurovision results.

- Israel spent at least $1 million on Eurovision marketing, including over $800,000 in ads around the 2024 Malmö contest, partly funded by Netanyahu's government propaganda office
- Multilingual ads urged viewers to vote up to 20 times for Israel's contestants. Netanyahu himself posted voting graphics on Instagram
- Israeli embassies reportedly pressured European broadcasters to keep Israel in the contest
- Israel's singer won the popular vote in countries where Israel polls deeply unpopular
- The European Broadcasting Union kept full vote data secret, canceled an emergency vote on Israel's participation, and adopted vague rule changes instead
- Iceland, Ireland, the Netherlands, Spain, and Slovenia boycotted the 2026 contest in Vienna

By:

timbuctooth When: 12 May 26 02:36

Shock horror, as commie globalist rag engages in ritualistic anti-semitism!

By:

Henry VIII When: 12 May 26 15:36

NYT are Jewish so you must be delighted that that investigation into Israel makes them secular and unbiased.

By:

Escapee When: 12 May 26 18:07

timbuctooth

Shock horror, as commie globalist rag engages in ritualistic anti-semitism!

Dunno why you're bring religion into this timbuck?

This is a song contest between countries and a betting event for us, religion has nothing to do with it.

Semi Final 1 -- To Qualify

15 Runners 10 Winners £193,220 Matched

			813.3%	984.3%
Finland	-	-	-	1.01	1.02	42	£3,308
				£5,504	£18	£2
Greece	-	-	-	1.01	1.02	1.04	£12,430
				£3,285	£294	£1,250
Sweden	-	1.01	1.02	1.03	1.04	1.05	£25,566
		£5,463	£1,459	£485	£995	£110
Israel	-	-	1.01	1.02	1.03	1.04	£9,970
			£451	£8	£858	£170
Croatia	1.02	1.04	1.05	1.07	1.08	1.1	£12,414
	£1,111	£15	£17	£60	£552	£46
Moldova	1.01	1.02	1.03	1.05	1.06	1.07	£15,154
	£1,306	£12	£19	£434	£6	£500
Serbia	1.01	1.11	1.13	1.2	1.23	1.26	£37,283
	£1,016	£16	£442	£6	£39	£517
Lithuania	1.55	1.56	1.57	1.58	1.59	1.6	£7,606
	£351	£60	£8	£15	£78	£125
Poland	1.23	1.25	1.26	1.37	1.38	1.4	£17,522
	£189	£46	£168	£8	£148	£40
Montenegro	2.52	2.54	2.6	2.7	2.8	2.88	£5,957
	£39	£8	£26	£18	£41	£3
Portugal	1.94	1.95	1.96	2.08	2.1	2.22	£9,139
	£17	£9	£1	£11	£25	£77
Estonia	2.74	2.76	2.78	3	3.05	3.1	£20,609
	£134	£55	£9	£390	£3	£104
Belgium	3.25	3.3	3.35	3.4	3.45	3.5	£5,311
	£4	£176	£9	£2	£13	£30
Georgia	7.6	7.8	9	10	10.5	11	£4,550
	£200	£5	£48	£10	£2	£4
San Marino	3.5	3.65	3.85	4	4.1	4.2	£6,401
	£5	£3	£19	£262	£11	£94

By:

FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK When: 12 May 26 20:16

Jeez h that’s top 5 tonight
What load pony that was by moldova

By:

FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK When: 12 May 26 20:18

She can’t sing
Why she in mask

By:

FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK When: 12 May 26 20:21

This song reminds me of some
Dodgy Britain’s got talent audition

By:

Escapee When: 12 May 26 20:26

Greece is ridiculous as 2nd favourites

By:

FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK When: 12 May 26 20:28

Was he trying to be Korean?

By: