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peckerdunne
21 Feb 22 22:41
Joined:
Date Joined: 26 Apr 12
| Topic/replies: 71,171 | Blogger: peckerdunne's blog
Rivers of blood tomorrow.

Remember GDP has no correlation with stock prices(historically).

Don't exit the market just DCA

Do enter the market as low Caps will be massively undervalued.

Everything will be shorted like mad bar a few select stocks, use it to your advantage as it always turns.
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Report clouded leopard • October 9, 2025 7:23 PM BST
How much did you benefit from the QE debacle bailing out the too big to fail criminal ' speculate to fatten up my bonus'  corps Johnny ?
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • October 9, 2025 7:24 PM BST
We had to pay for defeating napoleon, its
only fair.

There's still some unclaimed debt, check grannies safe...
Report clouded leopard • October 9, 2025 7:27 PM BST
I'll be back but been at desk since 6.30 am so I'm out now


where's the benefits of the last 20 years ?
quality of life thru the roof for the average grinder ?

I don't think so muchly

What you are missing is that prices get away quicker than you can earn when the musical chair game reaches a crescendo ...
Report lapsy pa • October 9, 2025 7:28 PM BST
Nice PD re Tilray,i hope it keeps going for you.

Debt should be paid for by austerity,olden times but Ireland suffered it as a chief member of the PIGS,I am at a loss why the UK isn't taxed to high heaven, services cut in order to deal with debt, it is being ignored.
Report peckerdunne • October 9, 2025 8:16 PM BST
Cheers Pa, im holding for the next gen, in part.

A bit of good luck always helps.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • October 13, 2025 5:25 PM BST
$4,100
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • October 14, 2025 11:47 AM BST
£3100
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • October 16, 2025 4:25 PM BST
$4270
£3180
Report clouded leopard • October 16, 2025 7:37 PM BST
Gold and silver screaming red alert yet again but few still take notice yhtl
Report clouded leopard • October 16, 2025 7:39 PM BST
Very strange day in markets

To add to all the others Silly
Report clouded leopard • October 16, 2025 7:40 PM BST
Almost as if there's a body under the floorboards that just started kicking up - liquidity problem stirring ? - who knows

Next coupla weeks shud be interesting
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • October 16, 2025 7:52 PM BST
Batten down the hatches...
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • October 16, 2025 9:00 PM BST
£3200
Report Cider • October 21, 2025 4:18 PM BST
Gold falls 5.5%, marking its biggest single-day drop in 5 years.

© Trading 212
Report Cider • October 21, 2025 4:19 PM BST
Silver drops 6.4% in steepest fall since 2021 as metals retreat from highs.

© Trading 212
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • October 21, 2025 4:26 PM BST
Big rise yesterday after Friday falls, and bigger fall today.

Somebody says there are 39 owners for every ounce
of gold that exists, so easy(ish) to see why prices
can be moved so quickly.
Report Cider • October 21, 2025 4:51 PM BST
Not sure anyone normal knows but these moves are not normal. Some of the noise is that state players are very active in the market. A commentator's opinion I respect was stating that a retracement in gold like this was a buy signal. Not so sure myself.
Report Cider • October 21, 2025 4:54 PM BST
Everything is screaming to me personally that something big is coming, and not in a good way lol. I have been reversing positions this week.
Report peckerdunne • October 21, 2025 5:01 PM BST
Keep buying, its all going up, bad news is good news.

Mr Market knows best. Time in the market, not timing the market.

Buy buy buy.
Report clouded leopard • October 21, 2025 5:04 PM BST
Cider21 Oct 25 16:54Joined: 29 Aug 02 | Topic/replies: 64,039 | Blogger: Cider's blog
Everything is screaming to me personally that something big is coming, and not in a good way lol. I have been reversing positions this week.


Something been smelling off for a little while mate

You trimmed/sold stock positions ?

One thing that came into view past weeks or so is the reverse repo liquidity being totally drained - sometimes a catalyst for something hairy

Last time something like that happened ?
September 2019

and we all know what happened next
Report clouded leopard • October 21, 2025 5:05 PM BST
UK CPI tomorrow if anyone's interested

Let's see if it ever really went away
Report Cider • October 21, 2025 5:19 PM BST
For sure cl, but it's very close now. I've been reversing positions I took in April, so circa 25% total return on that in 6 months.

