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Replies: 306
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 01 Dec 16 11:23
Best high street prices for:

Without Matt..........4/6 Saara, 7/2 Emily, 9/2 5AM

9th Elimination........11/8 5AM, 13/8 Emily, 4/1 Saara, 20/1 Matt
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 06 Dec 16 08:07
9th Elimination - Emily Middlemas

Saturday 6pm Elimination market   -   5AM 2.18 - 2.32, Emily 2.76 - 2.98, Saara 5.8 - 6.6, Matt 25 - 42
Sunday 9am Elimination market  -   Emily 1.32 - 1.39, 5AM 5.3 - 8, Matt 10 - 14.5, Saara 30 - 100
Sunday 9am Bottom 2 market   -   Emily 1.08 - 1.17, 5AM 1.54 - 1.89, Matt 2.4 - 4, Saara 6 - 10

Elimination market at suspension...
Emily - highest matched 3.1, lowest and last price matched 1.1 (next lowest 1.17 but £511 matched at 1.1 just before market suspended)
Matt - highest matched 48, lowest 7.4, lpm 10
5AM - highest matched 9 (+ £12 at 10, £3 at 14 & £14 at 15), lowest 2.06, lpm 9
Saara - highest matched 36 (+ £4 at 40), lowest 4, lpm 28
£32,398 matched at this stage

Bottom 2 market at vote close...
Emily - highest matched 1.3, lowest 1.09, lpm 1.1
Matt - highest matched 12, lowest 1.4, lpm 1.77
5AM - highest matched 3, lowest 1.31, lpm 2.98
Saara - highest matched 12 (+ £12 at 24), lowest 2.92 (+ £4 at 2.8 & £112 at 1.66), lpm 11
£22,513 matched

So, huge market changes during Saturday's show as Matt was deramped. However, it wasn't until more or less the exact time the Sunday show started that Matt went from trading in the 2s to plunging odds on for Bottom 2, with biggish amounts matched...£610 at 1.4, £812 at 1.5, £1,268 between 1.51 & 1.7


Dermot said it had been the biggest vote of the series with over 2 million votes (although in previous weeks he has said there had been 2.5 mil votes??)
There were no remarks from Dermot about any voting being close but he did emphasise that all of the last 4 had topped the vote at least once during the series

The acts were called safe in the following order - 5AM, Saara

- When the elimination market reopened Emily initially traded in the 1.11 - 1.14 before going a little higher, 1.17. She was 1.15 as Matt was about to sing (first). He was 8 - 8.4
- After Matt sang he dropped in price to 6s with Emily trading 1.18 - 1.2
- During Emily's song she went a little higher again, 1.2/1.21 with Matt touching 5s
- Simon, of course, saved Emily and she hit 1.24. Nicole, of course, saved Matt. Louis was next and saved Matt, Emily was 1.23. During Sharon's decision Emily then went shorter before she saved Matt. Emily's lpm was 1.12, Matt's 9. Matt had traded at a low of 5 during the sing-off. Emily's last price matched in the Outright had been 70
- £59,034 final total matched
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 06 Dec 16 09:10
Tuesday morning, after Emily's elimination and before final weekend

- Last Saturday 6pm Matt was 1.77, Saara 3.1, Emily 14, 5AM 20
- By 7:30pm Matt had drifted to 1.9 & Saara shortened to 2.9
- When the running order had been announced (Matt -> 5AM -> Emily -> Saara) Matt hit 2 with Saara 2.8s (and 2.64 having been matched)
- Matt sang 1st (Silent Night) and was around 1.9 when finishing. During the judges comments he drifted to 2 - 2.2 range then quickly went as high as 2.5 with Saara getting matched at 2.2
- 5AM sang 2nd, 11-14 pre song, 16 matched during song (Matt 2.4, Saara 2.2 - 2.3)
- Emily sang 3rd, 12.5 - 16 pre song, stayed around this price afterwards
- Saara sang 4th, was 2.3 after Emily had sang but then 2 was matched during adverts pre song, 2.14 - 2.34 as about to sing, 2.26 at end of song
- At half time, Matt 2.1 - 2.18, Saara 2.3 - 2.44, 5AM 11.5 - 14.5, Emily 19 - 21
- Emily sang 5th and was 20 - 21 afterwards
- Matt sang 6th and went from 2.2s pre singing to 2.5 - 2.9 range afterwards (Saara hit 1.8s/1.9s). Matt settled around 2.6s/2.7s after the judges comments
- Saara sang 7th, was around 2 pre song (Matt 2.7s, 5AM 8s/9s, Emily 30s). Saara went 1.9s during VT then 1.8s/1.9s getting matched during/after singing (with Matt hitting 3)
- 5AM sang last, around 8 before a tearful VT sent them down to 7s, down to 6s when singing and hitting 5s during the judges comments
- As the show finished...Saara 2 - 2.06, Matt 3 - 3.2, 5AM 5.8 - 6, Emily 34 - 40
- Sunday 9am...Saara 1.91 - 1.93, Matt 2.78 - 2.86, 5AM 10 - 10.5, Emily 36 - 44
- Sunday 8:15pm market suspension...Saara 1.75 - 1.76, Matt 3.25 - 3.3, 5AM 8.6 - 9, Emily 55 - 70
- Sunday 9pm market reopened...Saara 1.84 - 1.87, Matt 3.1 - 3.2, 5AM 7 - 7.4

During Matt's sing off Saara was matched at 1.42 for £136, 1.51 for £44, 1.56 for £302, 1.58 for £22 & 1.6 for £174 with next lowest 1.65

Early Monday morning Saara started to drift, towards evens then up to around 2.1, with Matt shortening to around 2.8. At 8am Matt shortened further to 2.6. 5AM were 7. However, later in the morning the prices started to reverse and around 1pm Saara was 1.8s, Matt 3.3 - 3.5 whilst 5AM had shortened to high 5s. Later on Monday Saara shortened more with Matt drifting

Prices right now:

1.75 - 1.85       Saara Aalto
3.7 - 3.85        Matt Terry
5.9 - 6.2         5 After Midnight

