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FLAT RACING

Saturday May 31st

31 May 14 13:45
Just the one race examined today.
1.30 HAYDOCK
Comparing last 14 Haydock races around this time of year and identifying number of races won, distances etc etc.
The speed has shown up quite well in the 2 years 2012-2013 since I started recording.

Age; past winners tend to be 5yo & 6yo (10 of the 14)
4yo's follow with 3 wins and jusy 1 win for an ageing 8yo.

9 winners won over Distance
apart from that the winners have won over 7f or 9f (the latter maybe 8.5 on AW)

By an excel process to compare winner v runners it says the most wins from past winners ends at 6 wins
Today there are 5 runners that exceed that figure.
It is rare to find a past winner with class B (2) win - just Albaqaa 2013. Today we have 4 runners with such wins, and 6 runners over the normal win age (4-6yo's)


I'm ignoring the older runners and just taking two to bet for the win.
Eurystheus
Exzachary


RESULT UPDATE;
The Top weight 8yo Dubai Hills won 4/1
Eurytheus was 4th (fav)


2.05 HAYDOCK
Astonished in this with dangers Freedom's Light & Special Meaning

I point out that neither are in the speed set up though.

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