As per my cash thread, I take all the good cash opportunities that come up. There will be another one within a week.
Report Johnny The Guesser • October 23, 2025 3:30 PM BST
Shawbrook IPO - throwing a few quid at this.
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! • November 13, 2025 3:51 PM GMT
Tesla having a good day
Down over5%
at 405
LaughLaughLaugh
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • November 18, 2025 3:20 PM GMT
On 1 December the savings safety limit for the @FSCS will rise from the currently £85,000 per person per financial institution to £120,000.

Some good news
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • November 25, 2025 3:26 PM GMT
Isa allowance set to change in budget

But currently you can hold cash in stocks and shares isa
and get around 4%

Wonder if that gets changed too.
Report FOYLESWAR • December 16, 2025 9:49 PM GMT
how's Tesla doing ?
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • December 22, 2025 6:49 PM GMT
Gold hits £3,300 an ounce
silver hits £50 an ounce

Christmas demand.
Report sageform • December 23, 2025 7:11 AM GMT
Amazing how the market keeps rebounding despite the rise in public debt, business taxes, business failures and unemployment. Most investment funds are now moving to US and other foreign shares which means that my stock Isas are up 15% on the year.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • January 2, 2026 10:30 AM GMT
Ftse passes 10k,briefly,
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • January 12, 2026 11:33 PM GMT
Gold hits £3,400
Silver £64 an ounce
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • January 20, 2026 2:56 PM GMT
Gold hits £3,500
Silver £70
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! • January 20, 2026 9:10 PM GMT
US markets having a tariff day CRISIS

Tesla down 4% to

419

Laugh
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • January 21, 2026 3:52 PM GMT
Gold hits £3,600
Report MillridgeTanic • January 24, 2026 9:57 PM GMT
3660
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • January 26, 2026 12:09 PM GMT
Gold £3700
Silver £80
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • January 28, 2026 1:19 PM GMT
Gold £3800 $5300 €4400
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • January 28, 2026 9:01 PM GMT
£3900 as armada gathers...
Report clouded leopard • January 28, 2026 11:45 PM GMT
$ 5600 almost breached

That's a $1275 monthly up move gentlemen - we were only at $1500 during the Covid sell and here we are ....  just the 270 % odd increase

Wonder when people will start catching on Confused
Report clouded leopard • January 28, 2026 11:46 PM GMT
Our money is toast

The Great Reset lol
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • January 29, 2026 12:05 AM GMT
£4000
Report Johnny The Guesser • January 29, 2026 9:58 AM GMT
Exciting times.

Is it actually happening now CL - or  are we still at the oft repeated "about to happen" point ?

Tell me when to head to my bunker with my supply of beans.
Report yak hunt • January 29, 2026 10:07 AM GMT
Don't forget your tin opener!
Report clouded leopard • January 29, 2026 2:11 PM GMT
Johnny The Guesser
Date Joined: 15 Apr 02
Add contact | Send message
29 Jan 26 09:58Joined: 15 Apr 02 | Topic/replies: 6,793 | Blogger: Johnny The Guesser's blog
Exciting times.

Is it actually happening now CL - or  are we still at the oft repeated "about to happen" point ?

Tell me when to head to my bunker with my supply of beans


JTG

Is what actually happening ?
Report Johnny The Guesser • January 29, 2026 2:36 PM GMT
Our money becoming toast ...
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! • January 29, 2026 9:25 PM GMT
Tesla -416

Its no longer a car company

Robotics
MAYBE

Or perhaps
a SPACE COMPANY
Laugh
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • January 30, 2026 6:39 PM GMT
Gold £3470
Silver £57

Proper dips them, if anybody is buying...
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • February 5, 2026 11:03 PM GMT
Bitcoin £47k

Another dip
Report impossible123 • March 1, 2026 5:35 PM GMT
Another one upon us tomorrow. The price of oil will skyrocket, the stocks will nose-dive.
Report FOYLESWAR • March 1, 2026 5:37 PM GMT
buying opportunity this week coming ...............load up!
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • March 6, 2026 6:14 PM GMT
UK lenders have begun raising mortgage interest rates as the ongoing conflict in the Middle East has raised fears that inflation will rise and curb further Bank of England rate cuts.

Nationwide has increased rates some of its products by up to 0.25%, while HSBC UK and Coventry Building Society have also said they will increase rates.

