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Melanchon for last 2 with le pen.

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Replies: 178

By:

CJ70 When: 23 Apr 17 20:41

Macron first round price just doubled. Interesting, haven't seen anything.

By:

CJ70 When: 23 Apr 17 20:42

Christ, something is happening from 1.13 to 1.6, still haven't seen anything.

Tempted to get out.

By:

the orginal hushwing When: 23 Apr 17 20:44

Whats happening? I got out green that Id long given up hope on...

By:

the orginal hushwing When: 23 Apr 17 20:44

le penn into evens... (to win 1st round)

By:

CJ70 When: 23 Apr 17 20:44

Le Pen now favourite! Whomever got her at 125 is sitting on a slap up meal.

By:

CJ70 When: 23 Apr 17 20:46

Now Macron back into 1.3's.. Odd, very odd.

By:

the orginal hushwing When: 23 Apr 17 20:47

now back out to 4.2+. weird action. Someone misunderstanding the 'current votes' reading maybe? Le Penns ahead on it yet but doesnt include the big cities yet..

By:

the orginal hushwing When: 23 Apr 17 20:49

On actaul votes counted so far Le Penn leads 25% to 22% after 20m votes. I guess thats spooking people the initial estimates are wrong

By:

MartinK When: 23 Apr 17 20:55

The models take into account the expected outcome in the various areas. They would expect this sort of difference at this stage of the count.
As the results are coming in Macrons lead is increasing - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_French_presidential_election,_2017

The 1.27 price for Macron to win the first round is a gift - unfortunately most of my bank is already deployed!

By:

CJ70 When: 23 Apr 17 20:56

Whatever it was it was bizarre. Perhaps Melenchon is getting most of the returns in the bigger conurbations rather than Macron?

By:

CJ70 When: 23 Apr 17 21:47

I've gone back in against Macron at 1.05. Just too low.

By:

MartinK When: 23 Apr 17 23:43

The 1.27 price for Macron to win the first round is a gift - unfortunately most of my bank is already deployed!

I really really really hate backing odds on runners - but this really was a case of buying money.
Reality has finally set in and this fellow is 1.01 to back!

By:

Captain Wurzel When: 24 Apr 17 07:33

I've gone back in against Macron at 1.05. Just too low.

Poor old CJ - he's had more losing bets than a FOBT punter

By:

MartinK When: 24 Apr 17 08:10

The Belgium exit poll looks to have been very accurate again this time.

By:

CJ70 When: 24 Apr 17 09:24

Apr 24, 2017 -- 7:33AM, Captain Wurzel wrote:

I've gone back in against Macron at 1.05. Just too low. Poor old CJ - he's had more losing bets than a FOBT punter

Have I? Do you want to try and explain that comment?

I suspect you may be unable to and just fancied having a shout on a topic you've been shown time and time again to not understand.

By:

CJ70 When: 24 Apr 17 09:26

Apr 24, 2017 -- 8:10AM, MartinK wrote:

The Belgium exit poll looks to have been very accurate again this time.

Indeed. A good night for pollsters all round. I can see envious glances from across the water to those models.

By:

unitedbiscuits When: 24 Apr 17 10:09

Lol at CJ70 jumping around like a headless chicken. Doesn't seem a year ago he claimed he could easily manipulate the Brexit market. Me "Go on then." CJ "I'm not revealing my methods."

By:

CJ70 When: 24 Apr 17 10:30

Apr 24, 2017 -- 10:09AM, unitedbiscuits wrote:

Lol at CJ70 jumping around like a headless chicken. Doesn't seem a year ago he claimed he could easily manipulate the Brexit market. Me "Go on then." CJ "I'm not revealing my methods."

Ooh Wurzel has got back up from somebody else who doesn't understand how betting markets work. Usually two heads are better than one while trying to think, but in this case I suspect it may not be.

By:

breadnbutter When: 24 Apr 17 21:05

Melanchon big price outright backers got a run for thar money ,Fillon backers unlucky as well ,this macron creature has fcked everyones bets up

reading on his wiki he was pumpin his 40 yo teacher when he was 15 ,although must of went from hero to zero when he married her

"Macron’s parents told Fulda that they believed their son was actually going after the heart of Trogneux’s daughter. They were stunned to hear that this wasn’t the case."

never understood the french