Amount matched £1,791,302


High Street prices for:
Next elimination (3rd place finish)   -   4/6 5 After Midnight, 15/8 Matt, 6/1 Saara
W/O Matt   -   1/4 Saara, 11/4 5 After Midnight
By:
bearcub
When: 06 Dec 16 17:13
Cheers FOTY  Love
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 10 Dec 16 06:35
Saturday morning of the final weekend:

1.66- 1.67       Saara Aalto     (has been matched at 1.6 earlier in the week)
3.75 - 3.9         Matt Terry     (has been matched down to 3.4 earlier in the week)
7.6 - 8           5 After Midnight     (drifted earlier in the week)

Amount matched £1,950,161


Best high Street prices for:
Next elimination/3rd place finish   -   4/6 5AM, 11/5 Matt, 13/2 Saara
Runner up   -     5/4 Matt, 11/5 Saara, 5/2 5AM
W/O Matt   -   2/9 Saara, 3/1 5AM
Straight Forecast   -   6/5 Saara/Matt, 3/1 Saara/5AM, 100/30 Matt/Saara, 8/1 5AM/Saara, 12/1 Matt/5AM, 25/1 5AM/Matt
X-Factor to be Christmas Number 1   -   4/1
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 15 Dec 16 06:56
3rd place - 5 After Midnight

Runner up - Saara Aalto

WINNER - Matt Terry



On Saturday afternoon there was a move on 5AM. At 3pm they were 7 after being in the 8s half an hour before. By 5pm they were down to 5s
7:30pm Saara was 1.67, Matt 4.5, 5AM 5.6 with £2,046,623 matched

Saturday's show (8pm start)
8:10pm   lines open, order = 5AM/Matt/Saara. 5AM drift on this news to 7, Saara 1.61, Matt 4.9
8:13pm   5AM drift further, now 8.6, Saara 1.57, Matt 3.9
8:15pm   start of 5AM's song (Crazy In Love), they drift to 9s during it and are 10 by the end of the song
8:22pm   adverts Saara 1.57, Matt 3.5, 5AM now 12
8:27pm   Matt's VT playing and he's now 3.3, 3 at the start of his song (Take Me Home), 3.6 hit during it, 4 by the end
8:38pm   Saara 1.49, Matt 4.6, 5AM 9s
8:44pm   Saara's VT about to start and she's 1.46, 1.43 during VT, 1.41 start of song (Everybody Wants To Rule The World), new low of 1.34 matched during it, 1.4 at end, 1.35 at end of judges comments
8:55pm   half time, Saara 1.36, Matt 5, 5AM 12
9:10pm   adverts before duets, Saara 1.34 - 1.38, Matt 6 - 6.2, 5AM 10.5 - 11
9:13pm   start of 5AM's duet (Tears with Clean Bandit/Louisa Johnson) and during it they drift to 13 then 15
9:18pm   start of Matt's duet (Purple Rain with his mentor Nicole) and he's 5.4, 1 minute into song and he's quickly shortening, mid 4s, then lower, by end of song he's 3.75 (Saara 1.41, 5AM 23)
9:26pm   during Saara's VT she's 1.43, Matt 3.6 and 5AM drifting very quickly, now 40. By the end of Saara's song (Bohemian Rhapsody with Adam Lambert) she was 1.44 but had dipped into 1.3s during it
9:31pm   Saara drifted a bit to 1.49, Matt 3.2, 5AM 30 before some quick and big movements...
9:32pm   Saara 1.6, Matt 2.82, 5AM 42
9:35pm   Saara 1.66, Matt 2.66, 5AM 42
9:36pm   Saara 1.7, Matt 2.4, 5AM 44
9:39pm   5 minutes warning for vote suspend
9:43pm   Saara 1.6, Matt 2.6, 5AM 70
9:44pm   VOTE SUSPEND Saara lpm 1.6, Matt 2.7, 5AM 70. £2,217,998 matched. Dermot said there had been 2 mil votes

9:57pm   Saara called safe then Matt...5 After Midnight eliminated
10:08pm   Market reopened and Saara was trading mid 1.8s, Matt around 2.2
10:17pm   flip-flop...Matt 1.75, Saara 2.4s
10:55pm   Matt 1.8, Saara 2.26



3rd Place Finish Market
5AM traded between 2.28 (+ £3 at 2.4) and 1.07 with lpm 1.09
Matt traded £196 at 11, £20 at 9.6, £75 at 6, £40 at 5 then between 4 and 2.04. That highest matched of 11 was the lpm
Saara traded £35 at 50, £2 at 48, £6 at 40, £27 at 38 then between 26 and 4 with lpm 20
£11,269 matched



Sunday...
6am   Matt was 1.77, Saara 2.3 with £2,467,575 matched
9am   Matt 1.67, Saara 2.5
4pm   Matt 1.89, Saara 2.12, £2,557,302 matched
6pm   Matt 1.73, Saara 2.36
7:30pm   Matt 1.67, Saara 2.46, £2,632,800 matched

Sunday's show (8pm start)
8:07pm   Dermot said there had been 3.5 mil votes
8:11pm   Kylie Minogue singing, Matt 1.76, Saara 2.3
8:22pm   Saara to sing first (It's Oh So Quiet) and she drifts from 2.4 to 2.6s and ends song at 2.7
8:31pm   Matt about to sing (The Writing's On The Wall) and goes from 1.57 pre song to 1.51 by the end, but during the judges comments he drifts to 1.7
8:40pm   during adverts Matt drifts further to 1.9, Saara 2.1
8:42pm   flip-flop again, Saara 1.92, Matt 2.18, 1 minute later Saara down to 1.7s then 1.6s
8:44pm   after this market madness, Madness about to sing. Saara 1.8, Matt 2.26
8:50pm   Madness still singing and Saara now gone low 1.6s
8:54pm   Matt now fav again at 1.95 (yes, in the space of 4 minutes)
9:03pm   Matt 1.7s, Saara 2.2s
9:06pm   durings ads, Matt 1.9, Saara 2.1
9:09pm   evens the pair
9:11pm   Dermot says there's been 5.6 mil votes
9:12pm   Matt about to sing (One Day I'll Fly Away) and was 2.2, 2.1 hit during song but 2.3 at the end
9:20pm   Saara VT before her song and she's 1.82, Matt 2.2
9:22pm   start of Saara's song ((I Didn't Know My Own Strength) and she's 1.7s
9:25pm   end of Saara's song and it's virtually evens the pair again
9:27pm   end of judges praising Saara and she's 1.8, Matt 2.26
9:30pm   evens the pair again
9:34pm   during ads Matt gone clear fav at 1.7, Saara 2.4
9:37pm   evens the pair yet again
9:41pm   Little Mix singing and Matt now 1.68, Saara 2.4s
9:42pm   Matt 1.63, 1 minute later 1.75, 3 minutes later 1.68
9:47pm   VOTE CLOSE Matt lpm 1.66, Saara 2.48, £3,367,465 final amount matched
9:52pm   Dermot announces there has been 6.4 mil votes. Matt announced the winner