The increases come after changes to the financial market's view of what the Bank of England will do to UK interest rates.
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! • March 27, 2026 9:58 PM GMT
Tesla down at
362
War of the worlds
worst to come
Devil
Report Cider • April 8, 2026 9:55 PM BST
The SpaceX IPO is going to be fascinating. To the moon, literally Grin
Report breadnbutter • April 11, 2026 5:23 PM BST
I'm so irritating : Tesla is over 40% up over last year.


Your stupid spam is pointless, give ya heed a wobble, you actually think a high oil price is anything but great news for Tesla?

Idiot.
Report breadnbutter • April 13, 2026 4:46 PM BST
Anyone looking at Merkan stocks atm?

Please no time twisters.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • May 12, 2026 3:00 PM BST
UK borrowing costs hit highest for 18 years as uncertainty over PM continues

The effective interest rate on borrowing over 10 years briefly hit 5.13%, near levels last seen during the 2008 global financial crisis.

Financial markets have been on edge due to fears higher oil prices caused by the Iran war will push up inflation and lead to interest rate hikes.

But the possibility of a change of leadership in the UK and perceived risk of looser public spending has further unsettled investors.

Ffs
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! • June 10, 2026 11:51 AM BST
BITCOIN continues the drop
Only 46k
A 50% drop rom its peak
Long may it continue

hahahahaha

LaughLaughLaugh
Report MillridgeTanic • June 10, 2026 1:26 PM BST
----you-have-to-laugh---30 Jan 26 18:39
Gold £3470
Silver £57

Proper dips them, if anybody is buying...

Today
Gold £3100
Silver £47

Amazing to think 4k not that long ago
Report MillridgeTanic • June 10, 2026 1:27 PM BST
4k, 29th Jan
Report breadnbutter • June 10, 2026 3:20 PM BST
Buying/selling gold is not for everyone, very hard to escape the premium charges.
Gold mining stock indices like NYSE Arca down 10% ytd but up 50% in year.

Meanwhile, and just for his hardcore followers on here


SpaceX shares will be offered at $135, raising $75 billion by selling 555,555,555 shares, valuing Elon Musk’s AI-rocket company at $1.75 trillion.


Hmm, tasty tasty very very tasty.Wink
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! • June 10, 2026 3:55 PM BST
Valued at 100 times REVENUE
Not PROFIT

Analsts say it needs to grow at 50%
A YEAR for the next 10 years
To justify the valuation

Insane  IPO

Laugh
Report breadnbutter • June 10, 2026 4:41 PM BST
A knew Frontier is opening.... Hopefully all the Tesla shorters come out of hiding and go again Cool.

Somehow I think not Sad but one can only live in hope.Wink
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! • June 10, 2026 8:38 PM BST
$135 nominlee

4 times subscribed

Bag holders await their fate
Laugh
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! • June 12, 2026 3:17 PM BST
Space x expected to open at $175

MADNESS
Laugh
Report Cider • June 12, 2026 4:54 PM BST
It’s official – Elon Musk is the world’s first trillionaire after SpaceX makes record-breaking IPO
Report Cider • June 12, 2026 4:54 PM BST
It’s official – Elon Musk is the world’s first trillionaire after SpaceX makes record-breaking IPO
Report Cider • June 12, 2026 4:59 PM BST
Pray for Bloomberg tv
Report breadnbutter • June 15, 2026 10:58 PM BST
SpaceX the phurrums fav up 20% @ $192.
Report breadnbutter • June 25, 2026 3:32 PM BST
Is recent up ticks in ftse  just a case of Market hates uncertainty and now that starmer is gone it's up we go or is this just the summer heat effect?

No real reason for Market to get excited about Burnham as pm, reckon as soon as he opens his gob all these gains and more will evaporate like spring  snow on a stone wall (lol).

Interest rate hold might of helped but overall inflation still high and expected  growth very poor, or is that all just quacky garbage and were ready to rumble?

Would like to think Market has a bit of beef to put on shortly.
Report Cider • June 25, 2026 3:37 PM BST
ftse 100 reflects the global market (it's effectively a global value fund)

ftse 250 is a bit more domestically indicative.

the erosion of the value of the £ (expect even more borrowing, and lying about it). Equities like borrowing though, government is not price sensitive or strategic. It is inflationary.
Report Cider • June 25, 2026 3:59 PM BST
Gilt rates are far higher now.

