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Though if I join you in the fallacy...
Charlotte and Ogogo have already injured themselves so Eddie's chances of getting injured are greatly reduced! Should be 1.01 super-nap! |
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Danzaa,
I spend 24 hours a day trying to overcome my `gambling` problem, but I believe this is not gambling, but really is a bit of value. If I uhderstand it correctly, you`re saying it`s about 30/1 that EE is injured. I wouldn`t argue with that type of guesstimate. If it happened, I am fairly sure Omid would be re-instated, and he would then trade at somewhere between 2.5 and 4.0 To be generous, let`s call it 50/1 EE is injured, and that Omid would trade at 6.0. Equals 300/1. If I can get 890 on every 300 shot, I`ll be rich, I tell ya, I`ll be rich. For me, it`s all about the value. The results will take care of themselves. |
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nigel, yes, I am assuming that if someone injures themself before, maybe, Friday, there will be a replacement. ITV have deigned the whole serries with a three-person final to fill the tv schedule. There`s little enough action in the show, as it is. A two-person final would seem never-ending. ITV will want three there. Omid or Charlotte are the only two realistic runners, and I`m going 1.05 Omid`s the replacement.
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Nikki Grahame was evicted from Big Brother by public vote but was still allowed to return to the house with the opportunity to win as if she had never been evicted. Anything is possible in specials markets, the producers can change the rules as they see fit.
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True odds calculation:
EE withdraws 30 ITV want a relacement 1.25 Omid selected 1.05 Omid`s price then 2.75 Giving about 110. On that basis, my `free` money will stay on offer for a while. |
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The odds on 1 of them being injured this week would surely be greater this week.
Practicing 2 different dives, 1 of which will be of a higher difficulty than anything they've ever attempted |
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Hadn`t thought of that! Charrrrrrge!
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The hugely entertaining, crowd-pleasing, winner of his heat, Omid , against `I`ve got a sore toe, don`t you know` second-or-third placer Charlotte? Evens the pair?
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I agree omid would be a virtual cert to replace anyone who had to withdraw. I'd be surprised if he's still not receiving some coaching
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fll isn`t joking, and I agree with him.
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Last matched at 300. Layers running scared, best price now 55. I`ll take 750?
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It's the highest rated saturday night show atm nigel. I'm sure they will have plans in place if someone has to withdraw from the final.
ofc that could be a 2 person final, but far more likely they'd bring someone back and that person would need to be ready to step in |
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three finalists on AT show tomoro
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Omid will be waiting in the green room just incase someone has a bad accident on the walk to the studio
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AT show doesn't seem to have taken Splash very seriously
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any insights?
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Eddie's hoping the plaster will be off by Saturday.
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I found that very funny, don`t know if nigel did though...
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seriously - they're all fine, seem in great spirits.
Spent most of the time talking about what they wear. Have no say in it apparently. EE didn't like what he had the first week, bit happier last week, hoping for some tiny Speedos this time. |
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EE has the hardest dives - according to Tom
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Daily Hell Poll
Who Do you want to win the Splash final? Jake 22% Linda 28% Eddie 50% |
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TVpolls have sent a poll out
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will all be on the dive I suspect. If Eddy does a double somersault and lands flat on his face 1.2 might look a little silly
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Votes Cast: 8.30pm Fri 1/2/2013 - 5pm Sat 2/2/2013
NB. Poll results are now weighted by age and gender and filtered to try and match the phone voting demographic as closely as possible. Total Survey Responders: 161 Who do you want to win SPLASH 2013? 100% Jake Canuso 15% ██████████████ Eddie The Eagle Edwards 47% ██████████████████████████████████████████████ Linda Barker 19% ███████████████████ Don't Know-Not Watched Program 19% ███████████████████ NB. These are Survey Results BEFORE Saturday's Final Show. A lot depends on how well each Celeb dives in the final. For example if Eddie did a bad dive while one of the others did an amazing dive voting would probably be a lot closer. Who's your 2nd Favourite? 100% Jake Canuso 20% ███████████████████ Eddie The Eagle Edwards 24% ████████████████████████ Linda Barker 37% ████████████████████████████████████ Don't Know-Not Watched Program 20% ███████████████████ Who Most DESERVES to win Splash 2013? 100% Jake Canuso 7% ███████ Eddie The Eagle Edwards 54% ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████ Linda Barker 19% ███████████████████ Don't Know-Not Watched Program 19% ███████████████████ Who's the Best Diver? 100% Jake Canuso 10% █████████ Eddie The Eagle Edwards 56% ████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ Linda Barker 15% ██████████████ Don't Know-Not Watched Program 19% ███████████████████ Who do you think the Judges most want to win? 100% Jake Canuso 5% █████ Eddie The Eagle Edwards 58% ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ Linda Barker 15% ██████████████ Don't Know/Not Watched Program 22% █████████████████████ Who do you THINK will win SPLASH 2013? 100% Jake Canuso 7% ███████ Eddie The Eagle Edwards 66% ██████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████████ Linda Barker 7% ███████ Don't Know/Not Watched Program 19% ███████████████████ |
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Eddie could still feck things up, but if he dives clean there is not much doubt that he will win, I would be happy to take 1.1 after the dives
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anyone around for the final ?
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judges' scores for guidance only.
Lines now open to vote for your winner. |
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Linda 1 / Eddie 2 / Jake 3
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solo dives first
synchro dives to follow |
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Evening
...we on here then? |