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razz
07 Nov 25 15:13
Joined:
Date Joined: 27 Nov 10
| Topic/replies: 8,394 | Blogger: razz's blog
Do people even bet on betfair anymore? where's the liquidity? PM's doing massive volume on worldwide elections..
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Report MALAY November 7, 2025 4:06 PM GMT
whose in it ?
Report Escapee November 7, 2025 4:59 PM GMT
The politics market are moribund on Betfair.

US government shutdown market only traded a couple of £k, as it soon became obvious it was going to extend well beyond the 1 month maximum betfair had set it up as.

I contacted support last week asking them to put up another market going to Jan 31st or beyondm but they haven't so I'm guessing they're not interested.
Report Escapee November 7, 2025 5:00 PM GMT
Chile President is off my radar as I don't speak Spanish to do any research.


South American Politics -- Next President of Chile        
5 Runners            £800 Matched   



              146.4%   82%             
José Antonio Kast    1.09 1.11 1.12   1.39   1.4   1.41   £637
        £2 £38 £33     £300 £2 £13  
Jeannette Jara    4.1 4.2 4.4   18   34   -   £106
        £3 £10 £4     £2 £3      
Evelyn Matthei    10 11 15   -   -   -   £10
        £7 £5 £1              
Johannes Kaiser    3.55 3.95 4.4   22   34   -   £47
        £77 £26 £10     £2 £2      
Franco Parisi    4.5 5.5 20   -   -   -   £1
        £17 £8 £3              
Report razz November 7, 2025 6:25 PM GMT

Nov 7, 2025 -- 4:59PM, Escapee wrote:


The politics market are moribund on Betfair.US government shutdown market only traded a couple of £k, as it soon became obvious it was going to extend well beyond the 1 month maximum betfair had set it up as.I contacted support last week asking them to put up another market going to Jan 31st or beyondm but they haven't so I'm guessing they're not interested.


yeah, exchange looking more grim by the month these days. volume and liquidity has been dropping in several markets that were previously some of betfairs only growing ones.

Report blank November 7, 2025 8:14 PM GMT
I still bet here, I'm over 10% of the volume on the 2028 election market, but since I joined PM in the summer I've started to prioritise that.

I've dabbled a bit on the Chile election there, dont know much but the tick sizes are a bit bigger so you have more room for error, and no fees and you get paid for putting up orders.
Report Escapee November 17, 2025 12:00 PM GMT
First round results

Candidate    Jeannette Jara    José Antonio Kast
Party    Communist    Republican
Alliance    UpCh    CpCh
Popular vote    3,475,206    3,096,653
Percentage    26.85%    23.92%



South American Politics -- Next President of Chile        
5 Runners            £17,553 Matched   



              110.5%   87.1%             
José Antonio Kast    - 1.01 1.04   1.15   1.16   1.4   £14,785
            £147 £30     £43 £6 £5  
Jeannette Jara    5.1 6 12   980   990   -   £1,280
        £7 £2 £5     £2 £1      
Evelyn Matthei    8.2 10 50   -   -   -   £74
        £2 £2 £1              
Johannes Kaiser    9.4 9.6 50   -   -   -   £1,398
        £8 £2 £1              
Franco Parisi    3.6 9.8 50   -   -   -   £16
        £1 £2 £2              
Report blank November 17, 2025 7:53 PM GMT
Polymarket. $72M matched

95% Kast
5% Jara

Betfair is finish for these sort of markets
Report irishone November 17, 2025 8:31 PM GMT
took the 1.04 , 4 sterling profit , tax free ....(hopefully)
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