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your gut feeling about the outcome
your gut feeling about the outcome
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Replies: 89
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just don't know...
could virtually be any one of the examples mentioned already. Not sure I buy into the theory that if it's an outright tory win they wont last more than one term mind... going to be too easy to blame whatever more damage they make to the economy on what they were left. In any case markets will like it if they get in, so short term boost there and then the olympics should be enough of a boost to kick start a recovery again if worst comes to worst. One new suggestion to the list: Boris to replace Cam if he doesn't get tories most seats! Most popular PM since Churchill after next election. |
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Novice at this miranda, thanks. Just feel that a lot of traditional labour voters in the north are switching to the shiny happy people. I can see them doing better than expected is all and Labour having a complete nightmare. A big turnout is surely never good for a long administration? I've taken the punt anyway but hey ho
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Biggerturnout than I expected could lead to Labour vote holding up better. Conservatives to get 300-310 seats, Labour 260 and Lib Dems 75
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I've had my fill. Tory majority should be about 1.2. Not really what I think will happen but a statistical certainty from here. Cameron is our PM.
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Conservatives to get 330-340 seats, Labour 150 and Lib Dems 155
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Lots of regional variations, London especially. Tory narrow majority. Bad night for Labour with some notable scalps.
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what do we reckon this time?
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Tory government of some form unless Labour can increase their seats in England by at least 30+
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Tories for most seats.
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I'm shocked at the Tory majority price (18s).
My hunch is that Labour will get beaten up badly but can the prices be this wrong..?? |
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Obviously labour, cannot win most seats that's an impossibility,labour will be looking to get within 20/25 seats and would consider that a good night with seats lost in Scotland,think tories need to win by 40 seats to consider it good result..
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yep if the tories win by around 20 that will leave all options on the table really. something either side would leave it more clear cut
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My gut feeling is, that we'll be doing this again, in October/November, as they are both very unconvincing and the seats will be very close between Cons and Labour, with Cons having around 10/15 seats more.
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it's like the ultimate ugly baby contest. never can there have been an election with 3 such hopeless and out of touch leaders
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They can put Klingons in number 10 for all I care.
I won't starve or go without anything I want or need. |
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Tory majority and another sad day for Brittain and democracy
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The betting, has flip-flopped, throughout the day on the next pm, but it looks like ed miliband, is as likely to be leader as cameron and the movement on odds throughout the day, favour Red Ed
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Miliband until Oct/Nov
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I can't see how Labour can possibly be the biggest party if they get hammered in Scotland.
YouGov's poll however puts Labour & the Tories level on 276. Bonkers? |
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yes, but the Cons will lose some seats to Labour in other parts of the country and the SNP could well, then form the alliance, with Red Ed and try and run, the whole country, as Miliband, will be a very weak leader and be pushed around by the SNP
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Was going to have a punt in the MOST SEATS market but might have to hold fire for now.
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Can't really see then getting any bigger unless labour wins a marginal then you might get some crazy prices whatever they look massive at current prices..
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Well the first few results will go Labours way as they are all northern seats, which means their price will automatically shorten. However by how much, depends on what the swing is to Labour. The first 2 results will be announced around 11.00pm in both Sunderland constuencies and both will be Labour holds, what will determine the market even more is whether there has been a swing to the Reds or Blues, but I would suggest up north, the swing to Labour, will be larger than down south.
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5 years ago Labour had 29% i think.....estimate 33% this time round could give Labour a few more seats........no majority expected.
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If you look at top 100 marginals it looks like they will be lucky to even win 40/50 seats the swings would have to be 10% no chance of swings like that,be very surprised if pollsters aren't at least a couple of % out,they could be eating humble pie again..
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I think Dave will edge it.
You don't get Labour governments elected during troubled times. The electorate are more savvy than they're given credit for in that respect. |
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The 1.29 looks big but at close of polls could be a 1.05 if the polls showe tories infront,very likely..
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yes, but the Cons will lose some seats to Labour in other parts of the country and the SNP could well, then form the alliance, with Red Ed and try and run, the whole country, as Miliband, will be a very weak leader and be pushed around by the SNP
That is utter tripe. |
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Its the utter truth, as that is what will happen
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Ed to be PM
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My word you seem almost to believe that stupid drivel.
Are you on something by any chance or are you just an imbecile? |
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Otherwise this country is fcked
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I haven't listened to any of it today, that is my opinion and everyone will have a different one
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If labour get with 25 seats they've had a very good result,cameron will be in trouble still looks unlikely to me.
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UKIP should win plenty more votes than expected,
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Does that mean the tories lose more seats..
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looking athtis thread we should be laying the 1.07 NO MAJORITY
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cryoftruth • May 7, 2015 8:31 PM BST
My word you seem almost to believe that stupid drivel. Are you on something by any chance or are you just an imbecile?,,,,HE WILL HAVE LITTLE CHOICE BUT TO KEEP THEM HAPPY THAT MUCH IS STRUE, GVMENT COULD LAST MONTHS |
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Conservatives 292, UKIP 11, Lib Dems 30, Labour 260, SNP 46,etc,etc. Like all of us just a guess but I reckon UKIP are being enderestimated, Lib Dems local positions mayprotect many of their seats and Labour will suffer big time from UKIP and Greens while SNP may slip a little.
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