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I'm A Celebrity 2022

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By:
armagnac
When: 28 Nov 22 13:06

Nov 27, 2022 -- 9:00PM, Ramruma wrote:


Re fruit machines: this 15-minute video purporting to explain how they work went up on Youtube yesterday.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EomDfEAIcC0


Sounds like the travel reservations and ships in international waters have there own rules, bit like our fairgrounds by the sounds of it lol and my experience of them are the machines are set to the lowest percentage and your're lucky if they have a float inside. Tbh i've avoided them big time over the years as you can imagine even well run fairground arcades won't be very welcoming to the pro player.

'Each and every pull on a slot machine is a completely independent mathematical event, it is not influenced in anyway by what's happened up till that point'

Ok lets start here, and you have to remember UK and American machines are set up differently. Im not sure if there are any compensated machines outside of the UK, the definition above is how a 'random' machine is programmed.
A compensated fruit machine in the UK is definitely influenced by previous game play, so if its played very badly for a period of time, then that machines percentage will rise and rise over its setting of say 78% which most are set at around pubs. A lot higher for arcades btw, closer to 90%. If then i come along and play the machine correctly i will win very, very quickly.
A machine being played correctly will hover around its percentage of 78% and will be tougher to win out of.

As he points out nobody actually knows what the percentage is based on ?
So is it 78% of £100,000 or 78% of 100,000 plays or different amounts, this is the one thing that nobody has ever worked out or knows about. The machine returns 78% of what ?
As i have said and he mentions the percentage can go above and even below its setting of 78% depending how its been played. It goes above when generally played very badly for long periods. Its rare it goes under its percentage and it happens when you force a win that the machine didn't really want to give you. The machine would then go into a minus mode and play terribly until getting back to its standard 78%.

Random machines

Both here and America have random machines but i believe they are set up very differently.
He says they use a random number generator for each and every spin depending when you hit start.
So here on a random machine if you press start after 1 second from last spin it will land say cherry cherry melon, but say you press start after two seconds instead it will still give the cherry cherry melon. Im not certain on this, that's my guess but those rules would definitely apply to a compensated machine, as every spin is pre-determined.
What he's basically saying is the machines over there are not pre-determined and every spin no matter when you press start is determined by a random number generator. So if you hit start after 1 second you may get cherry cherry melon, but if you had waited 2 seconds the outcome would of been different, say melon cherry cherry. I actually never knew this so very interesting, I thought all machines every where were pre-dtermined and would give the same outcome no matter how long between each press.

It basically means random machines either here or there are virtually impossible to figure out a system to beat them, no matter how good you are on machines. Hence the reason pro's only target compensated machines. As far as i know and i know a lot of players from around the country, there has never been methods on random machines. Unless there is a serious flaw in the programming that is to allow you to manipulate it into paying all its money out, but that is a completely separate topic. Under normal playing conditions they are unbeatable. Hence the word 'random'

hope this helps

By:
Ramruma
When: 28 Nov 22 13:12
Thanks, armagnac.
By:
armagnac
When: 28 Nov 22 13:13
A random machine can payout 3 jackpots in 10 mins or you might not see a jackpot in 2 days of play, obviously the latter is impossible on a compensated machine.
By:
armagnac
When: 28 Nov 22 13:14
No worries Ram Happy
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 28 Nov 22 20:34

Nov 28, 2022 -- 12:47PM, Cider wrote:


Owen won the h2h. Almost certain that the alleged b2 at the last five was indeed fake.


Can you say for certain Owen won the hth? No, depends how many votes were cast in both sections

By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 28 Nov 22 21:01
If say the vote in the second section has half the votes  of the first it would put them roughly level in the hth
By:
armagnac
When: 28 Nov 22 21:12
Gone to find an abacus
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 29 Nov 22 09:55
Lol army. You can make a nice graph.  The higher the vote in the second section, Jill still won it, then there's a crossover point at around 50% of the initial vote and below that Owen won.  Guesswork.  I'd probably guess at around 50% myself.  Who knows
By:
Jim Duncan
When: 29 Nov 22 09:57

Nov 28, 2022 -- 12:05AM, GeorgeBrush wrote:


All good tim, just had to finish constant Betfairing due to the lack of liquidity, pc and my business demanding constant attention.

By:
Jim Duncan
When: 29 Nov 22 09:57
Love
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 29 Nov 22 09:57
There's certainly an argument that Jill voters were motivated by the ****, so their motivation was gone

If the prods had continued with the 2nd week form Owen would have won.  I guess he was just too grumpy with lack of food by week 3 so show him much
By:
armagnac
When: 29 Nov 22 11:04
I guess a lot of non watching haters switched off the minute Hancock left, so not to see his interview and mission accomplished, probably didn't care who won..victory was won.
I guess the worry and big headache for prods was, Hancock was doing nothing to cast doubt and his support stayed strong, they had to focus on one who could definitely beat him, it does appear Owen was chosen but as you say Brushy, overcome with hunger he became a liability. They then had too discredit him so the voters would switch to Jill, so while shafting him Jill was getting all her one liners in and outfits made up for the game changing trial in the car.
Surely it was easier to get Jill over the line anyway, than bother with Owen...so maybe Jill wasn't 1st choice but could never risk the Hancock win so plan b was made.

All guesswork lol but makes sense to me
By:
armagnac
When: 29 Nov 22 11:14
It does appear that getting a women to win IAC doesn't really take much doing, Gio non offensive, motherly, boring. Jill non offensive, semi entertaining, wasn't really boring coz she got involved in nearly every conversation she was seen in.
I suppose Dougie won being a bit dull but i do think generally the men really have to go some to get over the line in a series with a decent woman in.
I dunno probably talking rubbish, i like the psychology of big brother more.
By:
Lifter
When: 29 Nov 22 15:08
Being "nice" is perhaps the number one trait to winning IAC. It's why putting a line through Boy George, Chris Moyles, etc... was so easy. I guess more women tend to have that trait. Someone can be super entertaining, but complain or bitch for 2 seconds, and their run is over.
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 29 Nov 22 21:29

Nov 29, 2022 -- 3:08PM, Lifter wrote:


Being "nice" is perhaps the number one trait to winning IAC. It's why putting a line through Boy George, Chris Moyles, etc... was so easy. I guess more women tend to have that trait. Someone can be super entertaining, but complain or bitch for 2 seconds, and their run is over.


You missed the Charlie brooks series then. :)

To be fair that was an outlier

By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 29 Nov 22 21:31
I couldn't stand Patterson either
By:
Lifter
When: 29 Nov 22 21:39
Ah yes, I was too young to be betting on that one. I actually saw her at Waterloo station the other week, ha.

I dislike most of the winners to be fair Laugh which makes it slightly harder
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 29 Nov 22 21:46
It was like imac had morphed into BB for a year. I think those series most people had switched off and a grumpy moany mare won. Didn't feel like that this year, the audience stuck with it to make sure **** didn't win
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 29 Nov 22 21:54
People say it's impossible to win these shows be acting for x number of weeks, well no, I'll point you in the direction of Vicki fecking Paterson
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