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Tory Majority into 1.25

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By:
enpassant
When: 12 Dec 19 15:21
CH4News: Tactical voting sites crashing all day yesterday due to volume
By:
politicspunter
When: 12 Dec 19 15:21

Dec 12, 2019 -- 3:16PM, posy wrote:


Pissing down in leafy Surrey.Just got back from voting for Michael Gove and the polling station was empty apart from 6 officials. I wouldn't bank on turnout being at all high if weather conditions here prevail over the rest of the country.I hope but don't necessarily expect Boris to get a working majority ;a lot will depend on the extent of the  fraudulant postal votes  sent in by countless Mr Mohammad's  in the industrial towns of Lancashire and Yorkshire. Icing on the cake if the mentally challenged Dennis Skinner gets booted out.I need tories to get more than 344 seats to collect my one and only bet


Another racist appears.

By:
SontaranStratagem
When: 12 Dec 19 15:22
Its deffo heading for a hung parliament

There just no way Bozo can win a majority with the way this is playing out
By:
enpassant
When: 12 Dec 19 15:22
^ Hence

posy • December 12, 2019 3:16 PM GMT
The contents of this post have been hidden for this blocked user. [Manage blocked users]
By:
clacton
When: 12 Dec 19 15:23

Dec 12, 2019 -- 3:22PM, SontaranStratagem wrote:


Its deffo heading for a hung parliament There just no way Bozo can win a majority with the way this is playing out


What exactly is playing out

By:
1st time poster
When: 12 Dec 19 15:25
how do you no how its heading,people voting early before work to avoid bad weather,voting in dark slim pickings to predict high tutrn out,high student turn out etc,hope your right
By:
anxious
When: 12 Dec 19 15:26
erm this is a bit baffling are Labour doing better in the South maybe , i still think the midlands and the northern working class provincial towns will be absolutley crucial
By:
anxious
When: 12 Dec 19 15:27
The big issue is are the Labour voters who voted to leave going to stay with Labour ?
By:
anxious
When: 12 Dec 19 15:28
Also if there is a big turnout of youngsters and first time voters what effect will that have
By:
anxious
When: 12 Dec 19 15:29
I still think a spiv majority looks most likely but who knows
By:
1st time poster
When: 12 Dec 19 15:30
as baldwin tried to explain its a myth theres lots of them,its not a myth to say the northern white over 40,s have supported leave, but most are Brexit party,ex ukip,ex bnp,types
By:
enpassant
When: 12 Dec 19 15:38
Steven Swinford, the deputy editor of The Times, took a picture of a ‘100 plus’ queue in the marginal seat of Battersea, where Labour gained from the Conservatives by a margin of 2,416 votes in 2017. He tweeted: ‘Big queue of 100+ people ahead of me at the polling station in marginal Battersea There’s 50 odd people behind me too.’

Read more: https://metro.co.uk/2019/12/12/longest-queues-ever-people-stand-line-around-block-vote-11771760/?fbclid=IwAR3udFpPoR0g1tRSfIvkihuS25qNKxXox6rK1DLvgJKm0DC3o_BEN01S-s0?ito=cbshare

Twitter: https://twitter.com/MetroUK | Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MetroUK/
By:
enpassant
When: 12 Dec 19 15:39
Aidan tweeted wrote: ‘I’ve been living in Balham, London for 6 years, I have never seen a queue like this at my polling station.’

Read more: https://metro.co.uk/2019/12/12/longest-queues-ever-people-stand-line-around-block-vote-11771760/?fbclid=IwAR3udFpPoR0g1tRSfIvkihuS25qNKxXox6rK1DLvgJKm0DC3o_BEN01S-s0?ito=cbshare

Twitter: https://twitter.com/MetroUK | Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MetroUK/
By:
themover
When: 12 Dec 19 15:39
For some of the youth not only is it the first time they've voted it's also the first time they've switched the Xbox off and gone outside Grin
By:
Wallflower
When: 12 Dec 19 15:41
I've a feeling there will be a very small percentage of Labour leave voters in north england / midlands who have said they'll vote Tory this time and when they get into the booth, just won't do it..... "f*ck Brexit, it will go on for years anyway, cant do it".

Also there is so a small percentage of permanently disaffected voters who always vote out the sitting government. Its more fun.

These are small percentages but all add up...... might cause more tightening-up.
By:
enpassant
When: 12 Dec 19 15:44
Stephen Fry
@stephenfry
·
1h
Halfway through the voting day. If you haven't yet & it's cold, wet and windy where you are - all the more glory in setting out, head down, buffeted by a howling gale, to make your mark on paper & on history. Go forth! It. Is. Your. Destiny. Luke. #actualnamemayvary
By:
enpassant
When: 12 Dec 19 15:48
Mr Jones #FBPE
By:
enpassant
When: 12 Dec 19 15:49
Mr Jones #FBPE
By:
enpassant
When: 12 Dec 19 15:49
·
1h
Replying to
@Ashworth101
I actually got quite emotional this lunchtime when I saw swathes of young adults walking in and out of my local polling station.
By:
enpassant
When: 12 Dec 19 15:51
Whatever the result today the tories are toast in the future - they are done #youthvote
By:
themover
When: 12 Dec 19 15:57

Dec 12, 2019 -- 3:49PM, enpassant wrote:


·1hReplying to @Ashworth101I actually got quite emotional this lunchtime when I saw swathes of young adults walking in and out of my local polling station.


Was the pollng station in Wetherspoons?

