Specials
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IM A CELEBRITY 2023
IM A CELEBRITY 2023
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Replies: 3,141
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Or they would need to load the 2nd one already. Which would be way too confusing. Need to get up to finish 3rd, 4th etc instead.
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So, BF got concerned about insider betting on these markets then.
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As they should of years ago stu, they are obviously concerned enough to think its not been eradicated or can be.
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They can still trade the main market of course, which is open and active - some interesting moves, guess Tony is doing fairly well...
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HS still available though and can imagine votes close at the bottom, lets see if the insiders get this one right
5/4 dettori 11/8 nella 7/2 nick 16/1 nige 20/1 marv 25/1 fred |
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big question is, do they get live date from voting or glimpses in time ? latter probably
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data*
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Bellew hitting 3.2 earlier, blimey.
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That was during Sat show. Drifted as soon as vts open announced.
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That was during the edit when a flop was looking good, Sam has hit close to 2.50 recently though. which was the price he was when the VTW was announced, then quickly took down to 2.2 range soon after.
looks like sam has traded odds on to 2.5 ish overnight/last few hours |
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I don't think you'll see any prod backing until they have the first print out in their hands
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The move on sam after the vote opened likely just some profit transferring from bellew backers, only those two look like winners
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Farage is the OR price to watch for insiders as is based purely on theory of a vote manifested outside of the minutiae of the show. If he's 8th or summat will be hooked right out. If that vote actually exists (much unlikelier), will be the opposite.
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unless the insiders have finally got clever, they are not active coz no stupid lumps or massive moves as yet.
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You'll be able to tell on all the prices tbh. If bellew and sam are close that'll cause a bit of confusion, but it'll be crystal clear on people lagging behind
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I suppose the other one is Tony, if he is not close to top after the last two gold plated shows as the positive vote begins, then you would be confident enough to hook him right out.
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Sam backers are convinced or assume his massive followers combined with his bird are gonna see him p1ss in, is the most likely explanation at this stage.
im hoping tony has mass general appeal that will see him swamp the SM goons |
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The app votes are notoriously tight Brushy. Often only one or two percent between them. They aren't sophisticated as I've alluded to, but they can't be too dogmatic this far out unless the market is completely out of whack.
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Sam has had a great series lol. That would be the reason if he's doing well
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The dream result for all of us is, marvin or fred leave 1st and we have a clean market
 #neverhappening  |
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I did a lot of research on this when we had all the data published, and it is very surprising a, how close app voting is, b, how consistent it is every day, and c, how little the daily edit impacts it.
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At this stage they have picked there winner i guess, only something major in the edit can sway people.
whoever is leading or very close to leading early, wins |
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Contradiction there cider, the money is too dogmatic, but the edit makes no difference?
Money isn't too dogmatic then |
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That was during Sat show. Drifted as soon as vts open announced.
Still an amazing price considering. |
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They got seriously burned on Andy.
The edit doesn't make much difference, but vote transference is not always equally distributed. I'm absolutely certain that the data would have showed Andy winning all the daily votes, as the market told us in no uncertain terms. |
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No one can get on with the bookies so doubt those elimination markets will tell us anything constructive
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As an aside when you draw an illogical conclusion on partial evidence to fit the seemingly obvious conclusion, it does suggest that the seemingly obvious conclusion may be wrong
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So, wonder if we will get a Frankie removed tonight, or will it be invisible Nick (or still poss Nella)?
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Dunno, but can't wait for the market to reopen :(
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It's not going to reopen. Settled on the result.
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No more insider trading on elims, but a tedious series becomes a little bit more so.
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Only a week left...
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you've not lost your sharpness in 20+ years on here stu
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Well the bookies are shortening Nella to fave for 1st elim. Hills evens into 1/2. Fred 5/4 into 4/5. Sky 4/5 into 8/11. But she'd be the casuals first pick anyway so might not mean jack
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I really can't see her going, so that's a surprise.
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Trial coming up, might scrape a vote or two
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You would have to assume its casuals money everything else says it isnt her.
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They made it piss easy for her judging by the VT
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sam is such a childish pr1ck
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tony is so close to going fav, just one more decent moment for him and it will happen
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