Money matched to follow...
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 15 Dec 16 07:27
Lowest and highest matched for Matt Terry
1.48    £6
1.49    £1,131
1.50    £10,870
1.51    £9,901
1.52    £11,183
1.53    £4,976
1.54    £8,991
1.55    £12,320
--------------------------------
10.0    £80
10.5    £12
11.0    £174
11.5    £55
12.0    £66
12.5    £60
13.0    £119
13.5    £41
14.0    £205
15.0    £66
16.0    £110
17.0    £81
24.0    £92

Lowest and highest matched for Saara Aalto
1.34    £318
1.35    £1,535
1.36    £2,038
1.37    £1,274
1.38    £9,170
1.39    £8,105
1.40    £12,903
1.41    £4,091
1.42    £2,608
--------------------------------
100    £433
110    £336
120    £656
130    £502
140    £649
150    £492
160    £196
170    £146
180    £39
190    £23
200    £6
220    £4
230    £4
260    £3
270    £0

Lowest and highest matched for 5 After Midnight
3.75    £1,749
3.85    £108
3.90    £32
3.95    £170
4.00    £156
4.10    £240
4.20    £432
4.30    £621
4.40    £3,015
4.50    £3,370
---------------------------------
50    £141
55    £224
60    £267
65    £87
70    £340
75    £14
80    £3
85    £183
95    £38

Lowest matched for Emily Middlemass
3.05    £465
3.10    £25
3.15    £1,403
3.20    £48
3.25    £136
3.30    £2,038
3.35    £2,480
3.40    £1,486
3.45    £4,047
3.50    £1,804

Lowest matched for Honey G
6.6    £23
6.8    £2,149
7.0    £3,803
7.2    £4,150
7.4    £2,532
7.6    £2,792
7.8    £2,218
8.0    £3,269

Lowest matched for Ryan Lawrie
14.5    £2
16.5    £28
17.0    £82
17.5    £423
18.0    £66
18.5    £470
19.0    £428
19.5    £53
20.0    £613

Lowest matched for Sam Lavery
4.1    £8
8.0    £20
9.4    £40
9.6    £40
10.0    £110
10.5    £8
11.5    £50
12.0    £1,198
12.5    £2,245
13.0    £2,393

Lowest matched for 4 Of Diamonds
8.6    £45
9.0    £3
9.2    £172
9.4    £247
9.6    £1,768
9.8    £2,325
10.0    £6,379

Lowest matched for Gifty Louise
6.6    £565
6.8    £364
7.0    £742
7.2    £367
7.4    £505
7.6    £138
7.8    £277
8.0    £643

Lowest matched for Relley C
19    £4
20    £10
21    £53
22    £22
23    £220
24    £74
25    £338
26    £132

Lowest matched for Freddy Parker
12.0    £20
12.5    £20
13.0    £4
13.5    £97
14.0    £77
14.5    £60
15.0    £222
15.5    £196

Lowest matched for Bratavio
20    £50
29    £16
30    £8
32    £4
36    £4
40    £50
42    £32
44    £92


Lows matched for others:

Caitlyn Vanbeck
5.0    £36
5.6    £44
5.7    £72
5.8    £246
5.9    £372
6.0    £762
6.2    £1,033

Brooks Way
7.0    £231
7.2    £72
7.4    £450
7.6    £767
7.8    £458
8.0    £495
8.2    £426

Kayleigh Marie Morgan
8.2    £46
8.4    £29
8.6    £19
8.8    £14
9.0    £54
9.2    £66

James Wilson
12.0    £207
13.0    £85
13.5    £76
14.0    £128
14.5    £92
15.0    £99

James Hughes
13.0    £166
13.5    £160
14.0    £175
14.5    £136
15.0    £37

Christian Burrows
13.0    £28
14.0    £70
15.0    £66
15.5    £125

Niall Sexton
15.0    £24
16.0    £36
16.5    £64
17.0    £348
17.5    £46

Christoper Peyton
5.5    £11
15.5    £12
16.0    £108
17.5    £54
18.0    £157

Olivia Garcia
16.5    £33
17.0    £58
17.5    £39
18.0    £123
18.5    £183

Janet Grogan
20    £94
34    £10
50    £110
60    £46

Ivy Grace Parades
24    £25
26    £108
27    £50
28    £60
30    £464

Sada Vidoo
26    £4
36    £104
38    £20
40    £10

Chanal Benjilali
25    £12
34    £20
42    £8
44    £21

Yes Lad
28    £4
34    £3
40    £8
44    £4
50    £70

Garry Grieg
32    £44
34    £4
40    £8
50    £56

Tom & Laura
34    £40
40    £20
60    £4
80    £90

Samantha Atkinson
34    £8
44    £2
46    £5
50    £44

Mike Hough
34    £20
38    £2
40    £15
42    £40
44    £104

Nate Simpson
42    £97
44    £8
46    £10
48    £8

Marianna Zappi
44    £20
46    £24
48    £5
55    £3
60    £26
By:
Jack Bauer '24'
When: 15 Dec 16 15:45
Top work, as always.
By:
bearcub
When: 05 Sep 17 09:07
I miss Horse Sad
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 05 Sep 17 09:14
X-Factor Series 14 - 2017


Betfair prices / High Street prices for acts put through in the audition shows, listed in the order they were shown:

