Politics
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06 May 10
17:45
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Date Joined:
10 Jun 06
no ramping, no spurious info, no "a canvasser told me such and such..." - just what you feel's gonna happen.
mine: labour will lose worse than people are expecting and the tories will get an outright majority as the democrats fail to translate their campaign into votes/seats.
mine: labour will lose worse than people are expecting and the tories will get an outright majority as the democrats fail to translate their campaign into votes/seats.
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Well hung with the voters returning to Labour, and lib dems making small gains
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Tories to just full short. About 310 Seats.
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All 3 parties under 250 seats
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tories maj. David declared PM by day break
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Tory majority of around 15-20, Labour totally destroyed south of Birmingham.
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tory majority
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my gut feeling is that the tories will do a bit better than expected on here
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no overall majority
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Labour wipe-out.
Tory 60 seat majority |
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Tories most seats - possibly tiny majority
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small tory majority
,god i hope im wrong |
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tories just
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True gut feel - Labour vote holds up but tories surge late, small majority.
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Tory, small majority.
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:_| To be honest Tory majority. Turkeys voting for Christmas.
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Tory majority
having spoken to lots of non political people today they seem to be voting tory,for no other reason than a flick of a coin.If thats reflected everywhere will definitely be a majority in the teens. |
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I suspect that the Tories will fall just short of an overall majority.
I think that Brown will try and persuade Clegg to join him in a minority government with the promise of a PR referendum as bait. I don't think Clegg will go for it though and from there it's anybody's guess. |
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Sadly, Tories with a workable majority, perhaps 335 seats. Late undecideds have a habit of opposing the sitting Government and self-interest will also come into play. I'm tempted to back overall majority to cushion the blow of this ghastly outcome but can't bring myself to do so.
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A high turn out must be bad for Labour.
I can't see people queuing up to vote for 5 more years of Gordon. |
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A decent Labour majority helped by a large increase in the number of postal votes.
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Hung like a horse.
Hope I'm wrong. |
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Con > Lab > LD both in popular vote and number of seats.
Con getting less than 300 Lab and LD forming a coalition. If Lab get 30% of the vote then Brown almost certain to remain as PM, if Lab get 27% then they might possibly agree to supporting Clegg as PM. Anything in between and the big problem for Labour is they have no way of ousting Brown within a few days and my guess is he will be too stubborn to resign when Labour are staying in government. I have no idea who acts as Labour leader if Brown does resign. |
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tories have been polling consistantly around 37%. its not enough and i think they'll fall short, say around 310 seats. Cameron will run a minority government that will survive this year but not next. another election in 2011. no idea what that will bring. too many variables.
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Tories 350+
Lib Dem 65- Really worried about tonight. Expect the Conservatives to benefit from larger than anticipated swings. |
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Even the idiots see sense and can't bring themselves to vote Labour,Tory majority imo.
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Small Tory majority. I think there is still a stigma attached to admitting you will vote tory in opinion polls and I think a lot of Lib Dems will, when push comes to shove in the polling station, bottle it.
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^ agree, richard.
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Conservatives to fall just short of a majority.
I don't think enough people are convinced by Cameron. |
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I sense the Tories have done well. Maybe enough for a Maj.
Libs have done well too. Labour poorly. I've moved some cash over to Tory Maj, so if the buggers win, I'll have a bigger win. |
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Hoping I'm wrong but surely a Tory majority is the bet. Hope not, so no lose as I'm on.
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My gut feeling is I really have no idea, so this must mean it will be a very even share of votes and seats.
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Lib Dems to do slightly better than expected.
Labour to take a spanking. Tories fail to win a majority. Result - HUNG. |
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In terms of a bet, freds 7/4 on Libs plus 100 looks ok? I just think Labour will have a disaster.
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Tory landslide.
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No, snookerbacker.
It cannot be ruled out of course, but you can reasonably expect either Lab or Con (probably Con) to get at least 280. LD +100 would then mean LD getting at least 181. Not a 7/4 shot. |
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Prices have stayed pretty static. Foreign exchange is pretty nervy with the pound trading down at 1.48, which could be an indication that the markets think it's hung. But let's face it we won't have a clue until the exit poll at about 10pm. Even then it may not be conclusive but the prices will start to move about then.
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If the markets don't suspend that is.....
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Tory maj 20 seats
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small but healthy maj for the tories 12-20,though they could govern with about 317-320 seats.
lab to take a hard spanking(ooeer) libs to gain seats but not as many as theyd hoped for. |