Specials
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03 Oct 13
12:41
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Date Joined:
08 Apr 03
Before Judges Houses, best bookie prices for the final 24:
Tamera Foster 7/2
Abi Alton 6/1
Nicholas McDonald 6/1
Melanie McCabe 10/1
Sam Bailey 10/1
Hannah Barrett 12/1
Sam Callahan 12/1
Paul Akister 14/1
Joseph Whelan 16/1
Kingsland Road 16/1
Luke Friend 20/1
Made up girl group 20/1
Brick City 25/1
Rough Copy 33/1
Lorna Simpson 50/1
Andrea Magee 66/1
Shelley Smith 66/1
Zoe Devlin 66/1
Code 4 100/1
Giles Potter 100/1
Jade Richards 100/1
Relley Clarke 100/1
Ryan Mathie 100/1
Xyra 125/1
Tamera Foster 7/2
Abi Alton 6/1
Nicholas McDonald 6/1
Melanie McCabe 10/1
Sam Bailey 10/1
Hannah Barrett 12/1
Sam Callahan 12/1
Paul Akister 14/1
Joseph Whelan 16/1
Kingsland Road 16/1
Luke Friend 20/1
Made up girl group 20/1
Brick City 25/1
Rough Copy 33/1
Lorna Simpson 50/1
Andrea Magee 66/1
Shelley Smith 66/1
Zoe Devlin 66/1
Code 4 100/1
Giles Potter 100/1
Jade Richards 100/1
Relley Clarke 100/1
Ryan Mathie 100/1
Xyra 125/1
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Day after Judges Houses:
Tamera Foster 3.95 / 4 Nicholas McDonald 5.9 / 6.4 Hannah Barrett 7 / 7.4 Abi Alton 9.2 / 9.6 Rough Copy 13 / 13.5 Sam Bailey 14.5 / 15 Miss Dynamix 20 / 21 Sam Callahan 24 / 25 Kingsland Road 24 / 27 Luke Friend 32 / 46 Lorna Simpson 55 / 75 Shelley Smith 100 / 110 Amount matched £19,544 |
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Best HS prices:
Category/Judge Girls/Nicole 11/10 Boys/Louis 11/4 Groups/Gary 5/1 (ignoring some bookie called Winner who are 7/1) Overs/Sharon 13/2 First Manager Out Sharon 7/4 Gary 2/1 Louis 7/2 Nicole 7/1 |
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Top Girl
Tamera 4/5 Hannah 11/4 Abi 100/30 Top Boy Nicholas 4/7 Sam 100/30 Luke 11/2 Top Over Sam 4/11 Lorna 5/1 Shelley 6/1 Top Group Rough Copy 11/8 Miss Dynamix 2/1 Kingsland Road 5/2 |
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Amazing how the prices have changed since the betfair market opened. Especially on the 2 I was interested in
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That's your big mouth for ya
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I'm sure it had very little to do with me. More to do with the edit. Hannah given the pimp & Rough Copy pimped with the 2 become 3 again
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Rough Copy's price has continued to shorten since I said they have no chance
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It's your fault hems
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Interesting quote from them in today's Sun ....."we sing rock,pop,One Direction ballads,women's songs.Everything"
Also little piece about Kazeem Ajobe's criminal past (btw he is yet to sing a note afaik )...fighting,common assault and possession of cannabis (or as The Sun says CANNABIS) |
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From the same article Abi....."I'm looking forward to putting my twist on classics at the live shows"
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I suspect it's putting 2 and 2 together. If they bothered to bring back the one with a rap sheet, they're probably not meant to be fodder?
This flash vote thing is going to favour the younger acts. It suits the facebook generation of things happening instantly. I wonder if there will be some sort of social network portal. KR look a bit over-priced to me, against two 'urban' style groups. Gary appears to like them, maybe they a more natural fit. They are likely to be last band standing imo. And suited by the flash vote probs. |
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I can see Abi doing well. She's not some moody mare like Devlin and not really quirky in vocal style like Vickers. She's just not a belter.
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This snap chat thing is all the rage with the youngsters at the moment.
