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A pinch of salt,... Approval ratings

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By:

yak hunt When: 11 Aug 26 11:29

New Westminster Poll

LAB: 30% (+6%)
REF: 23% (-3%)
CON: 18% (nc)
GRN: 12% (-1%)
LDM: 9% (-2%)
RES: 4% (+4%)
SNP: 3% (nc)
PC: 1% (-1%)
OTH: 1% (+1%)

Polled by - Ipsos
Aug 4th - Aug 5th 2026
Polled - 1033 people

By:

yak hunt When: 11 Aug 26 11:46

Reform are 3.45/3.5 for General election most seats on here. This is free money.

By:

pandora1963 When: 11 Aug 26 11:48

Free money lay you mean

By:

yak hunt When: 11 Aug 26 11:53

Aug 11, 2026 -- 5:48AM, pandora1963 wrote:

Free money lay you mean

Correct.

By:

yak hunt When: 11 Aug 26 12:35

The damage has been done. They are mired in financial shenanigans and the bin will be recycled forever.

By:

Grenade1972 When: 11 Aug 26 13:59

Tories will be the big threat to Burnham next GE, not reform

By:

yak hunt When: 14 Aug 26 10:21

Almondbury (Kirklees) Council By-Election Result:

LDM: 43.9% (+14.5)
RFM: 27.0% (-10.0)
CON: 13.2% (+4.4)
GRN: 8.7% (-8.0)
LAB: 4.5% (-3.4)
Ind: 2.6% (New)

Liberal Democrat GAIN from Reform UK.
Changes w/ 2026.

Vote for the party best placed to stop Reform.

By:

yak hunt When: 17 Aug 26 09:24

JL Partners
@JLPartnersPolls
·
18h
NEW: Labour moves to a 3-point lead over Reform in our latest voting intention

LAB 28% (+1)
REF 25% (-)
CON 21% (+1)
LDEM 10% (-2)
GRN 9% (-1)
OTH 8% (+1)

8th-11th August | 2,016 GB adults | Changes on 1st-3rd August

By:

Escapee When: 17 Aug 26 10:59

Almondbury (Kirklees) Council By-Election Result:

LDM: 43.9% (+14.5)
RFM: 27.0% (-10.0)
CON: 13.2% (+4.4)
GRN: 8.7% (-8.0)
LAB: 4.5% (-3.4)
Ind: 2.6% (New)

Liberal Democrat GAIN from Reform UK.
Changes w/ 2026.

Vote for the party best placed to stop Reform.

Lib Dems taking a seat from Regorm, I didn't hear about that, guess it was on the same day as the binface-farage clown festival in clacton.

Was this a by election because it was one of the seats Reform won in May and immediately decided they didn't really want the job and resigned?

There were 10 or 20 incidents of reform winning and immediately resigning as they were candidates on paper only and not actually candidates who wanted to improve things on the council.

UK - Next General Election -- Overall Majority

9 Runners £407,252 Matched

			101.6%	99.4%
No Overall Majority	1.63	1.64	1.65	1.66	1.67	1.68	£192,408
	£7	£48	£26	£2	£73	£306
Labour Majority	5.7	5.8	5.9	6	6.2	6.4	£57,851
	£20	£237	£4	£113	£29	£2
Reform UK Majority	9.4	9.6	9.8	10.5	11	11.5	£100,548
	£3	£136	£2	£10	£95	£20
Conservatives Majority	9	9.2	9.4	9.6	9.8	10	£19,432
	£550	£212	£26	£52	£7	£113
Restore Britain Majority	42	50	55	60	70	75	£20,216
	£106	£1	£2	£9	£5	£2
plus 4 more runners not listed above, at odds of over 100

By:

yak hunt When: 17 Aug 26 11:57

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 28% (+4)
REF: 22% (=)
CON: 20% (=)
LDM: 11% (-2)
GRN: 9% (-2)

via Trajectory Partnership, 5-12 Aug

(Changes with 16 Jul)

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 17 Aug 26 16:57

Did you or did you not receive an emergency notification on Friday (14 August), with your smartphone emitting a loud 10 second siren noise? If you do not have a smartphone, please select N/A

I did
78
%
I did not
20
%
N/A: I do not have a smartphone
1
%

Do you think the government were right or wrong to use the emergency notification system to warn people about the risk of wildfires in England and Wales?

