Race started as Listed event 1990 and upgraded to Group 3 2009.
24 past races
16 past winners ran at Royal Ascot; 12 of those ran in 2 mile Vase (all LTO)
Only two won the Vase and that was 1990 and 1991.
4 ran in Derby - three Epsom and other Rome. One of the 3 Epsom ran in Vase after.
7 ran in recognised derby TRIAL race (5 of those in last six years)and only one did not run Ascot or Derby.
The TRIAL element is interesting because it shows a recent shift in trends.
John Gosden has won the race on four occasions, and the last three runnings.
His 2012 winner hadn't achieved much and only won it's maiden on latest start, BUT it did finish 2nd in Lingfield Derby TRIAL. Other than that race one could have discarded it from winner calculations.
9 winners won a maiden race as 2yo. Two of those achieved a further 2yo win (Ccon & GP3)
5 never ran as 2yo.
9 ran in maiden race two races previous - 7 won, 1 won mdn race LTO and other won Vase as a maiden.
20 of 24 winners ran a maximum of 6 times prior to this race. The maximum number of runs is 10 (Same as Hartnell).
Forever Now; Just maiden runs for this one. Two winners have won this with just 3 runs, but both had 2 wins. J Gosden won it with a mdn only winner 2012 but that had ran 2nd in Derby trial.
Hartnell: Came good in Vase and is a possible. The lack of Vase winner since race began and number of runs puts me off.
The Corsican; No horse has won with just 2 runs.
Vent De Force; A handicapper. Five winners had mainly raced in and won hcps. 1995 was last time a horse won that had won over 14f.
Windshear; Another handicapper but higher grades than above. Two winners came from King George Hcp both were placed (2nd & 3rd)
Looking at the race today and comparing the stats I went for BUNKER and HONOR BOUND (filly)
A filly has only won the race twice 2000 & 2001 and both were handicappers!
BUNKER now a none runner and ODEON replaces it as alternative
RESULT;
Wht a palavar of a race. Main selections both withdrawn and latter at the start. That would have handed the race to Hartnell (winner) on stats.