Audition Show 1 (2nd Sept)
10.5 - 12.5  /  12/1    Rak-Su   (20/1 available on Sunday with Lads/Joe...assuming you have a good online account)
70           /  33/1    Sam Black
65 - 95      /  33/1    Kayleigh Taylor
320 - 800    /  100/1   Rwanda Shaw
18 - 22      /  16/1    Anthony Russell
360          /  150/1   Elisangela Mahoghany
26 - 30      /  16/1    Jack & Joel
18.5 - 19.5  /  14/1    Holly Tandy
5.7 - 5.9    /  5/1     Grace Davies   (7/1 available on Sunday)

Audition Show 2 (3rd Sept)
40 - 60      /  22/1    Lloyd Macey
440          /  66/1    Jordan Rabjohn
34 - 38      /  33/1    Georgina Panton
230 - 920    /  33/1    Nicole Caldwell
250 - 1000   /  100/1   GaGa Lord
38 - 55      /  16/1    Shanaya Atkinson-Jones

£9,140 matched
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 05 Sep 17 09:15
Patience bear, was typing when you posted!
By:
bearcub
When: 05 Sep 17 09:30
I know Wink
By:
J.O.TOBIN.
When: 05 Sep 17 10:43
Gotta have a little patience as Fat Ted would singHappy
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 13 Sep 17 08:20
From show 1, Grace Davies now trading 4.7 - 4.9 having steadily and consistently shortened, as have Rak-Su who are now 8.6 - 9.6

Betfair prices / High Street prices for acts put through in the audition shows, listed in the order they were shown:

Audition Show 3 (9th Sept)
26 - 32   /   16-1   Talia Dean
560       /   66-1   Liaa
1000      /   66-1   Drew Wedlake
210 - 480  /   100-1   New Dynamixx
21 - 23   /   12-1   Kevin Davy White
40 - 60   /   33-1   Rebecca Grace

Audition Show 4 (10th Sept)
18.5 - 20   /   10-1   The Cutkelvins
660         /   50-1   SJ Hill
510         /   40-1   Harrison Styles
220 - 490   /   50-1   Daniel Quick
570         /   150-1   JBK
570         /   50-1   Elysa V
16 - 19.5   /   6-1    Deanna
22 - 26     /   16-1   Aidan Martin

£30,712 matched

Some of those high street prices compared with Betfair Laugh
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 19 Sep 17 06:26
Current prices for previously shown singers:

4.2 - 4.4   Grace Davies  (was matched at 4 overnight on 15th)
12.5 - 13.5   Rak-Su   (matched at a low of 9 before drifting the last few days)
21 - 23   The Cutkelvins
22 - 26   Deanna
22 - 32   Sam Black   (been matched up to 200)
29 - 30   Talia Dean
30 - 38   Kevin Davy White
30 - 42   Lloyd Macey
34 - 44   Holly Tandy
38 - 55   Georgina Panton
Aidan Martin matched as low as 17 but now 85 to back
Anthony Russell matched as low as 13 but now 200 to back


Betfair prices / High Street prices for acts put through in last weekend's audition shows, listed in the order they were shown:

Audition Show 5 (16th Sept)
NOT ADDED   /   no quotes   Amrick Channa  (did I imagine him being put through? No hoper anyway)
150 - 790   /   100-1   Benji Matthews
44 - 85     /   33-1   Tracy Leanne Jefford
340 - 1000   /   100-1   Russell Jones
190 - 1000   /   no quotes   Nicole Simpson
220 - 1000   /   100-1   Gregor Coleman
6.6 - 6.8   /   6-1  Sean and Conor Price  (opened with £16 matched at 20 then 15.5 downwards, shortened all evening/overnight after shown, lowest matched 5.6)

Audition Show 6 (17th Sept)
240         /   50-1   Chloe Rose Moyle
NOT ADDED   /   no quotes   Harry Holmes   (must have imagined him too)
340         /   70-1   Imagen Harrison
260         /   100-1   Descendance
1000        /   100-1   The Clique
48 - 230    /   33-1   Taliah Dalorto
110 - 1000   /   66-1  Gary Barker

£57,301 matched.  Two more audition shows to come I think
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 25 Sep 17 07:29
Current prices for previously shown singers:

4 - 4.2   Grace Davies     (3.9 lowest matched)
6.2 - 6.8   Sean and Conor Price
12.5 - 13   Rak-Su
18 - 20   The Cutkelvins
Low 20s bar


Betfair prices / High Street prices for acts put through in the final two audition shows, listed in the order they were shown:

Audition Show 7 (23rd Sept)
23 - 27     /   16-1   Spencer Sutherland
1000     /   100-1   ITG
32 - 40     /   16-1   Matthew Linnen
1000     /   no quotes   Scarlett Lee
36 - 44     /   14-1   Rai-Elle Williams
1000     /   100-1   Brad Howard
NOT ADDED     /   no quotes   Peter Warick
NOT ADDED     /   no quotes   Afro-Swag
150 - 300     /   25-1   Slavko Kalezic
24 - 30     /   16-1   Alisah Bonaobra

Audition Show 8 (24th Sept)
130 - 970     /   40-1   Jenny Ball
1000     /   50-1   Reuel Elijah
1000     /   100-1   Just Us
24 - 46     /   16-1   Berget Lewis

Betfair have added Simon Gross & Danny Lambo but I didn't think they got through? Both are 1000 anyway

£78,255 matched
By:
bearcub
When: 25 Sep 17 10:16
Cheers Horse Happy

Lambo got a No. Simon we never really saw the decision but he was shown in the BC montage, so presumably a Yes
By:
bearcub
When: 26 Sep 17 16:23
Update. Just found out that Danny Lambo was at BC despite getting No's. Strange that BF have bf have better info than us Angry
Sorry if i've disrupted your thread Horse.
No more posts from me Blush
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 26 Sep 17 20:40
No apology necessary bear, cheers for the info. Very strange BF seemed to know but I think they added them by mistake and it's just a coincidence they are actually at BC

Could do without Simon Gross ever appearing on my TV screen again Cry
By:
Henry VIII
When: 26 Sep 17 20:56
Gross is fascinating character. "IT'S SHOWBIZ!!!" with a fixed mega grin and then the dark and resentful underpinnings revealed on BB.
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 04 Oct 17 07:16
I hate doing this thread in the early stages, the show's too messy, too many runners, grrr

So last weekend we had a two hour Boot Camp show on Saturday where the first 90 minutes showed the singers performing in groups of 4 acts with some going through and others rejected. The last 30 minutes and all of Sunday's 90 minute show then had individual acts singing in front of the judges and an audience before being rejected or going through to 6CC. This coming Saturday continues this for another 90 minutes then on Sunday it's the first (of 3, we think) 6CC shows

Grace Davies
During last Saturday she continued to be relentlessly backed, reaching a low of 3.25. After being shown over the weekend she started to drift a bit. Just before Sunday's show she was 3.8. During Monday she was trading around 4.3 and steady. News then broke Monday evening she was being advertised singing in some charity concert on 4th November which is when the live shows would be on, suggesting she might not have made the live shows. She drifted as high as 21, shortened to around 8, drifted again to around 13 before then shortening back. When I woke around 7am Tuesday she was trading around 6 and then slowly shortened more all during the day and right now is 4.4, right back where she was on Monday. Strewth!

