Pinza

It's just an experiment today
The horses that appear well backed

1 Haydock 23rd May - 14:00 Backing: Luck of The Game @ SP (3rd)
2 Haydock 23rd May - 14:30 Backing: Winslow @ SP  (WON)
3 Haydock 23rd May - 16:15 Backing: Crowleys Law @ SP (WON)
4 Yarmouth 23rd May - 14:10 Backing: Johara @ SP  (WON)
5 Pontefract 23rd May - 20:30 Backing: Chortle @ SP 
6 Musselburgh 23rd May - 19:10 Backing: Here Now And Why @ SP 
7 Musselburgh 23rd May - 20:40 Backing: Twin Appeal @ SP WON


REVIEW.
Just another experiment in trying to find the winners.
Sucessful?
Partly. 4 winners from 7 selections.
The bets were placed by win accumulators - 4 winners, 5 winners and 7 winners. The end result was a loss of £2. In hindsight perhaps one should start with Trebles.

It's based upon Newspaper favourites and checking Betfair prices after 11am to see if ...
A; Both newspaper and betfairs prices are both still favourite.
B; A new favoutite has appeared on the Betfair price and the newspaper forecast favourite is no longer the lowest in betting.
C; Any other horse has dropped dramatically and is competing for favourite.

It has been noted that some trainers have more than one market mover.
P Kirby's Rocky Two (6.10 Musselburgh) dropped from 5/1 and ended up 9/4f and won.
His other mover Here, Now And Why (7.10) dropped considerably from 8/1 to jt fav, but was unplaced.

Similarly on Tuesday Michael Dods runner, Dartrix, was heavily backed from 14/1 and was unplaced, whilst another runner Muharrer was forecast at 10/1 and won at 4/1fav. A third runner Beat The Tide (4/1) ended up 6/4 fav and finished 3rd.

It has often been the case that trainers who have market movers manage to get a winner on the day.

Small fields are probably best avoided, certainly on the evidence of Three runner races. 

The recent weather causing several withdrawals will also play havoc with prices and probably best to avoid those days.