Shortly after the first two horses won yesterday, I received a message asking if Kelly's Eye is a back or a lay. Granted, it was followed by a 'wink' but it shows you how you have to hold firm to your approach.
It is so easily to have your confidence shaken and the doubts come in. All the psychology that trickles in with two bad calls to start your week.
Though the next two calls were successful, it did weigh on my approach to the evening.
I had been fence sitting on whether to take on Carlisle and the lady jockeys but with mixed results to date at the track, I decided to glance at the card but leave it for the night.
Having a 100% record on Wolverhampton, I went through the cards and settled on one play for the evening, the conservative approach definitely because of the ...
Returning after a decent week with 15 of 17 horses identified as 'weak faves' not hitting the line first.
But when looks at the results of the reads, when you see that a third of the selections came in 2nd, one clearly sees the thin line that runs between success and failure when taking on the horses.
Those six horses that came in second probably offer more insight than the two that won or the balance that were unplaced when working towards improving.
WEAK FAVES based on the quality of their field in previous races:
AYR
3:05 Cheeky Wee Red
5:45 Chapellerie
SOUTHWELL
2:40 Bring Sweets
4:20 Monzino
4:55 Soopacal
Best of luck on your week ahead.
[i]RESULT: Until today, all 16 selections on Monday had been successful but Soopacal won and won well. So 4 out ...
Brighton is one of those tracks that takes the affects of landscape and weather to the extreme.
Imagine the originators of the track sitting in a pub and discussing what could be built on the plot of land.
After several ideas and as many pints, one said "a race course!" So enthusiastic were they about the idea that when the bell rang for last orders, they headed out in the dark with a handful of posts and walked around without a torch banging stakes into the ground.
And, voila, a race course was born.
Any time I play Brighton, I feel that I, too, need a torch to see my way through the card.
Weak faves based on the quality of their previous fields:
Brighton
2:15 Pharoh Jake
3:45 Mark Anthony
4:15 Do More Business
Hamilton
3:30 King Of Paradise
5:00 Lord Franklin
[i]RESULT:...
Looking through the cards, there are no real 'stand out' prices where one could say a "value lay".
But nonetheless, a combination of horses beating 'okay' runners while taking on either improving or solid fields.
Perhaps not a lay, but the option of looking EW in the field, especially in Catterick.
Catterick
2:40 Llewellyn
3:10 Gowanharry
4:10 Red Tyke
Lingfield
3:30 Trovare
5:30 Mitch Rapp
[i]RESULTS 4 of 5 were successfully flagged up.
In the 4:10, up till a few minutes before the race, the front three in the betting were within two ticks of each other till the money came for Mango Channing and Red Tyke drifted out to just over 5/1.
One of the better races of the day, both Fleeting Fashion and Mango Channing went to 1.60 and 1.10 respectively in-running...