Rugby
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03 Aug 13
07:42
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Date Joined:
09 Apr 12
First the bad news. Home teams are 13-4 in Super rugby finals. Only one team has won a final offshore. Only teams finishing top two have won a final. Brumbies finished third.
That's the main reason Chiefs are 1.30ish and Brumbies 4.0ish. If any team can go against history and win tonight it's the Brumbies. They have the best away win record in the comp. They are the only team ever in Super rugby to win seven consecutive away games.
The Brumbies are up near the top of the table for all the attack and defence stats. They have the lowest number of tries scored against them in the comp. The Chiefs are up the top for attack stats and down the bottom for defence stats. Of the 18 contests between the two clubs the Chiefs have won six. However they have won the last two. It's not helpful that the two teams haven't played each other this year.
The influence of Jake White on this team is immense. The game plan will be purely South African. Long kicks out of their own territory. Keen chasing. Intense breakdown work. Strong set piece. Letting the backs loose deep in opposition territory. Most Brumbies tries are scored out wide. Putting pressure on and converting that into points through Lealifano's boot.It's proved very successful this year including last week's sensational win over the Bulls.
The Brumbies strengths include what I think is the best back row in the comp. Mowen Kimlin and George Smith. Nic White at 9 has played well and his boot is invaluable. Toomua the best defensive 10 in rugby. He will no doubt look to crunch his opposite number. Jesse Mogg's massive boot is also key. The fact that he's a left footer helps.
Hopefully the Brumbies can start well and keep the Chiefs under pressure. The Chiefs are brilliant counter attackers from kicks and also effective at counter rucks. I think the Brumbies are well in this. I think they are the only team in the comp that could win against the Chiefs. The odds and/or the start look generous.
Of course the Chiefs may start at 100mph and blow the Brumbies off the park!! We'll wait and see!
That's the main reason Chiefs are 1.30ish and Brumbies 4.0ish. If any team can go against history and win tonight it's the Brumbies. They have the best away win record in the comp. They are the only team ever in Super rugby to win seven consecutive away games.
The Brumbies are up near the top of the table for all the attack and defence stats. They have the lowest number of tries scored against them in the comp. The Chiefs are up the top for attack stats and down the bottom for defence stats. Of the 18 contests between the two clubs the Chiefs have won six. However they have won the last two. It's not helpful that the two teams haven't played each other this year.
The influence of Jake White on this team is immense. The game plan will be purely South African. Long kicks out of their own territory. Keen chasing. Intense breakdown work. Strong set piece. Letting the backs loose deep in opposition territory. Most Brumbies tries are scored out wide. Putting pressure on and converting that into points through Lealifano's boot.It's proved very successful this year including last week's sensational win over the Bulls.
The Brumbies strengths include what I think is the best back row in the comp. Mowen Kimlin and George Smith. Nic White at 9 has played well and his boot is invaluable. Toomua the best defensive 10 in rugby. He will no doubt look to crunch his opposite number. Jesse Mogg's massive boot is also key. The fact that he's a left footer helps.
Hopefully the Brumbies can start well and keep the Chiefs under pressure. The Chiefs are brilliant counter attackers from kicks and also effective at counter rucks. I think the Brumbies are well in this. I think they are the only team in the comp that could win against the Chiefs. The odds and/or the start look generous.
Of course the Chiefs may start at 100mph and blow the Brumbies off the park!! We'll wait and see!
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Replies: 86
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Bet that is really standing out for me is over 7.5 points Brumbies 1st half with Lads. Think they will come out firing as they did last week in Pretoria and Lealifano is kicking excellently
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Agree. They do like to rack up a few goals early on.
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Clear pen missed by Joubert . Moore was offside and interfering
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nearly there bri,looking good
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Didn't connect well with that either.
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Appalling from Kerr-Barlow . Faffing around again
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Bit odd this. Joubert could have given a pen against Smith for clearly coming around the side, which he does without doubt, but he didn't and asks the video ref who ignores it.
Where does the "it was a tackle only" comment come from though? |
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Another classic HT interview with a player, intelligible through his gumshield.
Why do they insist on carrying on with this shyte? |
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Smith clearly looked in at the side on the replay. Surprised that try was given tbh
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anything stand out for anyone going into the 2nd half?
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Chiefs to win at evens
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I suppose it's not the Video ref's responsibility to see basic ruck offences, but Smith stopped Kerr-Barlow going right by being offside, so the Brumbies directly profited from it.
I think the Chiefs come out like they did last week in the second half. Might be some tired legs for the Brumbies by the end. |
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Laid the Brumbies at 2.26
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gl lat
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gl rm
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I've got bits on both sides now, but the draw is certainly the best result. I was enjoying all that penalty trading, the Brumbies try was a bit of a spoiler.
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Hmmmm.....
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Some poor ruck control from the Chiefs tonight. Brumbies being too smart for them.
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Chiefs need to get Sam Cane on , Huge problems at the breakdown
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Cheers, BTW, Rommel!
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What on earth is Messam up to there?
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Decisions, decisions....
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That's so convenient for the Brumbies to be offside you really should be looking at yellow cards by now. Pen every attack, then a try-saver.
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FFS
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Dear oh dear Cruden.
Anscombe is a better kicker generally as well. |
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Be amazed if the video ref can find anything conclusive here. May be a try, but very hard to see.
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Balance of probabilities says it's a try, but is that enough?
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Agree Anscombe is much more reliable . Cruden having a nervous night
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Truth is that the Chiefs are making far too many errors. Brumbies lower risk, scrap for everything style of rugby is going to bring them a championship here.
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And again. All that work, so much momentum, then one player forgets to look at the ball.
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Poor hands from Cane
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error strewn indeed
getting crucial now for home team with just 1/4 to go |
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Nic White WTF???
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Brumbies tiring or starting to think about it?
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That was an absurd pen from Joubert. He couldn't see clear scrum pens in the Lions test, yet he's got a man there for being on his knees where at best the knee has scraped the ground. Made no effect whatsoever.
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ffs he can't see it
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Must have made it, but can we see it?
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Hmmmm
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this has to be held up
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