Pinza

New try out for the New Year. Only AW Flat racing.
12.50: MAJOR ROWAN
1.30: Little
2.05: GROSMONT
2.40: Poyle Vinnie
3.15: Reve De Nuit
3.35: Swing Alone (Royal Maskel)

Not the best of days, but first attempt at deciphering of loads of data collected over last 3 years.
Working to the "spot" selects from two newspapers, plus other enhancing (?) features that are used for scoring.

No winners from the selections today.
Major Rowan was the highest score of the two spot runners in the first race, and low behold the Express spot (A 6yo maiden) won the race at 16/1.

Was not keen on the 3yo race as not looked at that age group.
   
Looking at the spot runners in Conditions race (Dungannon & Poyle Vinnie) I was wary of Dungannon, as it seemed to best horse in race, and I've been caught out by laying the best horse on two occasions recently (Shyron yesterday), so set a low lay bet at 1.53 - on the basis that the higher age group rarely win these conditions races on AW - and the winner was a 9yo!!!

That one ran poorly six days ago, but wins today over 5f.
The previous post included mention of Woolfall having a chance of beating Pretend - (My other lay bet)
"Two dangers are Woolfall Sovereign that has won all its AW races between Dec & January months. Recent wins have been over the shorter 5f though - but Wolver seems its best track."

Grosmont was a let down in the maiden race, as the last 3 years the race had been won by the Mirror spot horse.

The claimer races are the least profitable with this experiment and was not a viable race to bet in considering a long odds on favourite who won the race last year. Even that failed to win today.

The last race was a none starter, because I was looking for the Top 3 weights to match one of the Top three in betting and that did not materialise, although The Lock Master did slip in as joint 3RD in betting, it was not a spot horse.