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FLAT RACING

AW Tuesday Jan 20th

20 Jan 15 13:14
Todays qualifiers
top    Horse          days    Age
Top    Dubawi Diamond 14 b1     3

Top    General Tufto 7 6xb     10

Jt    Zac Brown 9 6xh     4
Jt    Scarborough 7 6x     4

Jt    The Lock Master 19     8
Jt    Deuce Again   18     4

Top    Baytown Kestrel 47 p     4

Top    Greenhead High 12 v     7
NB    Sleet 7 b     4

General Tufto tries the hat trick of wins as a 10yo.
He surprised me last time.
Only one horse has won so far this year with same scenario -
Sabre Rock.
Thomas Blossom and Tsarglas are recent odds on failures.

A couple of class 2 races at Southwell today
2.30: Zac Brown and Scarborough both have to overcome their penalties. There are not enough such races at Southwell to make a comparison for penalties in this grade.
If one takes the FLAT data (2012-13) in 5f sprints there appears a total absence of winners from 10 races (4 ran 2nd and 4 of those in photo finish) and 9 failed last year (7 races).

I prefer Woolfall Sovereign on its form in this race type.
4 wins and two off the back of a win lto.


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