By:
tobermory
When: 12 Dec 19 16:03

Dec 12, 2019 -- 3:51PM, enpassant wrote:


Whatever the result today the tories are toast in the future - they are done #youthvote


People are more gullible about socialism when they are 20.

By:
posy
When: 12 Dec 19 16:03
What's racist about stating the truth about the control exerted by Mr Mohammads on their families regarding their votes. Are you really so naive to think their wives,sons and daughters have a say in the matter.
By:
politicspunter
When: 12 Dec 19 16:05

Dec 12, 2019 -- 4:03PM, posy wrote:


What's racist about stating the truth about the control exerted by Mr Mohammads on their families regarding their votes. Are you really so naive to think their wives,sons and daughters have a say in the matter.


Another racist blocked.

By:
tobermory
When: 12 Dec 19 16:06

Dec 12, 2019 -- 2:35PM, ImSoLuckyLucky! wrote:


Can someone clarify the rulesThere are 650 seatsTories need 326 to win?Correct!!!


Yes, 326 needed to settle majority as the winner. But the Tories will form a government with 321 unless Sinn Fein turn up to stop them

By:
1st time poster
When: 12 Dec 19 16:09
if remain and young come out strong ,foook Guildford,fook business etc
and Johnson still gets a majority howe the fook do the tory,s govern with Brexit aside all their thinking ,policies alien to the people who put them into power,free markets, globalisation, low regulation etc is what made narrthern leavers vote leave, but raab,patel,ids etc want to inflict more of it on them
By:
enpassant
When: 12 Dec 19 16:11

Dec 12, 2019 -- 4:03PM, tobermory wrote:


Dec 12, 2019 --  3:51PM, enpassant wrote:Whatever the result today the tories are toast in the future - they are done #youthvotePeople are more gullible about socialism when they are 20.


if we're making generalisations they get more cynical as they get older.

By:
themover
When: 12 Dec 19 16:12
"narrthern leavers vote leave, but raab,patel,ids etc want to inflict more of it on them"

Don't blame the northern leave voters for their only being one party that is offering to deliver on their vote. The Labour Party left the Labour Leave voters, not the other way round.
By:
enpassant
When: 12 Dec 19 16:13

Dec 12, 2019 -- 3:57PM, themover wrote:


Dec 12, 2019 --  3:49PM, enpassant wrote:·1hReplying to @Ashworth101I actually got quite emotional this lunchtime when I saw swathes of young adults walking in and out of my local polling station.Was the pollng station in Wetherspoons?


I do quite like a bit of humour on the threads but do if I'm correct and this was another attempt at it from you....could you try a little harder geez.

By:
enpassant
When: 12 Dec 19 16:14

Dec 12, 2019 -- 4:12PM, themover wrote:


"narrthern leavers vote leave, but raab,patel,ids etc want to inflict more of it on them"Don't blame the northern leave voters for their only being one party that is offering to deliver on their vote. The Labour Party left the Labour Leave voters, not the other way round.


I'm Labour leave- so you're wrong in my case and many others I suspect.

By:
themover
When: 12 Dec 19 16:16
By:
1st time poster
When: 12 Dec 19 16:17
the ones that left are johnsons problem now if he gets a majority,brexit aint going to solve the problems that caused them to  vote brexit
By:
jollyswagman
When: 12 Dec 19 16:19
^^^^ one way or another i fear there will be a few on here getting over excited tonight Crazy

let's hope no one gets a ban.
By:
Wallflower
When: 12 Dec 19 16:19
tobermory 12 Dec 19 16:06 
Dec 12, 2019 -- 2:35PM, ImSoLuckyLucky! wrote:

Can someone clarify the rulesThere are 650 seatsTories need 326 to win?Correct!!!


Yes, 326 needed to settle majority as the winner. But the Tories will form a government with 321 unless Sinn Fein turn up to stop them

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

I don't think so.  I think its 325.   650 seats but speaker does not count according to Betfair rules below (fair enough) - so that's 649 seats making 325 an overall majority.

Is there a reason why they don't just say a party needs to get 325 (or 326 ) seats? Sometimes these political markets are too ambiguous. Thought it was disgraceful didn't settle when May resigned as Tory leader but didnt pay out, included her term as caretaker PM - clearly wrong.



Which party will gain an overall majority of parliamentary seats at the next UK general election?

This market will be turned in-play at the start of voting on the day of the next general election. Customers are entirely responsible for their positions at all times.

The Speaker will not be classified as belonging to any particular party, and will therefore not be counted in any individual party's seat totals.
By:
lord skywalker
When: 12 Dec 19 16:19
enpassant, how did you vote then tory or labour
By:
enpassant
When: 12 Dec 19 16:22

Dec 12, 2019 -- 4:19PM, lord skywalker wrote:


enpassant, how did you vote then tory or labour


Labour

By:
Wallflower
When: 12 Dec 19 16:22
Ah - cancel above - think I'm wrong. Speaker is a seat so therefore 326 is needed.

But same point - why not just publish the number neededCry?  Ambiguity again in these political markets when can be easily clarified.
By:
lord skywalker
When: 12 Dec 19 16:23
so youre a leaver who agrees with more dither and delay and another referendum
By:
lord skywalker
When: 12 Dec 19 16:25
this is a brexit election no matter what anyone says, if boris doesnt get a majority brexit will rumble on for another year or two
By:
enpassant
When: 12 Dec 19 16:25

Dec 12, 2019 -- 4:23PM, lord skywalker wrote:


so youre a leaver who agrees with more dither and delay and another referendum


If you want to frame things like that it is hard to take you seriously.

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