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*** The 1st Eurovision Semi IR Fred ***

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Replies: 809
By:
Lonnegan
When: 23 May 12 03:22
I'm starting to come around to the fact Turkey and Ukraine are massive value now.

40% chance of a late draw, both have strong allies and I could easily see them trading at half their current price.
By:
MilanBarosh
When: 23 May 12 09:07
Lonegan sir...please try to avoid putting Ukraine & Turkey in the same sentence...the former fills me full of optimism, the latter fills my stomach with bile...i thank you.
By:
stu
When: 23 May 12 09:28
Interesting discussion on the draw - I'm a Russia layer (fairly heavy red) so it is of some interest to me now with them drawing 6!

I see they are still trading 2nd jollies though!? Confused
By:
bexley
When: 23 May 12 09:30
One thought stuck in my mind thinking about last night (and no not I'm fooked this year) and thats on how everything was coming across on tv.

The backdrops were a waste of time, a total irrelevance - Icelands blue ice fields, Romania drums and projected dancers etc anyone remember them? Greece's oyster shells did they stand out for anyone? Anyone notice them at all?

I'm wondering how Loreen's dark stage and snow effect is going to come across. I think her doing her Kate Bush close up without us getting a real 'feel' of the staging and show could, just could look very silly indeed.

I think clever staging and gimmicks may not pay off. Advantage Spain, Azrbaijan perhaps I don't know. Very much Tooji looks slick tomorrow, both Greece and Cyprus came across well enough

Appreciate any views on this - was I alone in this impression?
By:
stu
When: 23 May 12 09:35
Pretty much agree Bex - what I thought was that for all the expense of this, the quality of the event on TV looks surprisingly poor. Too many bad camera shots, lack of good direction, close ups that don't work etc.

If you look back at the old Eurovisions where they essentially just turned up and sang (and danced a bit) it wasn't that far off this one! Compare to some of the excellent presentations of the recent past like Turkey's Manga who really almost stole the show with their novel presentation.
By:
bexley
When: 23 May 12 09:40
Iceland lighting change on the key change (blue to red) I'd read about and seen it work well in long shots anyone notice this at all - I could go on

Just good camera interaction and fun routines seem to be paying off no staging dramatics
By:
honestcl
When: 23 May 12 09:41
Thanks for altering me to that.  Should have seen it myself.

Backed Turkey, Norway and Ukraine.  Strict law of averages says 1 will get a late draw and BOOOOM the price will drop.  Other prices will drift with poor draws but even they have a chance of rebounding depending on the announcements of the scores on Saturday night. 

Only hope for my France bet now is that Belgium and Holland are the first two up and France got off to a flyer a-la Denmark 2010. 

Turkey for instance could easily get a friendly country up first (UK, Azer, Germany etc.) and get off to a flyer and the price will come down.
By:
stu
When: 23 May 12 09:42
Looking good for Tooji Love
By:
five leaves left
When: 23 May 12 10:11
I'd agree Bex.
Backdrops were pretty irrelevant. I'd add Israel's clocks, which I didn't even notice.
By:
Henry VIII
When: 23 May 12 10:16
I agree Bex, I didn't notice backgrounds.

But surely that leads to the opposite of your conclusion about Sweden. A simple stark black background in her case maybe more effective. MF was mainly close shots anyway, and they'll largely emulate that.
By:
bexley
When: 23 May 12 10:22
Ok leaves I'm not so sure with Loreen - what about the snow effect? Her staging is usually referrred to as atmospheric, no atmosphere was captured yesterday particularly the dark and brooding Icelandic one. Yeh crazy woman closeups on a dark stage is going to be fine - we will see Cool
By:
five leaves left
When: 23 May 12 10:31
Must be a alight worry Bex.

I guess the difference is if I'm not wrong the snow effect is a physical thin, not just on the screen and the staging allows for many closeups of Loreen as she's fairly static and it's just her on stage til the end.
No walking about and the foucs shifting as we saw with Iceland
By:
five leaves left
When: 23 May 12 10:32
a slight*
By:
five leaves left
When: 23 May 12 10:32
thing* ffz
By:
five leaves left
When: 23 May 12 10:33
Albania had lots of close-ups. Most of them rather scary Laugh
Loreen is far more telegenic
By:
MilanBarosh
When: 23 May 12 10:35
"Loreen is far more telegenic"...when you do manage to see her face that is Laugh
By:
bexley
When: 23 May 12 10:36
Fair enough my point wasn't to make a strong case against Loreen re how last night came across to me but with her such a short favourite it was obviously going to cross my mind as to how it may effect her. Last year staging seemed a very important factor, if last night was anything to go by, much less so this year
By:
HGsuperhoopza
When: 23 May 12 10:37
So what is the running order of the countries we know so far?

Plays I am liking so far:

Italy top 5
Germany top 10 (maybe small play top 5 as well)
Lay Sweden (definitely right up there but how tempramental this competition is, it has to be by far the best to warrant that price and I don't think it is).
Lay Ireland top 10 (last year they were a novelty act with their youth, enthusiasm, hair, costumes etc and an upbeat song, won't work this year and a worse song).
By:
MilanBarosh
When: 23 May 12 10:42
Jedward were a complete and utter disgrace last night i thought...on hearing the result and even more so in the press conference...a total embarrassment to the oirish nation.
By:
honestcl
When: 23 May 12 10:43
Actually - the stuff about screens is interesting because for me the screens were vital last year in Ireland and Ukraine doing well. 

This is where I think Ukraine are masters once again this year because their human dancers interest with the on screen CGI dancers - you can't miss 'em. 