They were right to do so
53
%
They were wrong to do so
35
%
Don't know
12
%

% (voters by party) saying government were right to send alert
2024 Lab: 63%
2024 Grn: 58%
2024 LD: 54%
2024 Con: 52%
2024 Ref: 32%

Yougov

By:

yak hunt When: 18 Aug 26 09:49

YouGov
@YouGov
·
30m
Andy Burnham's latest net favourability rating of +13 (13-14 August 2026) is the highest recorded by our tracker for a prime minister since the surge in Boris Johnson's popularity in the initial weeks of the Coronavirus pandemic

By:

pandora1963 When: 18 Aug 26 10:08

I'm not a big fan of Andy but he is way more of a people person than that fraud farage.

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 19 Aug 26 12:10

Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 24% (+2)
LAB: 22% (-2)
CON: 19% (-2)
GRN: 13% (+1)
LDM: 12% (+1)
RES: 4% (=)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via @YouGov, 16-17 Aug.
Changes w/ 9-10 Aug.

By:

Escapee When: 19 Aug 26 12:20

Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 24% (+2)
LAB: 22% (-2)
CON: 19% (-2)
GRN: 13% (+1)
LDM: 12% (+1)
RES: 4% (=)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via @YouGov, 16-17 Aug.
Changes w/ 9-10 Aug.

That's the first time I've seen RFM at the top of the polls for many months.

Do you think the uplift is in response to their Monday press conference where they promised to increase immigration
by removing Labours increased barriers to businesses importing and employing foreign workers.

It was a surprise to me as I thought RFMers wanted to reduce immigration.

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 19 Aug 26 12:36

I think it's just drag on the policies for by election and statistical error over a series of polls.

3% error on each of these polls, and it's worrying if they start getting too close to
each other, as they should show varience within the limits, with some outside the margin too...

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 20 Aug 26 12:28

Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 23% (-1)
LAB: 23% (+1)
CON: 18% (-2)
GRN: 14% (=)
LDM: 11% (=)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via @FindoutnowUK, 19 Aug.
Changes w/ 12 Aug.

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 20 Aug 26 15:57

RFM 26% (=)
LAB 26% (+1)
CON 18% (-1)
LD 10% (-1)
GRN 10% (+1)
SNP 3% (=)
RB 2% (=)
PC 1% (-1)
OTH 4% (=)

F/w 18 August 2026. Changes vs 13/08/2026

Survation.

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 20 Aug 26 17:03

Should Harry and Megan move back to uk..

They should: 21%
They should not: 33%

Don't know: 45%

Yougov 20th Aug.

By:

Escapee When: 20 Aug 26 17:36

Should Harry and Megan move back to uk..

They should: 21%
They should not: 33%

Don't know: 45%

Yougov 20th Aug.

like it makes a broken twiglet of difference to anyone other than the media circus are going to be shoving this baby food down everyones throat intensively for weeks, months, years.

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 20 Aug 26 17:46

Just a question to ask folk during their survey.

Helps survey company more than us, but I found it interesting enough to record.

Thread is all a pinch of salt.

By:

Escapee When: 20 Aug 26 18:00

apologies, no offence intended, I'll just have to get used to the increased spoon feeding of hello magazine type baby food gloop to the masses as it fills all the top spots in the news and media.

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 20 Aug 26 18:12

Non taken, it's a question they know, or suspect, forms a link to other stuff, so a new way to test accuracy.

Maybe they'll follow up in a couple of months to
see if the bombardment sways opinion.

By:

yak hunt When: 21 Aug 26 07:54

Penistone East (Barnsley) Council By-Election Result:

LAB: 51.6% (+14.4)
RFM: 23.8% (-6.7)
CON: 11.6% (-7.6)
RES: 6.5% (New)
Ind: 2.6% (New)
LDM: 2.1% (-3.6)
GRN: 1.7% (-5.6)
Ind: 0.2% (New)

Labour GAIN from Reform UK.
Changes w/ 2026.

By:

yak hunt When: 21 Aug 26 08:06

St Neots Eynesbury (Huntingdonshire) Council By-Election Result:

LDM: 47.9% (+29.8)
RFM: 30.3% (+3.1)
CON: 6.7% (-3.8)
GRN: 5.5% (-12.5)
LAB: 4.9% (New)
Ind: 4.8% (New)

No Ind (-26.2) as previous.

Liberal Democrat GAIN from Reform UK.
Changes w/ 2026.

By:

yak hunt When: 21 Aug 26 08:07

Vote for the party best placed to stop Reform.