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Tamera the 1st girl out
 or to be a shock B2 |
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Ella had much more momentum going into the lives than Tam, and it didn't do her a lot of good.
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agree with figgy for once...I think Abi will be a slow burner like last years James Arthur. I guess it helps to be able to play a musical instrument but being able to play two is just ridiculous.
Will we get James Arthur 12/1 prices though? |
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Abi can dance as well.
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There is also a space for a new JLS in the industry...all members will probably need to be clear for visas though...
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Great work as always horse
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Cheers Fig.
First Elimination - Lorna Shelley trading around the 7s when announced as bottom of Saturday's Flash vote. During Sunday, she was trading in the 1.6s and 1.7s, with a low of 1.56 matched. Lorna was trading around 5 during Sunday. Her highest price matched had been 8. When announced as bottom on Sunday, she was matched as low as 2, but then settled in the 2.5s, whilst Shelley was 1.6s. After the sing off, Shelley was 1.7, Lorna 2.38. During the judges deliberations, Lorna hit a low of 1.2. Her last price matched at suspension was 2 and Shelley's was 1.75. |
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Outright Prices after Lorna Elimination:
Tamera Foster 5 / 5.1 Nicholas McDonald 5.6 / 5.7 Rough Copy 5.8 / 5.9 Sam Bailey 6.8 / 7 Kingsland Road 10.5 / 11 Hannah Barrett 11.5 / 12.5 Abi Alton 14 / 14.5 Luke Friend 40 / 44 Sam Callahan 46 / 50 Miss Dynamix 55 / 65 Shelley Smith 150 / 160 Amount matched £182,063 |
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telling ya, no way Nicole is the winning mentor, max red
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I'm piling on Nicole first mentor out lol, if Nicholas, SamB and a group make the final...
Ps useful thread to look back on these things, many thanks |
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Best HS prices:
Category/Judge Girls/Nicole 13/8 Groups/Gary 5/2 (3/1 one bookie) Boys/Louis 7/2 Overs/Sharon 11/2 (13/2 same bookie, even though they are 5/1 Sam B) First Manager Out Sharon 6/5 Louis 100/30 Gary 4/1 Nicole 6/1 Top Girl Tamera 4/6 Hannah 7/2 Abi 7/2 Top Boy Nicholas 3/10 Sam 13/2 Luke 7/1 Top Group Rough Copy 1/2 (4/7 one bookie) Kingsland Road 9/4 Miss Dynamix 12/1 Top Over Sam 1/16 Shelley 10/1 |
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Second Elimination - Shelley
Kingsland Road traded between around 9 and 22 for elimination before being called bottom on Saturday. They then hit a low of 2.3 but traded low 3s most of Sunday. Shelley was 2nd fav for elimination during the week, and a drifter, behind Miss Dynamix, who did not perform and were given a bye to the next weekend. She had traded from 3.5 to a high of 6, then shortened down to near evens during the show and after the Miss Dynamix news, before Kingsland Road were announced bottom. She then mostly traded between 2.6 and 3, before shortening a bit to around 2.5. Last priced matched was 2.66 before she was announced as the other act in the bottom 2. Kingsland Road last price matched was 3.55 at that stage, having been just under 3 an hour earlier. During the Sing Off, Shelley mostly traded in the 1.14-1.2 range, Kingsland Road around the 7s. Shelley's lowest price matched was 1.11. |
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Outright prices Monday morning after 2nd elimination:
Tamera Foster 2.78 / 2.8 Nicholas McDonald 4.9 / 5 Sam Bailey 8.4 / 8.6 Rough Copy 9 / 9.4 Hannah Barrett 10.5 / 11 Kingsland Road 19.5 / 22 Luke Friend 36 / 38 Abi Alton 42 / 46 Sam Callahan 50 / 55 Miss Dynamix 100 / 110 Amount matched £347,150 |
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Third Elimination - Miss Dynamix
