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By:
LoyalHoncho
When: 26 Sep 20 19:40
There hasn't been a U.S. President since George Washington who wasn't "Anti-British", so that makes Trump a typical American president.  This thing of special relationship is absolute bowlucks.  The Yanks get on better with France than they ever did with us.  We've only just - five years ago I believe - repaid them the loans we borrowed during WW1!   And the Yanks noticeably didn't give massive aid to rebuild Britain after the war but they did to Germany and Japan.
Let's get real here.  The U.S.A. are our pals when they need to be.  Like when they need WMD's nearer to the potential targets!
By:
edy
When: 26 Sep 20 20:29
The UK actually got by far the highest share of the Marshall plan.
By:
edy
When: 26 Sep 20 20:30
They were lucky Trump wasn't president then.
By:
lfc1971
When: 26 Sep 20 20:33
We never repaid our WW1 debts to America . The 1930s depression meant we couldn’t afford the repayments and the government stopped paying

The Americans are very good about it and never mention it
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 26 Sep 20 20:47
The Labour party spent our Marshal plan money on establishing the NHS and building council houses.

Clement Attlee and co. built a country fit for heroes. 

While the savages wasted their American handouts on rebuilding industry. And now look where it's got them.
By:
lfc1971
When: 26 Sep 20 20:53
savages Laugh   quite right
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 26 Sep 20 20:59
I drive a German built car - the light are on during the day.

What good is that, it isn't dark!
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 26 Sep 20 21:00
Doesn't it ever get light in Germany, is it dark all the time?
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 Sep 20 21:02
If Amy Coney Barrett isn't Trumps supreme court pick, it's going to hurt me a lotSad
By:
edy
When: 26 Sep 20 21:02
I would very much assume a look into the manual of your car is likely to teach you a way to disable them if you wish to. I know manuals are very complicated for plebs that severely lack in basic comprehension skills, but you can do it, Crippen! I believe in you!
By:
winningthought
When: 26 Sep 20 21:07
politicspunter    Joined: 20 Mar 18
Replies: 18543 26 Sep 20 21:02 
If Amy Coney Barrett isn't Trumps supreme court pick, it's going to hurt me a lotSad


Depends how reliable MSM's anonymous sources are Grin
By:
winningthought
When: 26 Sep 20 21:13
Predict it go 98 cents a share gets the nominee, and only 88 cent Trump sees out his first term Laugh
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 Sep 20 21:16
Predictit can be helpful but you have to be an American citizen to be a member. Don't read the comments if you think this forum is badGrin
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 26 Sep 20 21:17
I know nothing about car manuals edy.

Manuals are for plebs.

I suppose that's why you know so much about them.
By:
edy
When: 26 Sep 20 21:18
Ouch, that's some putdown from you. Not at all unexpected from someone so brilliant and sharp.
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 26 Sep 20 21:21
Well that was quite an insult from you edy, suggesting I'm the type who own a car manual.
By:
winningthought
When: 26 Sep 20 21:28
politicspunter    26 Sep 20 21:16 
Predictit can be helpful but you have to be an American citizen to be a member. Don't read the comments if you think this forum is badGrin


Its an interesting site. I believe there is a limited amount of shares per market which can skew the price a bit, and it looks fairly overround, but I'm sure not too much more so than a traditional book.
By:
edy
When: 26 Sep 20 21:29
It's not at all an insult. Winners love manuals. Idiots and losers think they can do everything, they always know everything better (even better than experts in the field while they themselves have zero qualifications), they don't need manuals. And then they go on forums to complain that the darn lights on their stupid cars are on all day long even when it's not dark outside.

As Charles Bukowski used to say: "“The problem with the world is that the intelligent people are full of doubts, while the stupid ones are full of confidence.”
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 Sep 20 21:31

Sep 26, 2020 -- 9:28PM, winningthought wrote:


politicspunter

By:
politicspunter
When: 26 Sep 20 21:34
winningthought • September 26, 2020 9:28 PM BST
politicspunter    26 Sep 20 21:16
Predictit can be helpful but you have to be an American citizen to be a member. Don't read the comments if you think this forum is bad

Its an interesting site. I believe there is a limited amount of shares per market which can skew the price a bit, and it looks fairly over round, but I'm sure not too much more so than a traditional book.

The problem with the comments is that they are filled with completely false "inside information" posted by unscrupulous traders trying to skew the market a few cents to make some quick bucks.
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 26 Sep 20 21:36
the intelligent people are full of doubts, while the stupid ones are full of confidence.”