Don't confuse government bond markets with equities. Government bond markets reacted to the unwinding of QE. Map the G7 and you'll see, nothing to do with the mini budget.

Oh and the BoE was nakedly corrupt, telling markets in advance they would be dumping gilts.
Report Cider • June 25, 2026 4:00 PM BST
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • June 25, 2026 4:06 PM BST
If the government / bank of England didn't reduce money supply
things would have been even worse.

Kami kwasi ignored everything he was told, and
deliberately avoided a reality check on his crazy
bodgit, even downgrading it's name, lol, to avoid
legal requirement.

A step akin to spaffer proroguing parliament

They deserved to go
Report Cider • June 25, 2026 4:14 PM BST
breadnbutter
If you want to actually have a look at what happened back in late 2022, it traced back to the then Fed chair Powell. He not only surprisingly raised rates, he was very hawkish on the future.
That triggered a scramble to safety [usd].
It's actually happened this past week or so. The new Fed chair was more hawkish than expected. he didn't even need to move the rates, he just needed to talk about doing it in the future. And there was a big shift in USD correlated markets, sensitive to the rate.
Report Cider • June 25, 2026 4:17 PM BST
You're competing with people claiming it's all Truss's fault. The media, blob and establishment all blamed her, her own party blamed her, it was very convenient to all of them. Most people have the attention span of a gnat and not interested in the detail of why it wasn't Truss who created higher mortgage interest. 'Everyone' blamed her and it's far easier to believe them. It's there in black and white though, no conspiracy. Just open corruption.
Report breadnbutter • June 25, 2026 4:39 PM BST
OK, but my understanding of the situation concerning the liability derived investments was bank loaned shed load  to funds, funds make bets and return them to bank as collateral, bank repackages /4creates a lDI but as these bad bets looked like bad bets due to inflationary pressure didn't fancy the risk and threatened to dump emm, which would still leave funds on hook for the difference.

The gov steps in and buys the lDI (bad bets) but it's now a gilt lol.

Is that not correct?
Report Cider • June 25, 2026 4:58 PM BST
LDI's were contracts (swaps/insurance) against a big shift in market gilt rates (if rates go up, the value of existing gilts in the market goes down). You probably know what a short is, well the pensions business had created huge hedges against this. They didn't bargain on a once in a century event, and a huge spike in gilt rates (meaning the arse fell out of the market value of existing gilts). 

Gilts are hugely important to the pensions business, basically what happens when people buy an annuity is that the insurer purchases gilts to cover the liability. When gilt rates go up, it becomes a lot cheaper to cover the annuity liabilities, hence why CETV's are about the third of their peak. It's now a lot cheaper to cover the cost of an annuity.

Bailey was forced to manipulate the price of long gilts by buying up everything at any price, shortly after dumping them on the market (think petrol, fire etc).

None of the establishment (or regulator) had any clue about the level of LDI liabilities, and that it could have bankrupted huge financial institutions. So the politicians were unaware of it as well, but why would they be aware of it? They rely on the 'experts' in the treasury and BoE.

In a nutshell, Bailey helped to force the value of existing long gilts down by dumping the ones he had, then had to u turn and buy them back again to manipulate the market back up, to lessen the cost of the shorting to the institutions that gambled by selling the insurance. 

It was basically flushed out by the unwinding of QE, it didn't cause it, gilt rates were always going to go big, but it massively increased the volatility.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • June 25, 2026 5:12 PM BST
If kwasi wasn't to blame then hunt couldn't have fixed it by simple
cancelling of bodgit.

The koolaid boys try to rewrite history.
Report clouded leopard • June 25, 2026 5:19 PM BST
£425 billion wiped off pension funds is all we need to know
Report Cider • June 26, 2026 1:43 PM BST
Absolutely terrific interview (link below). Elon being interviewed way back in '07 about SpaceX. And even more rare, the interviewer doesn't hate him (he is actually awesome as well)!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xyCOvT1Y5YQ
Report impossible123 • June 26, 2026 5:29 PM BST
Is this a drip- drip downward decline? The Nasdaq has been shooting up despite the economy struggle and debt of the USA.
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! • July 25, 2026 10:40 AM BST
Tesla had a bad week
Profits down 30%
Now at 313 dollars

and dont forget Spacex
hahahahaha
Laugh
Report clouded leopard • July 25, 2026 2:34 PM BST
Every time you come on here and laugh at Tesla it bottoms out

