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A pinch of salt,... Approval ratings

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By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 29 Sep 26 16:49
Is the state pension today more generous than 40 years ago?
-More generous: 23%
-About same: 14%
-Less generous: 29%

Compared to today, how generous will the state pension be when those currently in their 20s/30s retire?
-More generous: 6%
-About same: 9%
-Less generous: 63%

Yougov today
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 29 Sep 26 19:22
SNAP POLL / By 48% to 28%, Britons support Andy Burnham's proposal to change the triple lock in order to help fund part of a national care service

You gov.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 30 Sep 26 11:52
Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 27% (+1)
CON: 22% (-1)
RFM: 21% (-1)
LDM: 11% (=)
GRN: 9% (+1)
RES: 6% (=)
SNP: 3% (+1)

Via @Moreincommon_, 25-29 Sep.
Changes w/ 18-21 Sep.
By:
yak hunt
When: 30 Sep 26 12:29
Reform hanging on to third place.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 01 Oct 26 16:21
Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 27% (+3)
RFM: 23% (=)
CON: 17% (-2)
GRN: 12% (-1)
LDM: 9% (-3)
SNP: 3% (+1)

Via @FindoutnowUK, 30 Sep.
Changes w/ 23 Sep.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 03 Oct 26 20:24
LAB 30% (+2)
REF 25% (+1)
CON 17% (n/c)
GRN 11% (+1)
LD 9% (-1)

Opinium, westminster
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 03 Oct 26 20:25
30 sept to 2 Oct fieldwork.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 06 Oct 26 11:30
(4-5 October 2026) yougov

Labour: 27% (+3 from 27-28 Sep)
Reform UK: 22% (-3)
Conservatives: 20% (+1)
Lib Dems: 11% (-1)
Greens: 11% (=)
Restore Britain: 3% (=)
SNP: 3% (+1)
Plaid Cymru: 1% (=)
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 07 Oct 26 15:34
LAB 30% (+1)
RFM 24% (+1)
CON 19% (=)
LD 9% (=)
GRN 8% (-1)
SNP 2% (-1)
RES 2% (-1)
PC 2% (+1)
OTH 3% (-1)

F/w 2-5 October 2026. Changes vs 29/09/2026

Survation
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 09 Oct 26 14:41
Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 25% (-2)
RFM: 23% (=)
CON: 20% (+3)
GRN: 11% (-1)
LDM: 9% (=)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via @FindoutnowUK, 7 Oct.
Changes w/ 30 Sep.
By:
yak hunt
When: 09 Oct 26 15:05
Town (Newcastle-under-Lyme) Council By-Election Result:

LAB: 46.2% (+18.0)
RFM: 26.7% (-0.4)
GRN: 12.3% (-9.2)
CON: 11.8% (-4.3)
LDM: 2.9% (-4.0)

Labour GAIN from Reform UK.
Changes w/ 2026.
By:
yak hunt
When: 09 Oct 26 15:06
Reform look busted. They can't win anything with these type of figures.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 10 Oct 26 19:24
Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 29% (-1)
RFM: 23% (-2)
CON: 20% (+3)
GRN: 9% (-2)
LDM: 9% (=)
SNP: 2% (=)

Via @OpiniumResearch, 7-9 Oct.
Changes w/ 30 Sep - 2 Oct.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 13 Oct 26 09:06
Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 24% (-3)
CON: 23% (+3)
RFM: 21% (-1)
LDM: 12% (+1)
GRN: 11% (=)

Via @YouGov, 11-12 Oct.
Changes w/ 4-5 Oct.
By:
yak hunt
When: 13 Oct 26 13:06
Tory party conference bounce?
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 13 Oct 26 13:29
Maybe what saw them take 3rd place in recent by election too.

Alternative the Russian bots having a quiet spell.
By:
yak hunt
When: 13 Oct 26 13:45
Zelensky 1 Farage 0
By:
yak hunt
When: 14 Oct 26 13:31
Rodborough (Stroud) Council By-Election Result:

LAB: 47.0% (+13.2)
GRN: 31.7% (+1.5)
RFM: 12.9% (New)
CON: 6.9% (-3.9)
LDM: 1.5% (New)

No Ind (-25.2) as previous.

Labour HOLD.
Changes w/ 2024.
By:
yak hunt
When: 14 Oct 26 13:31
12.9% for Refuk must be a new low?
By:
Escapee
When: 14 Oct 26 13:40
Reform have drifted out from 3.25 and conservatives in from 4.9 over the last few days.