And those without any money do all the work.
By:
edy
When: 26 Sep 20 21:39
It's ok, we don't look down upon you for having left the forum for a few months earlier this year to do extra hard work.
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 Sep 20 21:41
There has also been some totally mad "prices" and results on the Predictit site which makes me wonder where folks are getting their money from.
By:
edy
When: 26 Sep 20 21:41
Plebs like you do have a vital role in society.
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 26 Sep 20 21:42
I don't look down on you either.
By:
edy
When: 26 Sep 20 21:45
Why not?
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 26 Sep 20 21:45
''Plebs like you...''

Are you getting hot under the collar again edy?
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 26 Sep 20 21:47
You'll give yourself another nosebleed.
By:
winningthought
When: 26 Sep 20 21:48
politicspunter Joined: 20 Mar 18
Replies: 18552 26 Sep 20 21:41 
There has also been some totally mad "prices" and results on the Predictit site which makes me wonder where folks are getting their money from.


Ok, I only look in on the main bigger markets. I had no idea that the comments could have such an influence on price Shocked
By:
edy
When: 26 Sep 20 21:49
edy • September 26, 2020 9:45 PM BST
Why not?

Dr Crippen • September 26, 2020 9:45 PM BST
''Plebs like you...''

Are you getting hot under the collar again edy?


It's terribly rude to ask a question yourself when you had already been asked a question by someone else. They just don't teach you plebs even the most basic manners. I know you plebs don't mean ill, but sometimes I just can't with you. Then there's also the spelling and especially punctuation that just sends shivers down my spine.
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 Sep 20 21:51
politicspunter Joined: 20 Mar 18
Replies: 18552 26 Sep 20 21:41
There has also been some totally mad "prices" and results on the Predictit site which makes me wonder where folks are getting their money from.

Ok, I only look in on the main bigger markets. I had no idea that the comments could have such an influence on price

I can't be certain how much influence the have or not but it's incredible how quickly prices can change if an "exclusive news just in" report hits folks with edgy fingers .
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 Sep 20 21:54
The craziest markets I have seen recently on there were in the Democratic Primaries, particularly the ones on the night itself that they took place. Swings of 20c or so were nothing as a single small irrelevant count came in from somewhere out in the sticks.
By:
winningthought
When: 26 Sep 20 21:55
Pursuant to this letter, there is “a limit of 5000 total traders in any particular contract”, and “a limit on investment by any single participant in any particular contract [of] $850”.

Ah, so there is no chance to corner the market then.
By:
Dr Crippen
When: 26 Sep 20 21:56
You see the times of those two posts you quoted edy. They're the same.

We posted at the same time, so I hadn't seen yours before I posted mine.   

And you are getting ''hot under the collar.''
By:
winningthought
When: 26 Sep 20 21:57
politicspunter    Joined: 20 Mar 18
Replies: 18554 26 Sep 20 21:54 
The craziest markets I have seen recently on there were in the Democratic Primaries, particularly the ones on the night itself that they took place. Swings of 20c or so were nothing as a single small irrelevant count came in from somewhere out in the sticks.


Woah. I wouldn't call a Primary a fringe market.
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 Sep 20 21:57
Correct, it's multiple relatively small investors but when a slide/rise starts it can be substantial.
By:
winningthought
When: 26 Sep 20 21:59
You've made we want a Predictit account now Sad
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 Sep 20 22:00
winningthought • September 26, 2020 9:57 PM BST
politicspunter    Joined: 20 Mar 18
Replies: 18554 26 Sep 20 21:54
The craziest markets I have seen recently on there were in the Democratic Primaries, particularly the ones on the night itself that they took place. Swings of 20c or so were nothing as a single small irrelevant count came in from somewhere out in the sticks.

Woah. I wouldn't call a Primary a fringe market.

What I mean is that when one or two polling station results came in from the middle of nowhere, early doors, the market could swing wildly even on those few dozen/hundred votes which was total nonsense.
By:
winningthought
When: 26 Sep 20 22:02
No, I understood. What I meant was that I thought that only small fringe markets would have muggy volatility, not 'big' markets.
By:
politicspunter
When: 26 Sep 20 22:02
If you can imagine the swingometer in a UK general election...I am just going to put those first few results in from Sunderland/Newcastle to see what sort of swing that means nationally..
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