Literally the biggest market indicator
Report clouded leopard • July 25, 2026 2:44 PM BST
ImSoLuckyLucky!
Date Joined: 31 Dec 04
Add contact | Send message
10 Mar 25 18:06Joined: 31 Dec 04 | Topic/replies: 19,033 | Blogger: ImSoLuckyLucky!'s blog
Tesla
$228
DOLLARS

Come on DOWN


Tesla low was 217 on that sell off and then rallied to $365 a couple weeks later





ImSoLuckyLucky!07 Jul 25 15:04Joined: 31 Dec 04 | Topic/replies: 19,033 | Blogger: ImSoLuckyLucky!'s blog
Tesla having a bad haircut day
Down 8% -$290
Due to Musk starting a new PARTIE!!!



Low was 288.77 on that day and ran to $498



quite uncanny
Guess we should load up Monday
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! • July 25, 2026 3:07 PM BST
FANBOY!!!
Devil
Report clouded leopard • August 22, 2026 4:31 PM BST
TSLA low on this swing was 293 just 4 days after the laughing

Closed at 364$ yesterday



Total mug of course but what an amazing reversal indicator you are

keep em comin'
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • September 8, 2026 7:11 PM BST
The UK government was forced to pay the highest interest rate for a 30-year bond since 1998 on Tuesday, underlining the fiscal challenges facing the chancellor, John Healey.

Echoing the global bond market sell-off that has driven up yields, or interest rates, on government borrowing across the main markets, the Treasury paid 5.82% to borrow £4bn.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • September 17, 2026 12:12 PM BST
The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee was split 6-3 in its decision to hold interest rates at 3.75%.

Three members of the nine-member committee voted to raise its base interest to 4%, while the other six voted to hold it.
Report breadnbutter • September 21, 2026 7:50 PM BST
Tesla having a decent month, more murmurings of a  merger.

FTSE  gains some of Friday's losses, been a lot of chat about impending Oct doom, but let's face it the resiliance the markets have shown in spite of some pretty challenging conditions has been remarkable.

Where have all the doom mongers went?  They usually trigger and come out of woodwork.
It's actually worrying Laugh
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! • October 30, 2026 1:52 PM GMT
Intel getting
HAMMERED
Laugh
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • November 5, 2026 11:56 AM GMT
Intel shares down 50% in month

Ceo buying the dip bought 10mill worth.
Report sageform • November 5, 2026 12:14 PM GMT
stick with unglamourous stocks that just climb steadily over time.
Report sageform • November 5, 2026 12:32 PM GMT
Higher interest rate means higher pound so importers will benefit a little. Exporters the opposite.
Report Cider • November 5, 2026 2:08 PM GMT
breadnbutter

The usual rules don't apply any more, or so it seems. Where equities trading generally reflected a reasonable period of payback based on returns. Now, it appears to be predominately sentiment. There will surely be a reckoning at some point, and the longer it takes, the worse it will be. Personally, I'm not too keen on everything resting on me still having a seat when the music stops. But I have given up listening to the music!
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • November 5, 2026 4:08 PM GMT
SpaceX shares were down more than 8% in early trading on Friday, while Tesla shares dropped more than 9%.

Shares in chipmakers Qualcomm and Intel were down nearly 11% and more than 7%, respectively. Nvidia shares have also dropped by more than 7%.

Those losses dragged the tech-heavy Nasdaq stock index down, and it has fallen 4.8% in early trading.
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • November 5, 2026 4:10 PM GMT
It's Thursday, but bbc seem to think it's Friday...
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! • November 5, 2026 7:25 PM GMT
VIX has jumped over 10 points to
27%
Biggie TROUBLE
Laugh
Report Cider • November 5, 2026 10:03 PM GMT
daq biggest fall since the start of covid hysteria. tomorrow is the true test, another fall and it's game on
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- • November 5, 2026 10:38 PM GMT
The nasdaq index had its biggest one-day fall since Donald Trump announced his “liberation day” tariffs on US trading partners in April 2025.
Report timbuctooth • November 5, 2026 10:47 PM GMT
This is what you get when you elect islamo-marxists
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