Next General Election -- Most Seats        
9 Runners            £3,715,015 Matched   



              96.3%   94.5%             
Labour    2.74 2.76 2.78   2.8   2.82   2.84   £1,041,139
        £963 £800 £140     £8 £52 £2  
Reform UK    3.65 3.7 3.75   3.85   3.9   3.95   £1,755,016
        £322 £60 £64     £11 £228 £73  
Conservatives    3.85 3.9 3.95   4   4.1   4.2   £378,008
        £231 £65 £26     £44 £199 £750  
Restore Britain    17 17.5 18   18.5   19   19.5   £236,658
        £6 £27 £97     £10 £10 £13  
Green Party    65 70 75   80   85   90   £237,221
        £12 £30 £32     £5 £12 £10  
Liberal Democrats    85 90 95   100   110   990   £46,891
        £10 £34 £2     £2 £382 £2  
  plus 3 more runners not listed above, at odds of over 100 
By:
yak hunt
When: 14 Oct 26 15:06
Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 28% (-1)
CON: 24% (+3)
RFM: 21% (-3)
LDM: 11% (+1)
GRN: 7% (=)
RES: 5% (+1)
SNP: 2% (=)

Via
@Moreincommon_
, 9-12 Oct.
Changes w/ 3-5 Oct.
By:
yak hunt
When: 14 Oct 26 15:07
Tories definitely making progress at Refuks expense.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 15 Oct 26 16:13
Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 25% (=)
RFM: 22% (-1)
CON: 22% (+2)
GRN: 11% (=)
LDM: 10% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via @FindoutnowUK, 14 Oct.
Changes w/ 7 Oct.
By:
yak hunt
When: 15 Oct 26 16:16
Those ex tory Refukers are coming back home.
By:
yak hunt
When: 16 Oct 26 08:37
Shepshed (Leicestershire) Council By-Election Result:

LAB: 32.8% (+14.9)
RFM: 31.3% (-13.6)
CON: 23.1% (-2.4)
RES: 6.4% (New)
LDM: 3.2% (-3.4)
GRN: 3.2% (-1.9)

Labour GAIN from Reform UK.
Changes w/ 2025.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 16 Oct 26 11:44
Restore taking enough vote to stop them there. Labour regaining just enough from green.

Politics becomes more complicated the less
polarised it is, and door knockers win seats
in tight votes.
By:
----you-have-to-laugh---
When: 23 Oct 26 16:19
Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 26% (+1)
CON: 21% (-1)
RFM: 20% (-2)
GRN: 13% (+2)
LDM: 9% (-1)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via @FindoutnowUK, 21-22 Oct.
Changes w/ 14 Oct.

Used to be refuk best polls.
By:
yak hunt
When: 23 Oct 26 16:34
Refuk heading for the teens and oblivion.
By:
pandora1963
When: 23 Oct 26 16:37
Watching farage and his knuckledragging mob slowly sink without a trace will be LOVELY
By:
pandora1963
When: 23 Oct 26 16:44
Amazingly , they're still 5/2 ISH in the most seats betting, when will people cotton on.They are on the wane.
By:
yak hunt
When: 23 Oct 26 16:46
They should be 50s (and I still wouldn't back them).
By:
yak hunt
When: 25 Oct 26 09:43
Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 32% (+5)
CON: 24% (+3)
RFM: 20% (-3)
LDM: 9% (+1)
GRN: 8% (-5)
SNP: 3% (-1)
RES: 3% (=)

Via
@Ipsos_in_the_UK
, 15-22 Oct.
Changes w/ 10-15 Sep.
By:
yak hunt
When: 25 Oct 26 09:43
Clear overall majority territory.
By:
yak hunt
When: 25 Oct 26 11:57
Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 30% (+1)
RFM: 22% (-2)
CON: 20% (=)
GRN: 10% (+1)
LDM: 9% (=)
SNP: 3% (+1)

Via
@OpiniumResearch
, 21-23 Oct.
Changes w/ 7-9 Oct.
By:
Escapee
When: 25 Oct 26 13:45
Conservative move up to 2nd favourites as Reform Ltd struggle to find enough people stupid enough to think giving the UK to a Limited Company like Thames water to run and asset strip is a good idea.





Next General Election -- Most Seats        
9 Runners            £3,756,159 Matched   



              96.1%   94.1%             
Labour    2.7 2.72 2.74   2.76   2.78   2.8   £1,058,651
        £20 £85 £11     £20 £129 £20  
Conservatives    3.7 3.75 3.8   3.85   3.9   3.95   £387,114
        £15 £750 £2     £41 £13 £20  
Reform UK    3.75 3.8 3.85   3.95   4   4.1   £1,767,372
        £1,013 £563 £469     £11 £501 £49  
Restore Britain    19.5 21 22   23   24   25   £238,763
        £249 £99 £29     £5 £9 £10  
Green Party    65 70 75   85   90   95   £237,184
        £12 £9 £52     £15 £10 £4  
Liberal Democrats    85 90 95   110   990   1000   £46,944
        £19 £34 £19     £381 £2 £57  
Your Party    460 470 500   540   550   580   £8,802
        £1 £1 £1     £1 £2 £5  
Workers Party of Britain    900 910 1000   -   -   -   £2,427
        £2 £3 £14              
Advance UK    730 770 810   -   -   -   £8,901
        £3 £3 £2              
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