Current prices:
4.4 - 4.5.......Grace Davies
7.2 - 7.4.......Sean & Conor Price (Shelby Park Boys)
7.8 - 8.........Holly Tandy   (was shown doing well on Saturday's show, shortened to 10 during Sunday, shortened more after Sunday's show)
9.8 - 10........Rak-Su
18 - 21.........The Cutkelvins
19.5 - 22.......Kevin Davy White
22 - 23.........Matt Linnen
23 - 26.........Spencer Sutherland
25 - 28.........Rai Elle Williams
30 - 46.........Alisah Bonaobra
36 - 44.........Sam Black
40 - 44.........Lloyd Macey
36 - 100........Benji Matthews
60 - 70.........Georgina Panton
60 - 80.........Aidan Martin
70 - 95.........Berget Lewis
65 - 100........Talia Dean
75 - 100........Jack & Joel
80 - 130........Tracy Leanne Jefford
95 - 170........Jack Mason

£173,417 matched
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 10 Oct 17 10:50
Tuesday morning after last Saturday's final 90 minute Boot Camp episode (with Grace in pimp) and Sunday's 90 minute 6CC episode which covered the girls
This coming weekend are 2 x 2 hour episodes which will complete 6CC for the other three categories

Grace Davies Price
After my posting last Wednesday, Grace drifted to 5s on Thursday and even 6s on Friday before shortening back. After Saturday's show she was 4.2 and continued to shorten more during Sunday, trading around 3.7 just before that show. After the show she was 3.4 - 3.6. At some time on Sunday, I think during the show, she was matched at a new low of 3.15. She's drifted a tad during yesterday

Current prices:
3.6 - 3.75........Grace Davies
7.6 - 8.2........Sean & Conor Price (Shelby Park Boys)
7.8 - 8..........Holly Tandy
12 - 12.5........Rak-Su
16.5 - 17.5......The Cutkelvins
19.5 - 21........Matt Linnen
26 - 34..........Spencer Sutherland
30 - 36..........Kevin Davy White
34 - 38..........Rai Elle Williams
34 - 46..........Alisah Bonaobra
34 - 48..........Georgina Panton
38 - 50..........Lloyd Macey
42 - 50..........Sam Black
55 - 75..........Benji Matthews
70 - 90..........Berget Lewis
75 - 120.........Aidan Martin
130 Bar

£257,375 matched
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 16 Oct 17 06:41
Monday morning after the completion of the 6CC shows. 2 x 2 hour Judges Houses shows next weekend

Current prices for the final 24 (with Sam Black, who was not even at 6CC, replacing Anthony Russell who's been thrown out after 6CC):

Girls (Sharon)
3.3 - 3.7........Grace Davies     (low of 3 matched over last few days)
9 - 9.2...........Holly Tandy
32 - 55...........Georgina Panton
44 - 55...........Rai Elle Williams
55 - 80...........Alisah Bonaobra
150 - 220.........Deanna

Boys (Louis)
36 - 48...........Sam Black
40 - 55...........Spencer Sutherland
46 - 55...........Lloyd Macey
42 - 80...........Aidan Martin
65 - 100..........Jack Mason
120 - 200.........Leon Mallett

Overs (Nicole)
21 - 23............Matt Linnen     (backed down to 16 last week)
36 - 60............Kevin Davy White
100 - 160..........Talia Dean
100 - 170..........Berget Lewis
150 - 190..........Tracy Leanne Jefford
200 - 390..........Slavko Kalezic

Groups (Cowell)
7.4 - 7.8..........Sean & Conor Price (Shelby Park Boys)
12.5 - 13.5........Rak-Su
26 - 28............The Cutkelvins     (backed down to 14 last week, big drifter after 6CC performance)
42 - 60............New Girl Band
230 - 360..........Lemonade
220 - 770..........Jack & Joel

Anyone else trading below 500:
50 - 60..........Benji Matthews
220..............Nicole Caldwell

£314,237 matched
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 20 Oct 17 19:55
Friday evening before Judges Houses weekend. Current prices:

Girls (Sharon)   (13/10 best high street price)
3 - 3.1........Grace Davies     (was trading around 3.3/3.4 this morning but has shortened and been matched at previous low of 3 again)
8 - 8.2...........Holly Tandy
38 - 40...........Rai Elle Williams
36 - 55...........Georgina Panton
40 - 44...........Alisah Bonaobra
150 - 250.........Deanna

Boys (Louis)   (5/1)
38 - 55...........Sam Black
48 - 60...........Aidan Martin
50 - 85...........Lloyd Macey
65 - 75...........Spencer Sutherland
85 - 130.........Leon Mallett
100 - 170..........Jack Mason

Overs (Nicole)   (11/2)
29 - 34............Matt Linnen
46 - 65............Kevin Davy White
75 - 85..........Talia Dean
80 - 150..........Berget Lewis
95 - 170..........Tracy Leanne Jefford
280 - 600..........Slavko Kalezic

Groups (Cowell)   (5/2)
7.8 - 8............Sean & Conor Price (Shelby Park Boys)
11.5 - 12..........Rak-Su
22 - 23............The Cutkelvins
60 - 70............New Girl Band
180 - 310..........Lemonade
220 - 300..........Jack & Joel

