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Rick
04 Nov 16 00:05
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Date Joined: 29 Sep 01
| Topic/replies: 15 | Blogger: Rick's blog
In the electoral college handicap -24.5 market there are two selections, Trump +24.5 and Clinton -24.5

Assuming no one else takes a seat does that mean to win she needs 282 (with trump on 266 for a gap of more than 24.5) or does it mean she needs 294 (with Trump on 244 so her score minus 24.5 is still higher than his score plus 24.5)?
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Report Shab November 4, 2016 2:41 AM GMT
The layer is guessing that the gap will be 24.5, so the weightings (the + and -) puts them level in his head.

The Electoral College consists of 538 electors. A majority of 270 electoral votes is required to elect the President.

So assuming nobody else interferes* then:
- 282 for Hillary wins a Hillary bet (Trump would have 256, gap = 26) and 280 for Hillary loses a Hillary bet (Trump would have 258, gap = 22).
- 282 for Hillary loses a Trump bet (Trump would have 256, gap = 26) and 280 for Hillary wins a Trump bet (Trump would have 258, gap = 22).

* It is not guaranteed that there are only 2 runners in this race. Utah (for example) could be won by some independant guy and bounce Trump out of those college votes.
Report Shab November 4, 2016 3:27 AM GMT
It's late is my only excuse!

The layer is guessing that the gap will be 24.5, so the weightings (the + and -) puts them level in his head.

The Electoral College consists of 538 electors. A majority of 270 electoral votes is required to elect the President.

So assuming nobody else interferes* then:
- 282 for Hillary wins a Hillary bet (Trump would have 256, gap = 26) and 281 for Hillary loses a Hillary bet (Trump would have 257, gap = 24).
- 282 for Hillary loses a Trump bet (Trump would have 256, gap = 26) and 281 for Hillary wins a Trump bet (Trump would have 257, gap = 24).

* It is not guaranteed that there are only 2 runners in this race. Utah (for example) could be won by some independant guy and bounce Trump out of those college votes.
Report Rick November 4, 2016 9:46 AM GMT
Thanks.
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