Hey Milan, reserve me a place on your Kiev Express, please.  I'm still 1st Class on the Oslo train but may need to switch after Thursday's draw. 

Also now got spaces in the baggage compartments for goods trains going to Turkey, Greece and Serbia!!
By:
HGsuperhoopza
When: 23 May 12 10:47
Honestcl - wouldn't it be easy to buy an interrail ticket?
By:
honestcl
When: 23 May 12 10:49
Funnily enough Milan I thought Jedward were their usual amusing selves.  Loving life and enthusiastic and you just knew they'd pull a plum draw. 

I've laid them just like I did last year but they still amuse me in small doses....and my 10 y.o. daughter loves them.  I'll probably let her have a vote on Saturday night for them (after I've voted about 8 times for various acts!) and therein lies your Jedward problem - dads like me letting their young daughters vote for Jedward!!  Crazy
By:
honestcl
When: 23 May 12 10:58
HGsuperhoopza
Honestcl - wouldn't it be easy to buy an interrail ticket?

____

Ha ha......YES IT WOULD! 

Just trying to remember the name of the ticket I got to flit around Belgium and Holland for Euro 2000 - I need one of them for the whole of Europe!

Anyone else use one of them?  You had four days of unlimited use to be taken when you wanted in a one month span.  You just wrote in what days you used it. 

It meant you could get on the train and only write the date once you saw the guard board your train checking tickets.  Eindhoven to Amsterdam = free travel if no guard.  Think I got 7 days for the price of 4 that year.  Happy times!  Laugh
By:
HGsuperhoopza
When: 23 May 12 11:00
Just get the one where you have unlimited use for 14/21/28 days and can go on any routes covered by the ticket (about 75% of european countries covered), no writing stuff down, just use when you want.

Do my picks and reasoning seem astute to you? (about 10 posts up)
By:
HGsuperhoopza
When: 23 May 12 11:02
By the way, anyone see that if it was just down to Jury vote, Blue would have got 5th, meant after all their campaigning, Europe still didn't like them! LaughLaughLaughLaugh
By:
honestcl
When: 23 May 12 12:31
Your picks look sound.  Only one I don't like is Italy but I must admit I warmed to her last night.  She seemed a fun girl - not the moody cow she's appeared to be in promo vids.
By:
gresty241
When: 23 May 12 12:33
had a month eurorail ticket which took me from, brussels to as north as oslo then over to budapest plus a host of other european cities. Once it ran out i just bought a day ticket
By:
gresty241
When: 23 May 12 12:33
had a month eurorail ticket which took me from, brussels to as north as oslo then over to budapest plus a host of other european cities. Once it ran out i just bought a day ticket
By:
popking
When: 23 May 12 12:39
Blue were actually 5th on the televote last year HG but the juries didn't go for it (probably the vocals) and it only placed 24th with them.
By:
squares
When: 23 May 12 14:00
EBU Press Conference:

The conference started with remarks on the 2012 contest, the main points raised were;

    Challenges of the brand new venue. Finished just a few weeks ago.
    Worked for spectators and the technical crew.
    Not solely built for the contest, will be used for other events.

    Televoting returned to 15 minutes Previously it didn't increase the number of votes, and that most people still voted during the recap.

    Successful staging of First Semi-Final

    Some in ear problms for Romanian entry, but fortunately they made the final.

    Voting was validated by Price Waterhouse Cooper.

    Diverse result between jury and televoting

    8 songs agreed by both, 1 thanks to televoters and 1 made it down to the jury.

    Albania did not broadcast live.
    Significant buzz on social media.
    Five out of ten trended topics on twitter were on Eurovision,
    Half a million followers on Facebook
    Programme Book is available as an e-book.
    Archive project on full speed. Digitalised and restored to obtain the best copies of each year. First phase completed as we approach the 60th contest in 2015.
    Secure future for the Eurovision Song Contest.
    Possible that future contests may be on a smaller scale and there may be possible changes to rehearsal schedules to economise on time and finance.
    60th anniversary is approaching in 2015 and looking at ways to celebrate it, and discussions taking place with various broadcasters.
By:
five leaves left
When: 23 May 12 14:03
Albania or Iceland due to juries?

Too much to hope for that Russia wasn't in the juries top 10?
By:
bexley
When: 23 May 12 14:07
saved by jury Albania (nap)
saved by televote Cyprus
By:
five leaves left
When: 23 May 12 14:14
I knew you'd say that Silly

I maintain that cyprus is great little package and fairly jury friendly with excellent choreograhy and set.
It doesn't look like it's just been cobbled together like Greece.
ofc if her vocals were as bad as some say, you could be right Bex
By:
Henry VIII
When: 23 May 12 14:55
saved by jury Albania
saved by televote Russia
By:
bexley
When: 23 May 12 14:56
yes Russia possible, the layers will certainly be praying so
By:
five leaves left
When: 23 May 12 14:56
Denmark suddenly friendless.  Looks odd.
By:
bexley
When: 23 May 12 14:57
No the strange thing is it had any
By:
five leaves left
When: 23 May 12 14:59
LOL. Don't get me started again Silly

TBH I wasn't impressed with her vocal last night. The costume is silly. But it's one of half a dozen or so songs I'd listen to for pleasure
By:
Henry VIII
When: 23 May 12 15:00
Yes I think it has to be Russia. Cyprus was good, no reason for it not to get some jury points.
By:
bexley
When: 23 May 12 15:02
Henry Ivi had apparently a bit of a shocker vocally in the jury rehearsal we didn't get to see - thats why I thought it may have been her. Russia however is eually if not more valid but I'm not certain myself

Albania I am sure of
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