Anyone else trading below 500:
90 - 200..........Benji Matthews

£355,075 matched
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 23 Oct 17 08:28
I've made my decision....it's not good news....it's GREAT news....I'm going to post the current odds

It's Monday morning, Judges' Houses weekend has finished (Overs then Girls Saturday, Groups then Boys Sunday) and we now officially know the 12 acts going through, PLUS there is currently a viewer vote happening (closes 1pm today) to choose one Wildcard act from each category. Current prices:

Girls (Sharon)
4 - 4.1.............Grace Davies     (drifted during Saturday's show, trading around 3.6 Sunday morning, drifted further all day, hit 4.9 Sunday evening before quickly shortening back some)
5.1 - 5.3...........Holly Tandy     (shortened during Saturday's show, 6 Sunday morning, shortened more during Sunday, low of 5 matched)
34 - 36.............Rai Elle Williams

46 - 55.............Alisah Bonaobra
100 - 150...........Georgina Panton
530.................Deanna

Boys (Louis)
38 - 44...........Lloyd Macey
44 - 55...........Sam Black
60 - 75...........Spencer Sutherland

44 - 55...........Aidan Martin
85 - 160..........Jack Mason
180 - 260.........Leon Mallett

Overs (Nicole)
36 - 40............Matt Linnen
65 - 75............Kevin Davy White
100 - 170..........Tracy Leanne Jefford

34 - 50...........Talia Dean
330...............Berget Lewis
500...............Slavko Kalezic

Groups (Cowell)
6.2 - 6.4............Rak-Su     (trading 10 before Sunday's show, quickly shortened during, 6 lowest matched)
9.6 - 12.............Sean & Conor Price (Shelby Park Boys)     (drifted big during Sunday's show, as high as 15, shortened back overnight)
13 - 13.5............The Cutkelvins     (trading 20 before Sunday's show, shortened during to around 15, gone even shorter overnight, 12.5 lowest matched)

160 - 180............New Girl Band
140 - 320...........Lemonade
170 - 200...........Jack & Joel


Benji pricewatch...140 - 900.   £425,499 matched
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 28 Oct 17 08:30
Saturday morning of the first live weekend

With big changes brought in, all 8 acts from 2 categories will sing tonight with the bottom of the vote eliminated. Same for tomorrow for the other 2 categories. It seems on Sunday the winner of each night will then have a sing-off to win a "money can't buy prize"

Although not official, various sources have informed us of the Wildcard winners (along with the market). Current prices:

Girls (Sharon)
3.6 - 3.75...........Grace Davies
6.4 - 7.............Holly Tandy
28 - 30.............Rai Elle Williams
42 - 46.............Alisah Bonaobra

Groups (Cowell)
6.2 - 6.4............Rak-Su
10 - 10.5............The Cutkelvins
12.5 - 15.............Sean & Conor Price
140 - 180...........Jack & Joel

Boys (Louis)
36 - 38...........Lloyd Macey
55 - 80...........Sam Black
70 - 80...........Leon Mallett
85 - 120..........Spencer Sutherland

Overs (Nicole)
46 - 60............Talia Dean
46 - 65............Matt Linnen
75 - 110............Kevin Davy White
150 - 190..........Tracy Leanne Jefford

Prices for everyone else not 1000:
250.............Berget Lewis
280.............Jack Mason
330.............Deanna
350.............Benji Matthews
910.............New Girl Band
990.............Aidan Martin

£526,772 matched, back 103.2%, lay 89.6%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 28 Oct 17 08:50
Best high street prices for:

Winning Manager - 10/11 Sharon, 5/2 Simon, 7/1 Louis, 8/1 Nicole

Top Girl - 10/11 Grace, 6/4 Holly, 14/1 Rai-Elle, 18/1 Alisah

Top Boy - 9/4 Lloyd, 3/1 Sam, 7/2 Spencer, 5/1 Leon

Top Group - 11/8 Rak-Su, 5/2 Cutkelvins, 5/2 S&C Price, 12/1 Jack & Joel

Top Over - 6/4 Matt, 2/1 Talia, 5/2 Kevin, 10/1 Tracy
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 29 Oct 17 07:27
First Elimination - Spencer Sutherland

For the first show all the Boys & Girls sang with Spencer announced as bottom of the 12 to 13 minute vote

Spencer traded between 4.4 and 1.99 (+ £13 at 1.8) with lpm 2.3. His lpm in the Outright was 220
Leon Mallett traded between 7 and 2.5 with lpm 4.6
Sam Black traded between 16.5 and 5.6 with lpm 5.7
Rai-Elle traded between 10.5 and 3.7 (+ £12 at 3.2) with lpm 5.7
Alisah Bonaobra traded between 50 (plus tiny amounts up to 100) and 5.3 with lpm 32
Lloyd Macey, Holly Tandy & Grace Davies lows matched were 12, 17 & 50
Bizarrely Any Other had £58 matched at 6, £10 at 6.2, £18 at 6.4 & £44 at 6.6. The market was loaded early Saturday afternoon. £11,730 total matched
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 29 Oct 17 07:53
Saturday's Boys & Girls Show

The was a big move for Lloyd leading up to the show, he had been matched as low as 16
Grace was trading 3.5 - 3.7 as she was about to sing in 7th (of the 8) place. After singing she slowly drifted to 4s
As Lloyd was about to sing in pimp, he had been matched at 11 (At this time Rak-Su were getting matched at 4.3 and had been matched at 4)
When the market suspended for the elimination, Grace lpm was 5.2, Lloyd 10
After Spencer's elimination, Grace was announced as topping the evening's vote, which obviously crashed her price back to around 3.5 before slowly drifting out a little, whilst Lloyd's price shot back out to around 30

Sunday morning current prices:
3.6 - 3.9..............Grace Davies
4.9 - 5.2............Rak-Su
7.4 - 7.8............Holly Tandy
8.4 - 9.2............The Cutkelvins
12 - 14..............Sean & Conor Price
25 - 27..............Lloyd Macey
25 - 29..............Alisah Bonaobra
32 - 36..............Talia Dean
36 - 44..............Rai Elle Williams
38 - 40..............Matt Linnen
70 - 100.............Kevin Davy White
110 - 130............Jack & Joel
120 - 140............Sam Black
130 - 190............Leon Mallett
150 - 240............Tracy Leanne Jefford