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 22 Aug 26 12:41

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 29% (+2)
RFM: 27% (=)
CON: 21% (+2)
LDM: 8% (=)
GRN: 8% (-2)
SNP: 2% (-1)

Via @DeltapollUK, 24-27 Aug.
Changes w/ 14-17 Aug.

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 22 Aug 26 13:44

Delta poll time machine,lol

Should read

Via @DeltapollUK, 14-17 Aug.
Changes w/ 24-27 Jul.

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 25 Aug 26 13:26

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 30% (+1)
RFM: 27% (=)
CON: 20% (-1)
GRN: 8% (=)
LDM: 8% (=)
SNP: 3% (+1)

Via @DeltapollUK, 21-24 Aug.
Changes w/ 14-17 Aug.

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 25 Aug 26 13:27

Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 23% (-1)
LAB: 22% (=)
CON: 20% (+1)
GRN: 13% (=)
LDM: 13% (+1)
RES: 3% (-1)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via @YouGov, 23-24 Aug.
Changes w/ 16-17 Aug.

By:

yak hunt When: 25 Aug 26 14:23

Aug 25, 2026 -- 7:26AM, ----you-have-to-laugh--- wrote:

Westminster Voting Intention:LAB: 30% (+1)RFM: 27% (=)CON: 20% (-1)GRN: 8% (=)LDM: 8% (=)SNP: 3% (+1)Via @DeltapollUK, 21-24 Aug.Changes w/ 14-17 Aug.

Highest Labour percentage in any poll since December 2024.

By:

Escapee When: 25 Aug 26 15:31

YHTL

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 30% (+1)
RFM: 27% (=)
CON: 20% (-1)
GRN: 8% (=)
LDM: 8% (=)
SNP: 3% (+1)

Via @DeltapollUK, 21-24 Aug.
Changes w/ 14-17 Aug.

YHTL

Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 23% (-1)
LAB: 22% (=)
CON: 20% (+1)
GRN: 13% (=)
LDM: 13% (+1)
RES: 3% (-1)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via @YouGov, 23-24 Aug.
Changes w/ 16-17 Aug.

Huge discrepency between polsters for Lab and Rfm !?

One of them is way out to the point of being useless.

By:

yak hunt When: 25 Aug 26 15:41

Different methods. Delta always have Greens and LibDems much lower than everyone else.

By:

yak hunt When: 25 Aug 26 15:45

To me, it looks as though Reform have stopped the rot for now and have bottomed out around the 23/24 mark. Labour received a Burnham bounce and have also settled around that 23/24 mark. The tories are steady but appear stuck around 20%.

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 25 Aug 26 17:57

As I posted last week it's good to see outliers now and again, else I fear they are
overly fixed.

Labour/Green-lib dem seems the varience here and that can be sort of explained(perhaps) by the return to Labour of voters from those parties being more regional, or softer... so maybe different across different polling organisations.

Whereas the earlier return from refuk is more solid, but not increasing.

Plenty of time for them to iron that out...

By:

yak hunt When: 26 Aug 26 10:00

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 27% (=)
RFM: 23% (-2)
CON: 22% (=)
LDM: 10% (-1)
GRN: 9% (=)
RES: 4% (New)
SNP: 2% (=)

Via
@Moreincommon_
, 21-23 Aug.
Changes w/ 14-17 Aug.

By:

yak hunt When: 26 Aug 26 10:03

Another poll showing Reform fading to around the 23% mark. Note Restore are prompted in this poll but they aren't in the Delta poll.

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 26 Aug 26 11:38

Prompting is a significant factor when comparing polls...

By:

yak hunt When: 27 Aug 26 14:12

Holyrood Voting Intention:

Constituency:
SNP: 37% (-1)
RFM: 18% (+2)
LAB: 17% (-2)
CON: 11% (-1)
LDM: 10% (-1)
GRN: 5 % (+3)

Regional:
SNP: 31% (+4)
RFM: 18% (+1)
LAB: 17% (+1)
CON: 12% (=)
LDM: 11% (+1)
GRN: 9% (-5)

Via
@Survation
, 13-24 Aug.
Changes w/ 2026 Election.

By:

----you-have-to-laugh--- When: 28 Aug 26 19:25

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 27% (+1)
RFM: 24% (-2)
CON: 19% (+1)
GRN: 10% (=)
LDM: 9% (-1)
RES: 3% (+1)
SNP: 2% (-1)

Via @Survation, 26-28 Aug.
Changes w/ 18 Aug.