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The layer is guessing that the gap will be 24.5, so the weightings (the + and -) puts them level in his head.
The Electoral College consists of 538 electors. A majority of 270 electoral votes is required to elect the President. So assuming nobody else interferes* then: - 282 for Hillary wins a Hillary bet (Trump would have 256, gap = 26) and 280 for Hillary loses a Hillary bet (Trump would have 258, gap = 22). - 282 for Hillary loses a Trump bet (Trump would have 256, gap = 26) and 280 for Hillary wins a Trump bet (Trump would have 258, gap = 22). * It is not guaranteed that there are only 2 runners in this race. Utah (for example) could be won by some independant guy and bounce Trump out of those college votes. |
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It's late is my only excuse!
The layer is guessing that the gap will be 24.5, so the weightings (the + and -) puts them level in his head. The Electoral College consists of 538 electors. A majority of 270 electoral votes is required to elect the President. So assuming nobody else interferes* then: - 282 for Hillary wins a Hillary bet (Trump would have 256, gap = 26) and 281 for Hillary loses a Hillary bet (Trump would have 257, gap = 24). - 282 for Hillary loses a Trump bet (Trump would have 256, gap = 26) and 281 for Hillary wins a Trump bet (Trump would have 257, gap = 24). * It is not guaranteed that there are only 2 runners in this race. Utah (for example) could be won by some independant guy and bounce Trump out of those college votes. |
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Thanks.
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