Everyone else 1000 to back, even Benji!   £586,533 matched
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 31 Oct 17 07:19
Second Elimination - Talia Dean

For the second live show all the Overs & Groups sang with Talia announced as bottom of the 5 (FIVE) minute vote

Early prices had Tracey fav around 6/4
Just before the show Kevin was now fav, trading 2.42 - 2.98 with Tracey 3.4 - 4, Jack & Joel 5 - 6 and Talia 9 - 16

Talia had £9 matched at 30 but otherwise traded between 16 and 2.16 with that 2.16 the lpm. Her lpm in the Outright was 190
Kevin Davy White traded between 5 and 2.22 with lpm 3.35
Tracey Leanne Jefford traded between 24 and 2.02 with lpm 17
Jack & Joel traded between 29 and 3.95 (+ £5 at 3.5) with that 3.5 being lpm
Both Matt Linnen and Sean & Conor Price were matched as low as 10
The previously keen Any Other backer decided to have the evening off. £9,915 total matched


Second Show Winner

New market added by Betfair. Rak-Su won
Rak-Su traded between 3.5 (+ £1 at 4) and 1.4 with that 1.4 being lpm
Sean & Connor Price were matched between 10 (+ £1 at 12.5) and 4 with that 12.5 being lpm
The Cutkelvins were matched between 11 and 4 with that 11 being lpm
Matt Linnen was matched between 11.5 and 5 with lpm 9
Talia Dean was matched at 100, 15, 12 & 8 with that 100 lpm
£2,879 total matched
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 31 Oct 17 08:22
Sunday's Overs & Groups Show

Just before the show, Grace was trading 3.4 - 3.5 and Rak-Su 4.9 - 5
After Rak-Su had sung, in pimp, they were 4.2 - 4.5
Rak-Su then shortened some more and when the market was suspended they had been backed down to 3.6 with lpm 3.7. Grace lpm at suspension was 3.45
Rak-Su were announced as winning Sunday's vote then the public had another 5 minutes (I think) to vote for the weekend winner out of Grace and Rak-Su
Grace was announced the overall winner. The market stayed suspended all during this


Tuesday morning current prices:
2.52 - 2.6.............Grace Davies       (after winning the weekend overall vote, Grace opened in the 2.6s. Lowest matched so far 2.5)
4.1 - 4.3............Rak-Su       (briefly opened around 5 I think, was already back to 4.5 Monday morning and now shortened a bit more)
9.2 - 9.8............The Cutkelvins
11 - 11.5............Holly Tandy       (still trading 7s by end of Sunday's show but been drifting ever since)
26 - 29..............Sean & Conor Price       (drifted to high teens by end of Sunday's show, not stopped drifting since)
32 - 34..............Lloyd Macey
32 - 34..............Alisah Bonaobra
44 - 46..............Matt Linnen
46 - 55..............Rai Elle Williams
75 - 90..............Kevin Davy White
85 - 120.............Tracy Leanne Jefford
140 - 160............Jack & Joel
210 - 270............Sam Black
210 - 310............Leon Mallett

£658,741 matched     Back 107.3%, Lay 97%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 04 Nov 17 07:14
Saturday morning of the 2nd live shows weekend
Boys & Groups sing tonight, Girls and Overs tomorrow evening

Current prices:
2.74 - 2.8............Grace Davies          (slight but steady drift over the week, just due to Rak-Su I suppose)
3.4 - 3.7............Rak-Su                 (been shortening over the whole week, matched at a new low of 3.25 yesterday)
9.8 - 10.5...........The Cutkelvins         (did drift to 13 yesterday before shortening back)
15 - 15.5............Holly Tandy            (very drifty)
27 - 29..............Lloyd Macey            (was 32 a couple of days ago, shortened a bit since)
27 - 32..............Sean & Conor Price       (drifted as high as 46 over the week before shortening back some)
44 - 50..............Alisah Bonaobra
55 - 60..............Matt Linnen
55 - 60..............Rai Elle Williams
75 - 85..............Kevin Davy White
85 - 100.............Tracy Leanne Jefford
140 - 160............Jack & Joel
200 - 220............Leon Mallett
210 - 220............Sam Black

£701,710 matched     Back 104.8%, Lay 94.3%
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 04 Nov 17 07:28
Best high street prices for:

Winning Manager - 5/6 Sharon, 6/4 Simon, 16/1 Nicole, 18/1 Louis

Top Girl - 2/5 Grace, 9/2 Holly, 12/1 Alisah, 20/1 Rai-Elle

Top Boy - 2/5 Lloyd, 9/2 Sam, 5/1 Leon

Top Group - 4/6 Rak-Su, 4/1 Cutkelvins, 5/1 S&C Price, 33/1 Jack & Joel

Top Over - 10/11 Matt, 3/1 Kevin, 3/1 Tracy

First Manager to lose all acts - 5/6 Nicole, 5/4 Louis, 12/1 Simon, 12/1 Sharon (only one high street bookie betting on this previously popular market)
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 05 Nov 17 06:22
3rd Elimination - Leon Mallett

For the 3rd show all the Boys & Groups sang with Leon announced as bottom of the 14 minute vote

Mid Saturday afternoon I think Leon was available around 11/8 to go with Sam 15/8
Leading up to the show Leon was backed in and went odds on
Leon traded between 2.5 and 1.32 with lpm 1.6 on a late drift. His lpm in the Outright was 300
Sam Black traded between 15 (+ £6 at 46) and 2.92 (+ £40 at 1.9) with lpm 10
Jack and Joel traded between 10 and 3.75 (+ £5 at 3.1) with lpm 4.9
Sean and Conor Price traded between 40 (+ £2 at 48 and pennies at 110) and 7 (+ £6 at 6) with lpm that 110
Lloyd Macey's low matched was 18.5, Cutkelvins 22 (+ £10 at 11 which was lpm) and Rak-Su just had £3 matched at 200
£7,904 total matched


3rd Show Winner - Rak-Su

Just £330 matched on this market
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 05 Nov 17 06:37
Saturday's Boys & Groups Show