Miss Dynamix were favs for elimination, trading around Evs to 2.32 (highest matched 2.62) before the show. After singing they traded in the 1.7 to 1.8 range. After being announced as bottom of the vote on Saturday, they went around 1.1. The last price matched for them to be bottom on Saturday was 1.75, lowest 1.65 and highest 3. Hannah announced bottom of the Sunday vote. Her last price matched for elimination had been 380, matched between 16 and 1000 (for pennies). Her last price matched for Bottom 2 had been 27, lowest 9.4, highest 40. During the sing-off, Hannah traded around 20 then shortened to a low of 13, last price matched 16, when the market was suspended early before the judges gave their decisions. |
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Outright prices Monday after 3rd elimination:
Tamera Foster 2.82 / 2.9 (hit a low of 2.04 when singing on Saturday) Nicholas McDonald 3.8 / 3.9 Sam Bailey 5.7 / 5.9 Luke Friend 14.5 / 15.5 Rough Copy 15.5 / 18.5 Hannah Barrett 22 / 24 Kingsland Road 48 / 60 Abi Alton 55 / 80 Sam Callahan 90 / 120 Amount matched £487,845 |
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Best HS prices:
Category/Judge Girls/Nicole 5/4 Boys/Louis 9/4 Overs/Sharon 9/2 Groups/Gary 8/1 First Manager Out Gary 11/10 Sharon 7/4 Louis 7/1 Nicole 8/1 Top Girl Tamera 1/5 Hannah 13/2 Abi 20/1 Top Boy Nicholas 1/4 Luke 9/2 Sam 14/1 Top Group Rough Copy 4/9 Kingsland Road 2/1 |
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@ahorsewithnoname,
best high street price on Boys / Louis was actually paddypowers 3/1 which was available until this morning. It was an error on their part but was freely available on both the internet platform and in the shops. |
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although if you are taking your snapshot from your post time then I am sure that it would have been chopped by that time.
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Was just taking the prices when I posted (see they cut at 11:06). They were also 7/1 Overs this morning, cut at same time, when Sam B was 9/2, the fools.
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yes i played all the markets I could with the mis-pricing that day the moved Boys out to 7/2 at one stage. Keep up the good work though useful historical references.
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Fourth Elimination - Kingsland Road
Flash vote farce stopped. KR and Tamera announced as bottom 2. Sam C was fav to be eliminated when lines closed, trading just under Evs (lowest matched 1.8). KR 3.75, Abi 8, Tamera 80. Bottom 2 prices, Sam C 1.62 (lowest matched 1.5), KR 1.4s, Abi 3.6, Tamera 6 (lowest matched 4.3, highest 20). During/after sing-off, lowest Tamera price for elimination matched was 8.2, last price matched 22. KR matched at 1.01 for £320, 6.6k 1.02, 23.3k 1.03, 15.7k 1.04. Last price matched 1.04. |
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Outright prices Monday after 4th elimination:
Sam Bailey 3.35 / 3.45 Tamera Foster 4.5 / 4.6 Nicholas McDonald 4.6 / 4.7 Luke Friend 9 / 9.4 Rough Copy 9.4 / 10 Hannah Barrett 23 / 27 Abi Alton 46 / 50 Sam Callahan 120 / 140 Amount matched £601,242 |
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Best HS prices:
Category/Judge Boys/Louis 2/1 Girls/Nicole 9/4 Overs/Sharon 9/4 Groups/Gary 9/1 First Manager Out Gary 8/13 Sharon 4/1 Nicole 6/1 Louis 9/1 Top Girl Tamera 2/5 Hannah 5/1 Abi 8/1 Top Boy Nicholas 4/9 Luke 2/1 Sam 22/1 |
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All looking good for my two massive reds on Abi in the outright and Nicole as winning judge
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Been a few changes, so, Saturday morning before 5th show:
Sam Bailey 3.05 / 3.1 Tamera Foster 4.7 / 4.8 Nicholas McDonald 5.8 / 5.9 Luke Friend 7.2 / 7.6 Rough Copy 10.5 / 11.5 Hannah Barrett 30 / 32 Abi Alton 50 / 55 Sam Callahan 60 / 110 Amount matched £668,128 |
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Nice arb on sharon overs at 9/4 with laddies when you could lay 2.94. Cheers AHWNN, good work as usual.
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