At the beginning of the show Rak-Su were trading low 3s. After The Cutkelvins had sung (in 5th of 7th position) Rak-Su were getting matched at a new low of 2.82
Rak-Su then sang in 6th position and were matched at 2.6 just after, then 2.5 during the judges comments then 2.2 got matched
Rak-Su, lpm 2.38 at suspension, were announced as topping the vote but that was obvious by that time (Grace's lpm at suspension was 3.05)

Sunday morning current prices:
2.26 - 2.36..........Rak-Su
2.94 - 3.05..........Grace Davies
25 - 30..............Holly Tandy
27 - 32..............Lloyd Macey
34 - 48..............The Cutkelvins
36 - 46..............Alisah Bonaobra
42 - 70..............Matt Linnen
48 - 70..............Rai Elle Williams
60 - 90..............Kevin Davy White
70 - 90..............Sean & Conor Price
80 - 110.............Tracy Leanne Jefford
130 - 270............Jack & Joel
230 - 400............Sam Black

£734,662 matched
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 07 Nov 17 06:19
4th Elimination - Tracey Leanne Jefford
For the 4th show all the Girls & Overs sang with Tracey announced as bottom of the 5 minute vote

20 minutes before the show Tracey was 3.1 - 3.7, Rai-Elle 4 - 4.7, Kevin 4.8 - 6, Alisah 5.3 - 5.9, Holly 6.4 - 7.6, Matt 13 to back, Grace 46
Tracey shortened after singing (in 2nd) and went long odds on. She traded between 3.75 (+ £44 at 4 & £65 at 5.2) and 1.4 (+ £79 at 1.3) with lpm 1.4. Her lpm in the Outright was 180
Rai-Elle Williams traded between 11.5 and 3 with lpm 8
Alisah Bonaobra traded between 10 and 3.5 with lpm 5
Matt Linnen traded between 100 and 5.5 with lpm 14
Holly Tandy traded between 24 (+ a few quid higher) and 5.4 with lpm 200 (for pennies)
Kevin Davy White traded between 16 (+ a few quid higher) and 3.95 (+ £20 at 3.35) with lpm 1000 (for pennies)
Grace Davies traded between 290 and 75 with that 75 lpm
£15,868 total matched


4th Show Winner - Kevin Davy White
Kevin was matched between 4 and 2.2 with lpm 2.3
Grace had £90 matched at 5 then between 3.1 down to 1.8 + £60 at 1.65 with lpm 3.1
£4,286 total matched


Saturday/Sunday Prize Fight Winner
This new market was in play all weekend with Kevin/Sunday the overall winner
Saturday (which Rak-Su won) traded between 1.62 and 1.29 + £5 at 1.2 with lpm 1.29
Sunday (which Kevin won) traded between 4.8 and 2.4 with lpm 2.84
£2,059 total matched
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 07 Nov 17 06:55
Sunday's Girls & Overs Show

Rak-Su continued to shorten during Sunday with a new low of 2.06 having been matched. They were 2.1 as the show was about to start
Grace was 3.35 at beginning of the show. Kevin was trading 75 - 90
After Grace had sung (her first cover), in 1st position, she drifted to 4
Holly, who had shortened to 16.5 when about to sing (in 4th) was 20 by the end of her song. Rak-Su were now getting matched at Evens
After Kevin's rousing performance (Smooth, in 5th position) he shortened and was 26 to back

At the first market suspension, last prices matched were Rak-Su 2.06 (having been matched at 1.98), Grace 3.7, Kevin 26

Unlike last week, the market was then reopened during Rak-Su & Kevin's sing off. At the second market suspension, last prices matched were Rak-Su 2.08, Grace 3.85, Kevin 23 (having been matched as low as 20)


Tuesday morning current prices:
2.26 - 2.36..........Rak-Su     (opened after Sunday's show around 2.5 but have since shortened yet again)
3.45 - 3.6...........Grace Davies
17.5 - 18.5..........Kevin Davy White     (was still 20 to back after Sunday's show, shortened a little yesterday)
20 - 21..............Lloyd Macey     (around 26 Monday morning, shortened during yesterday and overnight)
23 - 26..............Holly Tandy
28 - 29..............The Cutkelvins
40 - 44..............Sean & Conor Price     (have been matched as high as 110 over the weekend)
48 - 50..............Alisah Bonaobra
60 - 65..............Rai Elle Williams
70 - 75..............Matt Linnen
140 - 210............Jack & Joel
300 - 390............Sam Black

£825,050 matched, back 105.3%, lay 95.5%

There will be a double elimination on this coming Saturday AND Sunday shows
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 08 Nov 17 05:49
Wednesday morning - unplanned update as there were some big moves yesterday, for unknown reasons, also a much more than usual amount of money traded

Rak-Su drifted all day yesterday, to at least 2.7s, maybe higher. Currently 2.62 - 2.74
Grace is 3.75 - 4
Lloyd continued to shorten since the weekend, was getting matched at 17 by late morning, shortened even more overnight, currently 14.5 - 15.5
Cutkelvins also shortened, as low as 21 last night, drifted a little since, currently 24 - 25
Sean & Conor shortened as well, matched as low as 20 yesterday evening, currently 22 - 25
Matt Linnen's lpm is 48 and finally good old Anthony Russell was matched at 200 yesterday evening!

£961,419 matched, up 136k in 23 hours  Shocked
By:
bearcub
When: 08 Nov 17 08:33
Cheers Horse.

Rak-Su were 2.94 at 10pm last night
By:
ahorsewithnoname
When: 10 Nov 17 07:03
Thanks bear

Friday morning before George Michael (RIP) weekend and 4 eliminations. Song choices not known yet, likely to be released later today:

2.6 - 2.78..........Rak-Su
3.95 - 4............Grace Davies     (drifted late yesterday/overnight, tabloid stories yesterday about her diva behaviour)
12 - 13..............Lloyd Macey     (relentless shortening continues)
16.5 - 17.5..........Kevin Davy White
18.5 - 21.............Holly Tandy
24 - 26..............Sean & Conor Price
30 - 32..............The Cutkelvins
65 - 70..............Matt Linnen
70 - 80..............Rai Elle Williams
75 - 80..............Alisah Bonaobra
200 - 220............Jack & Joel
320 - 360............Sam Black

£1,030,463 matched, back 101.7%, lay 91%
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